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ALMRAlamar Biosciences, Inc.Hold6.1·$24.24
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Alamar Biosciences is growing revenue 99% YoY as an industry leader, but the stock has already reached its prior analyst target with a failed asymmetry gate, a momentum score sitting exactly at the pass-fail line, and an expensive, leverage-penalized valuation, leaving little room for further re-rating.

Thesis pillars

  • Elite Revenue Growth Industry Leader→Stable
  • Target Already Reached→Stable
  • Failed Asymmetry At Momentum Floor→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Alamar Biosciences, Inc. (ALMR) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.24, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Negative momentum.

Alamar Biosciences, Inc., a proteomics company, develops a proteomic liquid biopsy platform and sells instruments, consumables, and services to early detection of diseases. The company develops NULISA technology, a proteomics platform that detects and quantifies protein... Read more

$24.24+27.1% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#11 of 62 Medical Devices
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $22.86Target $30.80(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$35.40+46.0%5 analysts
$30.80our TP
$24.24price
$35.40mean
$45

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.24, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 22d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202622d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-46.6
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA-42.7
Profit Mgn-49.5%
ROE—
Rev Growth82.1%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWide

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
3.5
Volume
5.9
Volume distribution (falling OBV)
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 22d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
32 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $23.57Resistance $39.61

Price Targets

$23
$31
A.Upside+27.1%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (22d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALMR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.24, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $30.80 (+27.1%), stop $22.86 (−6.0%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALMR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.80 (+27.1% upside). Target $30.80 (+27.1%), stop $22.86 (−6.0%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $22.86.

What are the risks of investing in ALMR?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Negative momentum.

Is ALMR overvalued or undervalued?

Alamar Biosciences, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -46.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ALMR?

11 analysts cover ALMR with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $35.

What does Alamar Biosciences, Inc. do?Alamar Biosciences, Inc., a proteomics company, develops a proteomic liquid biopsy platform and sells instruments,...

Alamar Biosciences, Inc., a proteomics company, develops a proteomic liquid biopsy platform and sells instruments, consumables, and services to early detection of diseases. The company develops NULISA technology, a proteomics platform that detects and quantifies protein biomarkers. It offers ARGO high throughput (HT) System, a fully automated precision proteomics platform, performs ultra-high sensitivity and multiplexed analysis to support biomarker analysis across the continuum of discovery, translational research and ultimately, and diagnostics. The company's offering is utilized in research areas including immunology, neurology, and oncology. It serves global research and academic institutions, biopharmaceutical companies, contract research organizations, and service labs. The company operates in the United States, rest of Europe, Middle East and Africa, Germany, Asia Pacific, and internationally. It has a strategic partnership with Alzheimer's Disease Data Initiative, and Gates Ventures to advance translational research in alzheimer's disease. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Fremont, California.

Related stocks: LIVN (LivaNova PLC) · PODD (Insulet Corporation) · GMED (Globus Medical, Inc.) · BWAY (Brainsway Ltd.) · ZBH (Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc.)
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