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APMDApnimed, Inc.Sell6.1·$27.04-2.76%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Apnimed screens with strong financial-strength characteristics and net insider buying, and ranks as a growth leader among industry peers, with a value profile that skews constructive on price-to-earnings. No current share price is available this run, so no trade setup or risk/reward can be computed.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Piotroski Financial StrengthStable
  • Net Bullish Insider BuyingStable
  • Industry Growth Leadership RankStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Apnimed, Inc. (APMD) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.04: Risk below floor (0.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 3.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Negative price momentum.

Apnimed, Inc. operates as a clinical pharmaceutical company that develops and manufactures novel oral therapies that address the neurobiology of sleep-related breathing diseases in global markets. It offers AD109, an oral therapy designed to treat obstructive sleep apnea (OSA)... Read more

$27.04+55.9% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#36 of 259 Biotechnology
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
Stop $25.53Target $42.78(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.7:1
Analyst target$50.33+86.1%3 analysts
$42.78our TP
$27.04price
$50.33mean
$60

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.04: Risk below floor (0.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 3.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-06

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (0.0 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.4
P/E (Fwd)-6.8
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA9.5
Profit Mgn-26.5%
ROE
Rev Growth2608.8%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts3

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Volatile — 10.8% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Low model confidence on this dimension (20%).

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.6
Volume
0.8
Rsi
3.5
Ma Position
3.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R 3.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $22.64Resistance $35.29

Price Targets

$26
$43
A.Upside+55.9%
A.R:R3.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (0.0 < 3.0)
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for APMD.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APMD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.04: Risk below floor (0.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 3.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $25.53. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the APMD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $42.78 (+55.9% upside). Prior stop was $25.53. Stop-loss: $25.53.

What are the risks of investing in APMD?

Risk below floor (0.0 < 3.0).

Is APMD overvalued or undervalued?

Apnimed, Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.4 (forward -6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

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What does Apnimed, Inc. do?Apnimed, Inc. operates as a clinical pharmaceutical company that develops and manufactures novel oral therapies that...

Apnimed, Inc. operates as a clinical pharmaceutical company that develops and manufactures novel oral therapies that address the neurobiology of sleep-related breathing diseases in global markets. It offers AD109, an oral therapy designed to treat obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) by targeting the underlying neuromuscular dysfunction. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

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