Skip to main content
AMTAmerican Tower Corporation (REISell6.0·$176.02-0.97%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

An exceptionally high-quality real estate franchise with free cash flow well in excess of reported net income and three consecutive earnings beats trades at roughly 15 times cash flow, but a risk/reward ratio of 0.89 and debt-to-equity of 4.4 suggest the setup favors waiting for a better entry rather than initiating at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Cash Generative FranchiseStable
  • Recent Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Unfavorable Near Term Entry GeometryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

American Tower Corporation (REI (AMT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $176.02: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

American Tower Corporation owns and operates 149,686 communications sites globally across the U.S. & Canada, Latin America, Europe, and Africa & APAC, plus 30 data center facilities across 11 U.S. markets, with property operations generating 97% of total revenues via long-term... Read more

$176.02+10.3% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#2 of 16 REIT - Specialty
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.53%
IncomeYield4.04%(5y avg 2.93%)Payout96.01%
Stop $168.61Target $194.13(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$215.70+22.5%23 analysts
$194.13our TP
$176.02price
$215.70mean
$260

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $176.02: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.1 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.8
P/E (Fwd)25.4
Mkt Cap$82.8B
EV/EBITDA18.8
Profit Mgn31.1%
ROE33.9%
Rev Growth4.7%
Beta0.89
Dividend4.04%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.47bullish
IV33%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.9
Value Rank
4.3
Quality Rank
6.7
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.6>=5.5A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $168.50Resistance $180.98

Price Targets

$169
$194
A.Upside+10.3%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts29
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$216

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $176.02: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $168.61. Score 6.0/10, high confidence.

What is the AMT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $194.13 (+10.3% upside). Prior stop was $168.61. Stop-loss: $168.61.

What are the risks of investing in AMT?

Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5.

Is AMT overvalued or undervalued?

American Tower Corporation (REI trades at a P/E of 23.8 (forward 25.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AMT?

29 analysts cover AMT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $216.

What does American Tower Corporation (REI do?American Tower Corporation owns and operates 149,686 communications sites globally across the U.S. & Canada, Latin...

American Tower Corporation owns and operates 149,686 communications sites globally across the U.S. & Canada, Latin America, Europe, and Africa & APAC, plus 30 data center facilities across 11 U.S. markets, with property operations generating 97% of total revenues via long-term tenant leases. Revenue is concentrated in four customers — T-Mobile (18%), AT&T (17%), Verizon Wireless (14%), and Telefónica (10%) — who together represent 59% of total revenues.

Related stocks: GLPI (Gaming and Leisure Properties, ) · IRM (Iron Mountain Incorporated (Del) · DLR (Digital Realty Trust, Inc.) · EQIX (Equinix, Inc.) · WY (Weyerhaeuser Company)
Home Stocks AMT

Latest news

Latest News

Investing.com37d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat37d agoAnalyst
TIKR.com37d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance37d agoEarnings
Kalkine Media72d ago
Yahoo Finance44d agoEarnings
GuruFocus44d ago
Yahoo Finance135d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance108d ago
Insider Monkey66d ago
Yahoo Finance66d ago
Seeking Alpha66d ago
Yahoo Finance66d ago
Simplywall.st38d ago
Investing.com38d agoAnalyst
Benzinga38d ago
Yahoo Finance38d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance38d agoEarnings
Seeking Alpha38d ago
TIKR.com101d ago
Loading more...