BigBear.ai (BBAI) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- -$0.05
- Estimate
- -$0.04
- Surprise
- -11.1%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $36.7M
- Score today
- 4.4/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
BigBear.ai (BBAI) reported a wider loss than forecast — diluted EPS of -$0.05 against the -$0.04 estimate (a 11.1% shortfall).
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates BBAI Sell at 4.4/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -11.1% surprise compares with a +34.0% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-02.
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Customer: customers contributing in excess of 10% of revenues (51.0%)
- Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)
- Momentum score 2.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $2.92
- Price target
- $3.40
- Stop
- $2.72
- Upside to target
- +16.4%
- Reward-to-risk
- 1.7:1
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-05 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
BBAI at TrendMatrix's latest read
Technology names get repriced on forward expectations more than trailing prints — a quarter here is read through next-year growth and multiple, not the EPS line alone.
- Industry
- Information Technology Services
- Market cap
- $1.40B
- P/E (fwd)
- -14.6
- 52-week range
- $2.59–$9.39
- Off 52-week high
- 68.9%
- RSI (14)
- 38
- Volume vs avg
- 0.61×
- Score today
- 4.4/10