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APAMArtisan Partners Asset ManagemeBuy Wait5.9·$41.15-0.05%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Artisan Partners is a high-quality asset management franchise generating 23% operating margins, a Piotroski score of 8 out of 9, and three quarters of earnings beats — but the stock is currently trading roughly 10% above analyst consensus price targets in a confirmed falling-knife technical configuration, creating a challenging near-term setup despite the underlying business quality.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Margin ProfileStable
  • Stock Above Analyst ConsensusImproving
  • Falling Knife Technical ConfigurationStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Artisan Partners Asset Manageme (APAM) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitValueQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Wait for pullback to $39.54. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $41.15. Engine's entry $39.54 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Artisan Partners Asset Management, founded in 1994, manages $179.9 billion in AUM across active equity, credit, and alternative investment strategies globally via an autonomous team structure. Revenue comes almost entirely from investment management fees on average AUM, with 61%... Read more

$41.15-18.9% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#66 of 236 Asset Management
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield9.97%
IncomeYield8.41%(5y avg 7.70%)Payout81.29%at-risk
Entry $39.54(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $37.50Target $43.38(resistance)A.R:R -3.8:1
Analyst target$39.25-4.6%4 analysts
$43.38our TP
$41.15price
$39.25mean
$35
$45

Wait for pullback to $39.54. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $41.15. Engine's entry $39.54 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-18.9% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.6 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.9
P/E (Fwd)10.2
Mkt Cap$2.9B
EV/EBITDA7.2
Profit Mgn24.1%
ROE64.6%
Rev Growth8.9%
Beta1.66
Dividend8.41%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.36bullish
IV80%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicnon-U.S. company strategies48%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 48% of our AUM were invested in strategies that primarily invest in securities of non-U.S. companies'
  • LOWCustomerlargest separate account12%
    10-K Item 1: 'our largest separate account relationship representing approximately 12% of our AUM'
  • LOWCustomertwo largest intermediary relationships9.0%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our two largest intermediary relationships across multiple distribution channels each represented approximately 9% of our total AUM'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume
6.1
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R -3.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $40.40Resistance $44.27

Price Targets

$38
$40
$43
A.Upside-18.9%
A.R:R-3.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.3%
Max %2.6%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.9% upside)
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APAM stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $39.54. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $41.15. Engine's entry $39.54 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-18.9% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $43.38 (+5.4%), stop $37.50 (−9.7%), A.R:R -3.8:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the APAM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $43.38 (-18.9% upside). Target $43.38 (+5.4%), stop $37.50 (−9.7%), A.R:R -3.8:1. Stop-loss: $37.50.

What are the risks of investing in APAM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is APAM overvalued or undervalued?

Artisan Partners Asset Manageme trades at a P/E of 9.9 (forward 10.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about APAM?

9 analysts cover APAM with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Artisan Partners Asset Manageme do?Artisan Partners Asset Management, founded in 1994, manages $179.9 billion in AUM across active equity, credit, and...

Artisan Partners Asset Management, founded in 1994, manages $179.9 billion in AUM across active equity, credit, and alternative investment strategies globally via an autonomous team structure. Revenue comes almost entirely from investment management fees on average AUM, with 61% of assets sourced through intermediated wealth channels and 39% through institutional channels.

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