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BMOBank Of MontrealSell4.8·$171.70
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Bank of Montreal has strong price momentum and healthy margins, but the stock at $171.13 is already above the $143.53 analyst target and business quality is below average, so upside looks limited.

Thesis pillars

  • Weak Quality No Moat→Stable
  • Price Above Analyst Target→Stable
  • Strong Breakout Momentum→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Bank Of Montreal (BMO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellShortModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $171.70 — A.R:R is negative (-2.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7).

Bank of Montreal provides diversified financial services primarily in North America. It operates through Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking; U.S. Banking; Wealth Management; and Capital Markets segments. The company offers chequing accounts, savings accounts, money markets... Read more

$171.70-16.4% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#20 of 20 Banks - Diversified
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.85%(5y avg 3.95%)Payout54.44%sustainable
Stop $165.62Analyst target $143.57(reached)A.R:R -2.2:1
Analyst consensus$168.90-1.6%3 analysts with price targets
$171.70price
$168.90mean
$147
$185

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $171.70 — A.R:R is negative (-2.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 28d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Aug 25, 2026

Recent Developments — Bank Of Montreal

Latest item Aug 25, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T12:04:35Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Dec 2, 202628d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)
Weak overall score: 4.8/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.4
P/E (Fwd)14.6
Mkt Cap$119.3B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn25.7%
ROE10.6%
Rev Growth12.0%
Beta1.12
Dividend2.85%
Analysts with ratings20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.19bullish
IV38%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.5
GatesA.R:R -2.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 28d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
69 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $158.73Resistance $176.33

Price Targets

A.Upside-16.4%
A.R:R-2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-16.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-02 (28d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BMO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $171.70 — A.R:R is negative (-2.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $165.62. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BMO stock price target?

Analyst target $143.57 reached (−16.4% from $171.70); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $165.62. Stop-loss: $165.62.

What are the risks of investing in BMO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

Is BMO overvalued or undervalued?

Bank Of Montreal trades at a P/E of 19.4 (forward 14.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BMO?

20 analysts rate BMO, with a consensus score of 3.4/5. 3 analysts publish price targets averaging $169.

What does Bank Of Montreal do?Bank of Montreal provides diversified financial services primarily in North America. It operates through Canadian...

Bank of Montreal provides diversified financial services primarily in North America. It operates through Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking; U.S. Banking; Wealth Management; and Capital Markets segments. The company offers chequing accounts, savings accounts, money markets and certificates of deposits, debit cards, overdrafts, digital banking, credit cards, loans, mortgages, investment and retirement options, and other banking services; and commercial banking products and services, including financing options and treasury and payment solutions, as well as risk management products. It also offers investing, banking, and wealth management advisory; digital investing services; financial solutions for individuals, families, and businesses; offers investment management services to institutional, retail, and high net worth investors; and diversified insurance, and wealth and pension de-risking solutions. In addition, the company provides individual life, critical illness and annuity products, as well as segregated funds, and group creditor and travel insurance to customers; debt and equity capital-raising, loan origination and syndication, balance sheet management, treasury management, mergers and acquisitions advice, restructurings and recapitalizations, trade finance, and risk mitigation services, as well as a range of banking and other operating services. Further, the company offers research and access to financial markets for institutional, corporate and retail clients through an integrated suite of sales and trading solutions related to debt, foreign exchange, interest rates, credit, equities, securitization, and commodities; provides new product development and origination services, as well as risk management and advisory services for hedging strategies, including in interest rates, foreign exchange rates and commodities prices; and funding and liquidity management services. Bank of Montreal was founded in 1817 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

Related stocks: MUFG (Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group,) · SMFG (Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group) · C (Citigroup, Inc.) · BNY (The Bank of New York Mellon Cor) · HSBC (HSBC Holdings, plc.)
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