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ANLAdlai Nortye Group Ltd.Sell5.1·$13.97+0.87%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Adlai Nortye combines explosive revenue growth with severe cash burn, an unreliable analyst price target, and a business-quality score below the investment floor, leaving the growth narrative overshadowed by financial and data-quality concerns.

Thesis pillars

  • Explosive Revenue GrowthStable
  • Severe Cash BurnStable
  • Unreliable Analyst Target DataStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Adlai Nortye Group Ltd. (ANL) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.97: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Adlai Nortye Group Ltd., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery and development of cancer therapies. The company's pipeline centers on RAS-targeting therapies and next-generation cancer immunotherapies. Its RAS-targeting programs include AN9025, an... Read more

$13.97+48.0% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#149 of 259 Biotechnology
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-1.28%
Stop $12.95Target $20.61(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$24.25+73.6%4 analysts
$20.61our TP
$13.97price
$24.25mean
$32

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.97: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-03

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-50.2
Mkt Cap$892M
EV/EBITDA-31.7
Profit Mgn-124.8%
ROE-20.2%
Rev Growth
Beta1.12
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.0
Quality Rank
3.2
Growth Rank
5.0

Unprofitable operations — net margin -124.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Current Ratio
5.0
Piotroski F
5.6
Moat
6.2
Gross Margin
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -63% of revenue
GatesMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.48Resistance $15.20

Price Targets

$13
$21
A.Upside+48.0%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for ANL.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ANL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.97: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $12.95. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ANL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.61 (+48.0% upside). Prior stop was $12.95. Stop-loss: $12.95.

What are the risks of investing in ANL?

Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is ANL overvalued or undervalued?

Adlai Nortye Group Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -50.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ANL?

9 analysts cover ANL with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Adlai Nortye Group Ltd. do?Adlai Nortye Group Ltd., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery and development of cancer...

Adlai Nortye Group Ltd., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery and development of cancer therapies. The company's pipeline centers on RAS-targeting therapies and next-generation cancer immunotherapies. Its RAS-targeting programs include AN9025, an oral pan-RAS(ON) inhibitor for RAS-driven cancers, and AN4035, a CEACAM5-targeting antibody-drug conjugate that delivers a pan-RAS(ON) inhibitor to tumors. Its immunotherapy programs include AN8025, a tri-functional fusion protein (aPD-L1 x CD86 variant x LAG3 variant) that modulates T-cells and antigen-presenting cells; AN0025, a small molecule EP4 antagonist; and AN4005, an oral small-molecule PD-L1 inhibitor. The company supports its pipeline through an immuno-oncology research and development platform with operations in the United States and China. Adlai Nortye Group Ltd. was formerly known as Adlai Nortye Ltd. and changed its name to Adlai Nortye Group Ltd. in July, 2026. Adlai Nortye Group Ltd. was founded in 2004 and is based in North Brunswick, New Jersey.

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