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AMTAmerican Tower Corporation (REIBuy Wait6.3·$166.67+1.23%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

An exceptionally high-quality real estate franchise with free cash flow well in excess of reported net income and three consecutive earnings beats trades at roughly 15 times cash flow, but a risk/reward ratio of 0.89 and debt-to-equity of 4.4 suggest the setup favors waiting for a better entry rather than initiating at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Cash Generative FranchiseStable
  • Recent Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Unfavorable Near Term Entry GeometryImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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American Tower Corporation (REI (AMT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitGrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Earnings in 2 days (2026-07-28). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $163.16. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $166.67. Engine's entry $163.16 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5.

American Tower Corporation owns and operates 149,686 communications sites globally across the U.S. & Canada, Latin America, Europe, and Africa & APAC, plus 30 data center facilities across 11 U.S. markets, with property operations generating 97% of total revenues via long-term... Read more

$166.67+16.0% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#2 of 16 REIT - Specialty
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.94%
IncomeYield4.19%(5y avg 2.93%)Payout82.26%
Entry $163.16(1 ATR pullback)Stop $156.14Target $193.27(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$214.74+28.8%23 analysts
$193.27our TP
$166.67price
$214.74mean
$260

Wait for pullback to $163.16. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $166.67. Engine's entry $163.16 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 2d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 20262d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.9
P/E (Fwd)24.3
Mkt Cap$77.7B
EV/EBITDA18.3
Profit Mgn26.8%
ROE30.0%
Rev Growth6.8%
Beta0.91
Dividend4.19%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV39%normal
Max Pain$120-28.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 2d<=7dMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $160.06Resistance $176.60

Price Targets

$156
$163
$193
A.Upside+16.0%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 2 days - binary event risk
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:2d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (2d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMT stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $163.16. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $166.67. Engine's entry $163.16 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $193.27 (+16.0%), stop $156.14 (−6.7%), A.R:R 3.2:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AMT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $193.27 (+16.0% upside). Target $193.27 (+16.0%), stop $156.14 (−6.7%), A.R:R 3.2:1. Stop-loss: $156.14.

What are the risks of investing in AMT?

Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5.

Is AMT overvalued or undervalued?

American Tower Corporation (REI trades at a P/E of 26.9 (forward 24.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AMT?

29 analysts cover AMT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $215.

What does American Tower Corporation (REI do?American Tower Corporation owns and operates 149,686 communications sites globally across the U.S. & Canada, Latin...

American Tower Corporation owns and operates 149,686 communications sites globally across the U.S. & Canada, Latin America, Europe, and Africa & APAC, plus 30 data center facilities across 11 U.S. markets, with property operations generating 97% of total revenues via long-term tenant leases. Revenue is concentrated in four customers — T-Mobile (18%), AT&T (17%), Verizon Wireless (14%), and Telefónica (10%) — who together represent 59% of total revenues.

Related stocks: DLR (Digital Realty Trust, Inc.) · GLPI (Gaming and Leisure Properties, ) · IRM (Iron Mountain Incorporated (Del) · EQIX (Equinix, Inc.) · WY (Weyerhaeuser Company)
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