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BIDUBaidu, Inc.Buy Wait5.3·$103.95-0.70%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

At a forward P/E of 12.8 times and a PEG of 0.66, the stock screens as materially undervalued with analyst consensus implying roughly 42% upside — but declining revenue and a death-cross technical configuration mean the value gap may take a demand catalyst and a recovery in price momentum to close.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value DiscountStable
  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyDeteriorating
  • Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Baidu, Inc. (BIDU) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitValueShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Earnings in 3 days (2026-08-18). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $100.67. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $103.95. Engine's entry $100.67 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Baidu, Inc. provides internet content, value-added telecommunication-based, internet map, and online audio and video services in the People's Republic of China. It operates in two segments, Baidu General Business and iQIYI. The Baidu General Business segment offers products and... Read more

$103.95+47.2% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#29 of 35 Internet Content & Information
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield22.63%
Entry $100.67(1 ATR pullback)Stop $94.67Target $152.60(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 8.1:1
Analyst target$165.86+59.6%31 analysts
$152.60our TP
$103.95price
$165.86mean
$217

Wait for pullback to $100.67. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $103.95. Engine's entry $100.67 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Weak growth; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 18, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 47%
Risks
Weak growth
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)12.3
Mkt Cap$35.2B
EV/EBITDA1.5
Profit Mgn1.0%
ROE0.3%
Rev Growth-1.2%
Beta0.59
DividendNone
Rating analysts38

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.09bearish
IV64%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -1.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.2
Declining revenue: -1%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume
6.3
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dA.R:R 8.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $102.62Resistance $114.45

Price Targets

$95
$101
$153
A.Upside+47.2%
A.R:R8.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-18 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BIDU stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $100.67. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $103.95. Engine's entry $100.67 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Weak growth; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $152.60 (+46.8%), stop $94.67 (−9.8%), A.R:R 8.1:1. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BIDU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $152.60 (+47.2% upside). Target $152.60 (+46.8%), stop $94.67 (−9.8%), A.R:R 8.1:1. Stop-loss: $94.67.

What are the risks of investing in BIDU?

Weak growth; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is BIDU overvalued or undervalued?

Baidu, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about BIDU?

38 analysts cover BIDU with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $166.

What does Baidu, Inc. do?Baidu, Inc. provides internet content, value-added telecommunication-based, internet map, and online audio and video...

Baidu, Inc. provides internet content, value-added telecommunication-based, internet map, and online audio and video services in the People's Republic of China. It operates in two segments, Baidu General Business and iQIYI. The Baidu General Business segment offers products and services for mobile ecosystem, AI cloud, and intelligent driving. This segment operates Baidu App that enables users to access search, feed, content, and other services through mobile devices; and Haokan, which offers a range of various user generated and professionally produced short videos. It also provides a portfolio of knowledge and information products, including Baidu Wiki, which features columns and videos, such as encyclopedia of intangible cultural heritage, digital museum and recorder of history; Baidu Knows, an online community where users can pose questions to other users, such as individuals, professionals, and enterprises; Baidu Experience, an online platform where users share daily knowledge and experience; ERNIE Bot, new AI-native product that serves as a multi-round conversational AI assistant on both PC and mobile; and Baidu Post, a social media that allows users to post text, image, audio and video content, and reply to original curation forming valuable discussion groups, as well as livestreaming services, including live streaming and AI-powered digital human livestreaming. In addition, the company offers DuerOS smart assistant for the Chinese language; Apollo Go autonomous ride-hailing service; online marketing services; Baidu Maps, a voice-enabled mobile app providing users with travel-related services; and AI chips. The iQIYI segment produces and distributes professionally produced content. This segment offers online entertainment video services, including online videos, experience services, online games, comics, and others. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

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