Skip to main content

Bilibili Inc. (BILI) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Earnings in 0 days (2026-05-19). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $18.25. BUY gates pass at $19.97, but v7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6) and sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8 argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $18.25 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Bilibili Inc. provides online entertainment services for the young generations in the People's Republic of China. It offers a range of digital content, including professional user generated videos (PUGV), mobile games, and value-added services, such as live broadcasting,... Read more

$19.97+49.8% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#14 of 27 Internet Content & Information
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield52.99%
Entry $18.25(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $16.44Target $28.62(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 4.8:1Setup A.R:R 7.1:1
Analyst target$31.11+55.8%31 analysts
$28.62our TP
$19.97price
$31.11mean
$38

Wait for pullback to $18.25. BUY gates pass at $19.97, but v7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6) and sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8 argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $18.25 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Val8.0Qual4.6Grw4.4Mom6.3Sent8.0Ins5.0Peer3.5Tech6.0Risk4.95.7OVERALL

Recent Developments — Bilibili Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)46.7
P/E (Fwd)14.3
Mkt Cap$8.2B
EV/EBITDA-2.0
Profit Mgn3.9%
ROE8.0%
Rev Growth7.6%
Beta0.79
DividendNone
Rating analysts37

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.03bearish
IV72%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
3.5
Growth Rank
4.6
Value Rank
5.8
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 6.3>=5.5A.R:R 4.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
41 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $18.30Resistance $23.13

Price Targets

$16
$18
$29
A.Upside+43.3%
A.R:R4.8:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)7.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-19 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BILI stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $18.25. BUY gates pass at $19.97, but v7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6) and sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8 argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $18.25 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $28.62 (+43.3%), stop $16.44 (−21.5%), Setup A.R:R 7.1:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BILI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.62 (+49.8% upside). Target $28.62 (+43.3%), stop $16.44 (−21.5%), Setup A.R:R 7.1:1. Stop-loss: $16.44.

What are the risks of investing in BILI?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Is BILI overvalued or undervalued?

Bilibili Inc. trades at a P/E of 46.7 (forward 14.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about BILI?

37 analysts cover BILI with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Bilibili Inc. do?Bilibili Inc. provides online entertainment services for the young generations in the People's Republic of China. It...

Bilibili Inc. provides online entertainment services for the young generations in the People's Republic of China. It offers a range of digital content, including professional user generated videos (PUGV), mobile games, and value-added services, such as live broadcasting, occupationally generated videos, audio drama on Maoer, comics on Bilibili Comic, PUGV content in fan charging program and premium courses, and Bilibili premium courses and community-based avatar decoration. The company also provides advertising services; and IP derivatives and other services. In addition, it engages in the business and technology development activities; e-commerce business; and video, comics, and game distribution activities. Bilibili Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

Related stocks: BZ (KANZHUN LIMITED - American Depo) · OPRA (Opera Limited) · RDDT (Reddit, Inc.) · MTCH (Match Group, Inc.) · GENI (Genius Sports Limited)