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BIDUBaidu, Inc.Sell5.2·$105.56-1.70%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

At a forward P/E of 12.8 times and a PEG of 0.66, the stock screens as materially undervalued with analyst consensus implying roughly 42% upside — but declining revenue and a death-cross technical configuration mean the value gap may take a demand catalyst and a recovery in price momentum to close.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value DiscountStable
  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyDeteriorating
  • Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Baidu, Inc. (BIDU) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellValueShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $105.56 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth.

Baidu, Inc. provides internet content, value-added telecommunication-based, internet map, and online audio and video services in the People's Republic of China. It operates in two segments, Baidu General Business and iQIYI. The Baidu General Business segment offers products and... Read more

$105.56+50.8% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#28 of 36 Internet Content & Information
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield22.20%
Stop $97.97Target $158.86(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 6.4:1
Analyst target$172.67+63.6%33 analysts
$158.86our TP
$105.56price
$172.67mean
$274

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $105.56 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 19, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
Weak growth
Negative momentum
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)12.3
Mkt Cap$35.8B
EV/EBITDA1.5
Profit Mgn1.0%
ROE0.3%
Rev Growth-1.2%
Beta0.56
DividendNone
Rating analysts38

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral
IV60%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -1.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.2
Declining revenue: -1%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.3
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 1.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 6.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $100.32Resistance $119.88

Price Targets

$98
$159
A.Upside+50.8%
A.R:R6.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-19 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BIDU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $105.56 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $97.97. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BIDU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $158.86 (+50.8% upside). Prior stop was $97.97. Stop-loss: $97.97.

What are the risks of investing in BIDU?

Weak growth; Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.

Is BIDU overvalued or undervalued?

Baidu, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BIDU?

38 analysts cover BIDU with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $173.

What does Baidu, Inc. do?Baidu, Inc. provides internet content, value-added telecommunication-based, internet map, and online audio and video...

Baidu, Inc. provides internet content, value-added telecommunication-based, internet map, and online audio and video services in the People's Republic of China. It operates in two segments, Baidu General Business and iQIYI. The Baidu General Business segment offers products and services for mobile ecosystem, AI cloud, and intelligent driving. This segment operates Baidu App that enables users to access search, feed, content, and other services through mobile devices; and Haokan, which offers a range of various user generated and professionally produced short videos. It also provides a portfolio of knowledge and information products, including Baidu Wiki, which features columns and videos, such as encyclopedia of intangible cultural heritage, digital museum and recorder of history; Baidu Knows, an online community where users can pose questions to other users, such as individuals, professionals, and enterprises; Baidu Experience, an online platform where users share daily knowledge and experience; ERNIE Bot, new AI-native product that serves as a multi-round conversational AI assistant on both PC and mobile; and Baidu Post, a social media that allows users to post text, image, audio and video content, and reply to original curation forming valuable discussion groups, as well as livestreaming services, including live streaming and AI-powered digital human livestreaming. In addition, the company offers DuerOS smart assistant for the Chinese language; Apollo Go autonomous ride-hailing service; online marketing services; Baidu Maps, a voice-enabled mobile app providing users with travel-related services; and AI chips. The iQIYI segment produces and distributes professionally produced content. This segment offers online entertainment video services, including online videos, experience services, online games, comics, and others. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

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