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APAMArtisan Partners Asset ManagemeBuy Wait6.2·$42.38-0.70%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Artisan Partners is a high-quality asset management franchise generating 23% operating margins, a Piotroski score of 8 out of 9, and three quarters of earnings beats — but the stock is currently trading roughly 10% above analyst consensus price targets in a confirmed falling-knife technical configuration, creating a challenging near-term setup despite the underlying business quality.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Margin ProfileStable
  • Stock Above Analyst ConsensusStable
  • Falling Knife Technical ConfigurationStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Artisan Partners Asset Manageme (APAM) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitValueQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Wait for pullback to $38.48. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $42.38. Engine's entry $38.48 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Artisan Partners Asset Management, founded in 1994, manages $179.9 billion in AUM across active equity, credit, and alternative investment strategies globally via an autonomous team structure. Revenue comes almost entirely from investment management fees on average AUM, with 61%... Read more

$42.38-20.9% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#52 of 235 Asset Management
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield9.61%
IncomeYield8.28%(5y avg 7.68%)Payout81.29%at-risk
Entry $38.48(support + ATR (held))Stop $35.85Target $42.93(resistance)A.R:R -2.1:1
Analyst target$39.25-7.4%4 analysts
$42.93our TP
$42.38price
$39.25mean
$35
$45

Wait for pullback to $38.48. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $42.38. Engine's entry $38.48 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-20.9% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202674d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.0
P/E (Fwd)10.6
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA7.4
Profit Mgn24.1%
ROE64.6%
Rev Growth8.9%
Beta1.65
Dividend8.28%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.04bullish
IV105%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicnon-U.S. company strategies48%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 48% of our AUM were invested in strategies that primarily invest in securities of non-U.S. companies'
  • LOWCustomerlargest separate account12%
    10-K Item 1: 'our largest separate account relationship representing approximately 12% of our AUM'
  • LOWCustomertwo largest intermediary relationships9.0%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our two largest intermediary relationships across multiple distribution channels each represented approximately 9% of our total AUM'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -2.1=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 74d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $38.07Resistance $43.81

Price Targets

$36
$38
$43
A.Upside-20.9%
A.R:R-2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.7%
Max %1.5%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-20.9% upside)
! News modifier capped: WAIT cannot upgrade to NOW via sentiment alone
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (74d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APAM stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $38.48. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $42.38. Engine's entry $38.48 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-20.9% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $42.93 (+1.3%), stop $35.85 (−18.2%), A.R:R -2.1:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the APAM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $42.93 (-20.9% upside). Target $42.93 (+1.3%), stop $35.85 (−18.2%), A.R:R -2.1:1. Stop-loss: $35.85.

What are the risks of investing in APAM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is APAM overvalued or undervalued?

Artisan Partners Asset Manageme trades at a P/E of 10.0 (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about APAM?

9 analysts cover APAM with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Artisan Partners Asset Manageme do?Artisan Partners Asset Management, founded in 1994, manages $179.9 billion in AUM across active equity, credit, and...

Artisan Partners Asset Management, founded in 1994, manages $179.9 billion in AUM across active equity, credit, and alternative investment strategies globally via an autonomous team structure. Revenue comes almost entirely from investment management fees on average AUM, with 61% of assets sourced through intermediated wealth channels and 39% through institutional channels.

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