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BDNBrandywine Realty TrustSell4.4·$3.28+1.23%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

BDN sits below the engine's quality floor with a negative risk/reward setup and a death-cross technical block, compounded by a recent earnings miss streak and a flagged yield trap.

Thesis pillars

  • Target Already Reached Limited UpsideStable
  • Quality Below Floor Fcf Positive But WeakStable
  • Negative Asymmetry And Death CrossStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Brandywine Realty Trust (BDN) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Office

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.28: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.00; Below-average business quality.

Brandywine Realty Trust is a self-administered, self-managed REIT that owns, develops, and manages office, life science/lab, residential, and mixed-use properties across four segments: Philadelphia Central Business District, Pennsylvania Suburbs, Austin, Texas, and Other... Read more

$3.28-1.1% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#12 of 17 REIT - Office
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield14.66%
IncomeYield9.88%(5y avg 12.21%)Payout542.86%
Stop $3.07Target $3.24(resistance)A.R:R -3.2:1
Analyst target$3.00-8.5%3 analysts
$3.24our TP
$3.28price
$3.00mean
$3
$4

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.28: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 16d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Brandywine Realty Trust

About Brandywine Realty Trust

Brandywine Realty Trust concentrates its office, life science/lab, residential, and mixed-use portfolio in four markets: the Philadelphia Central Business District, the Pennsylvania Suburbs, Austin, Texas, and an 'Other' segment spanning Washington, D.C., Northern Virginia, Southern Maryland, and parts of New Jersey and Delaware. The REIT recognized $67.5 million of impairment charges on its real estate investments and unconsolidated ventures in 2025, up from $53.1 million in 2024, and employed approximately 268 full-time employees as of December 31, 2025.

Brandywine earns rental income under leases that typically pass through a portion of operating expense increases -- insurance, real estate taxes, utilities, and maintenance -- to tenants, supplemented by third-party development and construction-management fees and returns from joint ventures with institutional partners that share investment risk and capital requirements. The company funds developments, redevelopments, and acquisitions primarily through property-disposition proceeds, excess operating cash flow after dividends, and external debt and equity capital, including an unsecured revolving credit facility with Bank of America as administrative agent; on May 28, 2026, Brandywine extended that facility's maturity by six months, to December 30, 2026, paying an extension fee equal to 0.0625% of the facility. The REIT's Austin, Texas and mixed-use development pipeline exposes it to construction-cost inflation, labor and material shortages, and lease-up risk on newly delivered space, while its office-heavy Philadelphia CBD and Suburbs base ties results to financial and professional-services tenant demand.

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Brandywine's risk disclosures single out a structural exposure other diversified REITs don't share: the 10-K notes its portfolio 'consists primarily of office buildings,' a concentration that ties results to job losses in the financial and professional-services sector and to post-pandemic shifts in space utilization. That office-heavy base compounds tenant-credit risk -- a bankruptcy filing by a tenant or lease guarantor bars Brandywine from collecting pre-petition rent absent bankruptcy-court approval, and a rejected lease leaves only a general unsecured claim, from which the 10-K states the company would likely recover substantially less than the lease's remaining value. Brandywine's pivot toward life science/lab and mixed-use development in Austin and its 'Other' markets is one avenue for diversifying away from this office concentration.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Office

From Brandywine Realty Trust's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — Brandywine Realty Trust

Generated 2026-07-06T17:22:16Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202616d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-22.1% upside)
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-162.0
Mkt Cap$563M
EV/EBITDA16.8
Profit Mgn-45.7%
ROE-23.1%
Rev Growth6.3%
Beta1.25
Dividend9.88%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C4.00bearish

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-01Item 1.01LOW
    Brandywine extended the maturity of its unsecured revolving credit facility with Bank of America as administrative agent by six months, from June 30, 2026 to December 30, 2026, exercising an option under the existing credit agreement and paying an extension fee equal to 0.0625% of the facility.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.3
Bollinger
1.6
52w Position
5.3

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Unprofitable operations — net margin -45.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.4
Operating Margin
1.6
Current Ratio
3.5
Moat
5.1
Fcf Quality
6.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Gross Margin
7.3
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 19%, FCF yield 14.7%)No competitive moat
GatesA.R:R -3.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 16d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $3.05Resistance $3.31

Price Targets

$3
$3
A.Upside-1.2%
A.R:R-3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-22.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (16d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BDN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.28: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $3.07. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BDN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $3.24 (-1.1% upside). Prior stop was $3.07. Stop-loss: $3.07.

What are the risks of investing in BDN?

Target reached (-22.1% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is BDN overvalued or undervalued?

Brandywine Realty Trust trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -162.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BDN?

12 analysts cover BDN with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $3.

What does Brandywine Realty Trust do?Brandywine Realty Trust is a self-administered, self-managed REIT that owns, develops, and manages office, life...

Brandywine Realty Trust is a self-administered, self-managed REIT that owns, develops, and manages office, life science/lab, residential, and mixed-use properties across four segments: Philadelphia Central Business District, Pennsylvania Suburbs, Austin, Texas, and Other (Washington, D.C., Northern Virginia, and parts of New Jersey and Delaware). The company earns rental income from a diversified tenant base under an UPREIT structure and employed approximately 268 full-time employees as of December 31, 2025. Brandywine recognized $67.5 million in real estate impairment charges in 2025, up from

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Latest news

Latest News

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