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ATEXAnterix Inc.Sell5.4·$90.20-1.41%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Anterix combines a strong recent beat history, 41% growth, and a wide moat with an already-reached analyst target, multiple value-trap signals, and a failing Rule of 40 score that together argue for a cautious, reduce-leaning stance.

Thesis pillars

  • Value Trap SignalsDeteriorating
  • Earnings Beats And Growth MomentumDeteriorating
  • Target Reached Negative AsymmetryDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Anterix Inc. (ATEX) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5GrowthQualityShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $90.20 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum.

Anterix is the nation's largest holder of licensed 900 MHz spectrum, covering the contiguous United States, Hawaii, Alaska, and Puerto Rico, which it monetizes through long-term leases and sales to electric utilities and critical infrastructure enterprises for private broadband... Read more

$90.20+1.7% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#27 of 44 Telecom Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-3.97%
Stop $83.65Target $91.52(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$107.67+19.4%3 analysts
$91.52our TP
$90.20price
$107.67mean
$69
$133

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $90.20 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202689d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Outperforming peers
Wide economic moat
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum
Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -556.6%), Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.57% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.4
P/E (Fwd)44.4
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA-41.7
Profit Mgn933.0%
ROE27.9%
Rev Growth38.1%
Beta0.85
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.03bullish
IV78%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomera limited number of customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'we generally intend to enter into long-term leasing or sales agreements for our spectrum assets in one county with one customer, or a limited number of customers, in each geographic area'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 0.57%=EXTREMENo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $79.91Resistance $113.00

Price Targets

$84
$92
A.Upside+1.7%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.7% upside)
! momentum at 2.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATEX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $90.20 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $83.65. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ATEX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $91.52 (+1.7% upside). Prior stop was $83.65. Stop-loss: $83.65.

What are the risks of investing in ATEX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum; Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -556.6%), Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.57% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is ATEX overvalued or undervalued?

Anterix Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.4 (forward 44.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ATEX?

10 analysts cover ATEX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $108.

What does Anterix Inc. do?Anterix is the nation's largest holder of licensed 900 MHz spectrum, covering the contiguous United States, Hawaii,...

Anterix is the nation's largest holder of licensed 900 MHz spectrum, covering the contiguous United States, Hawaii, Alaska, and Puerto Rico, which it monetizes through long-term leases and sales to electric utilities and critical infrastructure enterprises for private broadband (PLTE) networks. As of March 31, 2026, the company held signed leases with Ameren, Evergy, Xcel Energy, and TECO worth a combined $192.4 million and newer spectrum sale agreements with CPS Energy, Texas-New Mexico Power, and NorthWestern Energy, while expanding into recurring-revenue services through its TowerX tower-ac

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