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BMOBank Of MontrealHold5.9·$174.13-1.94%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Four consecutive earnings beats averaging 8% above estimates and a breakout technical setup confirm genuine operational momentum; however, the stock has crossed above its price target with no remaining headroom and an unfavorable risk/reward ratio, making the current setup one for existing holders to maintain rather than a compelling entry point for new capital.

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Technical Breakout MomentumStable
  • Price Above Target No Entry RoomStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Bank Of Montreal (BMO) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $174.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.6% away).

Bank of Montreal provides diversified financial services primarily in North America. It operates through Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking; U.S. Banking; Wealth Management; and Capital Markets segments. The company offers checking accounts, savings, money markets and... Read more

$174.13+5.9% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#6 of 20 Banks - Diversified
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.85%(5y avg 4.17%)Payout50.69%sustainable
Entry $165.42(5% below current)Stop $159.42Target $175.13(resistance)A.R:R -3.1:1
Analyst target$155.59-10.6%3 analysts
$175.13our TP
$174.13price
$155.59mean
$139

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $174.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.6% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $174.13 has reached target $175.13. No upside to wait for. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 25, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.6% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.0
P/E (Fwd)15.2
Mkt Cap$122.0B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn28.1%
ROE11.4%
Rev Growth15.8%
Beta1.15
Dividend2.85%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.95bearish
IV35%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -3.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
73 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $160.60Resistance $178.70

Price Targets

$159
$165
$175
A.Upside+0.6%
A.R:R-3.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-24.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-25 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BMO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $174.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.6% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $174.13 has reached target $175.13. No upside to wait for. Target $175.13 (+0.6%), stop $159.42 (−9.2%), A.R:R -3.1:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BMO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $175.13 (+5.9% upside). Target $175.13 (+0.6%), stop $159.42 (−9.2%), A.R:R -3.1:1. Stop-loss: $159.42.

What are the risks of investing in BMO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.6% away).

Is BMO overvalued or undervalued?

Bank Of Montreal trades at a P/E of 19.0 (forward 15.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BMO?

19 analysts cover BMO with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $156.

What does Bank Of Montreal do?Bank of Montreal provides diversified financial services primarily in North America. It operates through Canadian...

Bank of Montreal provides diversified financial services primarily in North America. It operates through Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking; U.S. Banking; Wealth Management; and Capital Markets segments. The company offers checking accounts, savings, money markets and certificates of deposits, debit cards, overdrafts, digital banking, credit cards, loans, mortgages, investment and retirement options, and other banking services; and commercial banking products and services comprise various of financing options and treasury and payment solutions, as well as risk management products. It also offers investing, banking, and wealth management advisory; digital investing services; financial solutions for individuals, families, and businesses; offers investment management services to institutional, retail, and high net worth investors; and diversified insurance, and wealth and pension de-risking solutions. In addition, the company provides individual life, critical illness and annuity products, as well as segregated funds, and group creditor and travel insurance to customers; debt and equity capital-raising, loan origination and syndication, balance sheet management, treasury management, mergers and acquisitions advice, restructurings and recapitalizations, trade finance, and risk mitigation services, as well as a range of banking and other operating services. Further, the company offers research and access to financial markets for institutional, corporate and retail clients through an integrated suite of sales and trading solutions related to debt, foreign exchange, interest rates, credit, equities, securitization, and commodities; provides new product development and origination services, as well as risk management and advisory services for hedging strategies, including in interest rates, foreign exchange rates and commodities prices; and funding and liquidity management services. Bank of Montreal was founded in 1817 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

Related stocks: CM (Canadian Imperial Bank of Comme) · C (Citigroup, Inc.) · BK (The Bank of New York Mellon Cor) · BNY (The Bank of New York Mellon Cor) · UBS (UBS Group AG Registered)
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