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ALMRAlamar Biosciences, Inc.Sell5.4·$25.88-0.04%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Alamar Biosciences is growing revenue 99% YoY as an industry leader, but the stock has already reached its prior analyst target with a failed asymmetry gate, a momentum score sitting exactly at the pass-fail line, and an expensive, leverage-penalized valuation, leaving little room for further re-rating.

Thesis pillars

  • Elite Revenue Growth Industry LeaderStable
  • Target Already ReachedImproving
  • Failed Asymmetry At Momentum FloorStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Alamar Biosciences, Inc. (ALMR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Sell if holding. At $25.88, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Thin upside margin: 6.9%.

Alamar Biosciences, Inc., a proteomics company, develops a proteomic liquid biopsy platform and sells instruments, consumables, and services to early detection of diseases. The company develops NULISA technology, a proteomics platform that detects and quantifies protein... Read more

$25.88+6.9% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#43 of 62 Medical Devices
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield
Stop $24.07Target $27.67(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$31.80+22.9%5 analysts
$27.67our TP
$25.88price
$31.80mean
$35

Sell if holding. At $25.88, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Thin upside margin: 6.9%. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-25

Recent Developments — Alamar Biosciences, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-25T14:12:23Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.9%
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-36.8
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA-64.5
Profit Mgn-49.9%
ROE
Rev Growth98.9%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
1.2
Growth Rank
9.5
Industry growth leader

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Analyst Target
6.0
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 2.2<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $23.50Resistance $29.43

Price Targets

$24
$28
A.Upside+6.9%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for ALMR.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALMR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $25.88, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Thin upside margin: 6.9%. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $24.07. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALMR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.67 (+6.9% upside). Prior stop was $24.07. Stop-loss: $24.07.

What are the risks of investing in ALMR?

Thin upside margin: 6.9%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Expensive valuation.

Is ALMR overvalued or undervalued?

Alamar Biosciences, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -36.8). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ALMR?

11 analysts cover ALMR with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $32.

What does Alamar Biosciences, Inc. do?Alamar Biosciences, Inc., a proteomics company, develops a proteomic liquid biopsy platform and sells instruments,...

Alamar Biosciences, Inc., a proteomics company, develops a proteomic liquid biopsy platform and sells instruments, consumables, and services to early detection of diseases. The company develops NULISA technology, a proteomics platform that detects and quantifies protein biomarkers. It offers ARGO high throughput (HT) System, a fully automated precision proteomics platform, performs ultra-high sensitivity and multiplexed analysis to support biomarker analysis across the continuum of discovery, translational research and ultimately, and diagnostics. The company's offering is utilized in research areas including immunology, neurology, and oncology. It serves global research and academic institutions, biopharmaceutical companies, contract research organizations, and service labs. The company operates in the United States, rest of Europe, Middle East and Africa, Germany, Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Fremont, California.

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