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BBAIBigBear.ai, Inc.Sell3.6·$3.40-3.55%
BBAI · Concentration risk · 10-K extracted

BigBear.ai (BBAI) concentration risks

Updated

The most significant concentration BigBear.ai discloses is customers contributing in excess of 10% of revenues, classified HIGH by disclosed size. Below: the full set from the latest 10-K — verbatim quotes, filing references, and a synthesis of what these exposures mean together.

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Source: BigBear.ai’s SEC Form 10-K filed view the filing on SEC EDGAR ↗

At a glance

Disclosed-size breakdown · 2 disclosed concentrations

HIGH1
MEDIUM1
LOW0
Disclosed concentrations

Each card carries a disclosed-size chip (HIGH / MEDIUM / LOW — how large the exposure is as a share of revenue, not how dangerous it is) and a nature tag: Built-in(the company’s own model, geography, or products) or Outside party (an external customer, supplier, or distributor it relies on).

HIGHOutside partyCustomer
51%

customers contributing in excess of 10% of revenues

10-K Item 1A: 'revenue earned from customers contributing in excess of 10% of consolidated revenues was $65 million or 51% of revenue for the twelve months ended December 31, 2025'
SEC 10-K · filed Mar 2026
MEDIUMBuilt-in & outside partyCustomer

public/government sector

10-K Item 1A: 'a significant portion of our business being dependent on sales to the public/government sector'
SEC 10-K · filed Mar 2026
TrendMatrix Research · concentration synthesis

What these concentrations mean together

updated 2026-06-24

The company carries a high-share customer concentration: revenue earned from customers contributing in excess of 10% of consolidated revenues totaled $65 million, or 51% of revenue for the twelve months ended December 31, 2025. That figure signals that more than half of the top line runs through a small cluster of large buyers, each individually material — a dependency exposure where any single program wind-down, contract non-renewal, or budget reallocation could materially reduce reported revenue in a given year. Compounding that is a medium-share structural exposure to the public and government sector. The business is significantly dependent on sales to public and government customers, which introduces a mixed character: government contracts typically provide multi-year revenue visibility, but they are also subject to appropriations cycles, procurement delays, and changes in agency priorities that are outside the company's control. The two exposures are closely related — a meaningful portion of the concentrated customer base likely resides in the government sector — so they are not independent risks but rather reinforce each other. On balance, the dominant variable to monitor is the customer renewal and re-award cadence among the top-tier buyers. Diversification away from the largest customers and toward a broader commercial base would be the clearest way to reduce this profile over time.

For the engine’s reasoning on BBAI’s current verdict — including which dimensions drove the score — see the per-dimension breakdown.

Industry peers · Information Technology Services

Peer concentration profile

SymbolNameHIGHMEDIUMLOWTotal
CACICACI International, Inc.3104
BBAIBigBear.ai, Inc.1102
ACNAccenture plc0000
APLDApplied Digital Corporation0000
BRBroadridge Financial Solutions,0000
CDWCDW Corporation0000

Concentration counts reflect items disclosed in each peer’s most recent 10-K; disclosed-size classification uses TrendMatrix’s internal 10-K extraction taxonomy.

Concentration disclosures are extracted verbatim from SEC 10-K filings; the disclosed-size classification and the synthesis above are engine-derived. Size reflects how large each exposure is against fixed share thresholds (HIGH >50%, MEDIUM 25–50%, LOW <25% or an explicit diversification statement), not a judgment of how dangerous it is, and is not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or a view on the stock. Not a complete list of risk factors — see the full filing.

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