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BIDUBaidu, Inc.Sell5.4·$103.95-0.70%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

At a forward P/E of 12.8 times and a PEG of 0.66, the stock screens as materially undervalued with analyst consensus implying roughly 42% upside — but declining revenue and a death-cross technical configuration mean the value gap may take a demand catalyst and a recovery in price momentum to close.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value DiscountStable
  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyDeteriorating
  • Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Baidu, Inc. (BIDU) Stock Analysis

SellValueShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Earnings in 4 days (2026-08-18). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $103.95 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Weak growth.

Baidu, Inc. provides internet content, value-added telecommunication-based, internet map, and online audio and video services in the People's Republic of China. It operates in two segments, Baidu General Business and iQIYI. The Baidu General Business segment offers products and... Read more

$103.95+47.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#28 of 35 Internet Content & Information
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield22.41%
Stop $99.54Target $152.57(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 8.1:1
Analyst target$165.83+59.5%31 analysts
$152.57our TP
$103.95price
$165.83mean
$217

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $103.95 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 18, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)12.5
Mkt Cap$35.5B
EV/EBITDA1.5
Profit Mgn1.0%
ROE0.3%
Rev Growth-1.2%
Beta0.59
DividendNone
Rating analysts38

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.09bearish
IV61%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -1.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.2
Declining revenue: -1%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume
6.3
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dA.R:R 8.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $102.62Resistance $114.45

Price Targets

$100
$153
A.Upside+47.2%
A.R:R8.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-18 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BIDU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $103.95 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $99.54. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BIDU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $152.57 (+47.2% upside). Prior stop was $99.54. Stop-loss: $99.54.

What are the risks of investing in BIDU?

Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is BIDU overvalued or undervalued?

Baidu, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BIDU?

38 analysts cover BIDU with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $166.

What does Baidu, Inc. do?Baidu, Inc. provides internet content, value-added telecommunication-based, internet map, and online audio and video...

Baidu, Inc. provides internet content, value-added telecommunication-based, internet map, and online audio and video services in the People's Republic of China. It operates in two segments, Baidu General Business and iQIYI. The Baidu General Business segment offers products and services for mobile ecosystem, AI cloud, and intelligent driving. This segment operates Baidu App that enables users to access search, feed, content, and other services through mobile devices; and Haokan, which offers a range of various user generated and professionally produced short videos. It also provides a portfolio of knowledge and information products, including Baidu Wiki, which features columns and videos, such as encyclopedia of intangible cultural heritage, digital museum and recorder of history; Baidu Knows, an online community where users can pose questions to other users, such as individuals, professionals, and enterprises; Baidu Experience, an online platform where users share daily knowledge and experience; ERNIE Bot, new AI-native product that serves as a multi-round conversational AI assistant on both PC and mobile; and Baidu Post, a social media that allows users to post text, image, audio and video content, and reply to original curation forming valuable discussion groups, as well as livestreaming services, including live streaming and AI-powered digital human livestreaming. In addition, the company offers DuerOS smart assistant for the Chinese language; Apollo Go autonomous ride-hailing service; online marketing services; Baidu Maps, a voice-enabled mobile app providing users with travel-related services; and AI chips. The iQIYI segment produces and distributes professionally produced content. This segment offers online entertainment video services, including online videos, experience services, online games, comics, and others. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

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