Skip to main content
BBARBanco BBVA Argentina S.A.Sell6.3·$15.10-1.05%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Four consecutive quarterly earnings misses—the most recent a shortfall of -74%—combined with business quality below the minimum threshold and a stock price that has reached its analyst target with only 1.4% remaining upside argue against initiating a new position at current levels; improved earnings execution and a pullback to a more favorable entry point would be needed to reopen the thesis.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Minimum ThresholdImproving
  • Persistent Earnings Miss PatternDeteriorating
  • Price At Target No UpsideImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. (BBAR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $15.10: Consecutive earnings misses (3); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1).

Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. provides banking products and services in Argentina. The company offers retail banking products and services, such as checking and savings accounts, time deposits, credit card financing, consumer and pledge loans, mortgages, insurance, and investment... Read more

$15.10+40.8% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#62 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
Stop $14.03Target $21.25(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 4.1:1
Analyst target$25.00+65.6%4 analysts
$21.25our TP
$15.10price
$25.00mean
$29

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $15.10: Consecutive earnings misses (3); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04

Recent Developments — Banco BBVA Argentina S.A.

Generated 2026-09-04T13:22:02Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 24, 202681d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1)
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.8
P/E (Fwd)13.7
Mkt Cap$3.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn8.6%
ROE8.1%
Rev Growth24.7%
Beta-0.05
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C3.56bearish
IV103%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesMomentum 6.6>=5.5A.R:R 4.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.93Resistance $17.97

Price Targets

$14
$21
A.Upside+40.8%
A.R:R4.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-24 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BBAR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $15.10: Consecutive earnings misses (3); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $14.03. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BBAR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.25 (+40.8% upside). Prior stop was $14.03. Stop-loss: $14.03.

What are the risks of investing in BBAR?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Consecutive earnings misses (3); Elevated risk factors.

Is BBAR overvalued or undervalued?

Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. trades at a P/E of 13.8 (forward 13.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BBAR?

11 analysts cover BBAR with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $25.

What does Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. do?Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. provides banking products and services in Argentina. The company offers retail banking...

Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. provides banking products and services in Argentina. The company offers retail banking products and services, such as checking and savings accounts, time deposits, credit card financing, consumer and pledge loans, mortgages, insurance, and investment products to individuals; and financing products, factoring, checking accounts, time deposits, transactional and payroll services, insurance, and investment products to private-sector companies and small and medium-sized enterprises. It also provides corporate and investment banking products and services, including global transaction services; global markets solutions comprising risk management and securities brokerage; project finance and syndicated loans; and corporate finance services consisting of mergers and acquisitions and capital markets advisory services to corporations and multinational companies. In addition, the company provides foreign trade and asset management services, as well as credit and debit cards. The company was formerly known as BBVA Banco Francés S.A. and changed its name to Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. in November 2019. The company was incorporated in 1886 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Related stocks: CARE (Carter Bankshares, Inc.) · PKBK (Parke Bancorp, Inc.) · CCNE (CNB Financial Corporation) · ISTR (Investar Holding Corporation) · MBIN (Merchants Bancorp)
Home Stocks BBAR

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga8d agoEarnings
Benzinga56d agoAnalyst
Benzinga84d ago
Benzinga101d agoEarnings
Benzinga101d agoEarnings