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BLCOBausch + Lomb CorporationHold5.5·$17.11-0.29%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Bausch + Lomb screens attractively valued at a forward P/E of 13.9x with a PEG of 0.05, and generates positive free cash flow despite reporting a GAAP loss — a signal that economic earnings are stronger than reported income. The primary near-term risks are declining volume momentum and a 57% revenue concentration in the Vision Care segment.

Thesis pillars

  • Fcf Positive Despite Gaap LossStable
  • Near Zero Peg Deep ValueStable
  • Declining Volume Momentum OverhangStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Bausch + Lomb Corporation (BLCO) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources.

Bausch + Lomb makes contact lenses, ophthalmic pharmaceuticals, surgical equipment, and consumer eye care products across three segments — Vision Care (57% of 2025 revenue), Pharmaceuticals (25%), and Surgical (18%) — with a presence in roughly 100 countries. The company... Read more

$17.11+13.6% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#14 of 32 Medical Instruments & Supplies
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.90%
Entry $14.88(support + ATR)Stop $14.21Target $16.91(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$17.88+4.5%12 analysts
$16.91our TP
$17.11price
$17.88mean
$16
$21

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $17.11 has reached target $16.91. No upside to wait for. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 23d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202623d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong growth profile
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)16.0
Mkt Cap$6.1B
EV/EBITDA15.2
Profit Mgn-4.2%
ROE-3.3%
Rev Growth9.4%
Beta0.56
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.84bearish
IV96%elevated
Max Pain$12-29.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductVision Care segment57%
    10-K Item 1: 'Vision Care | | $ | 2,923 | | | 57 | % ... Total revenues | | $ | 5,101 | | | 100 | %'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle source or limited number of sources
    10-K Item 1A: 'Certain of our products or components thereof are available from a single source or a limited number of sources'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.3
Support Resistance
0.5
52w Position
8.1
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 23d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
87 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.65Resistance $17.25

Price Targets

$14
$15
$17
A.Upside-1.2%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (23d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BLCO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $17.11 has reached target $16.91. No upside to wait for. Target $16.91 (-1.2%), stop $14.21 (−20.4%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BLCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.91 (+13.6% upside). Target $16.91 (-1.2%), stop $14.21 (−20.4%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $14.21.

What are the risks of investing in BLCO?

Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is BLCO overvalued or undervalued?

Bausch + Lomb Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 16.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BLCO?

18 analysts cover BLCO with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Bausch + Lomb Corporation do?Bausch + Lomb makes contact lenses, ophthalmic pharmaceuticals, surgical equipment, and consumer eye care products...

Bausch + Lomb makes contact lenses, ophthalmic pharmaceuticals, surgical equipment, and consumer eye care products across three segments — Vision Care (57% of 2025 revenue), Pharmaceuticals (25%), and Surgical (18%) — with a presence in roughly 100 countries. The company generated $5.1 billion in total revenues in 2025 across approximately 13,000 employees globally.

Related stocks: WST (West Pharmaceutical Services, I) · RMD (ResMed Inc.) · STAA (STAAR Surgical Company) · TFX (Teleflex Incorporated) · MMSI (Merit Medical Systems, Inc.)
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