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ALMRAlamar Biosciences, Inc.Hold5.8·$30.60
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Alamar is a hypergrowth, wide-moat medical-device company whose price has already reached the analyst target, leaving an expensive valuation and heavy insider selling. The growth is real, but the price offers almost no margin of safety.

Thesis pillars

  • Hypergrowth Revenue→Stable
  • Wide Moat Quality→Stable
  • Target Already Reached→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Alamar Biosciences, Inc. (ALMR) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Earnings in 1 day (2026-11-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8).

Alamar Biosciences, Inc., a proteomics company, develops a proteomic liquid biopsy platform and sells instruments, consumables, and services to early detection of diseases. The company develops NULISA technology, a proteomics platform that detects and quantifies protein... Read more

$30.60+0.6% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#21 of 62 Medical Devices
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
Entry $23.24(R/R-minimum solve)Stop $22.29Analyst target $30.80(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst consensus$35.40+15.7%5 analysts
$30.80Analyst target
$30.60price
$35.40mean
$45

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $30.60 has reached target $30.80. No upside to wait for. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-11-02
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 20261d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong growth profile
Wide economic moat
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-67.7
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA-51.4
Profit Mgn-49.5%
ROE—
Rev Growth82.1%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWide

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Analyst Target
5.0
Expensive valuation
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 1.45%=EXTREMEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dMomentum 6.4>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $22.98Resistance $39.61

Price Targets

$22
$23
$31
A.Upside+0.6%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.6% upside)
! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk
! asymmetry at 0.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALMR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $30.60 has reached target $30.80. No upside to wait for. Analyst target $30.80 (+0.6%), stop $22.29 (−37.3%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALMR stock price target?

Analyst target: $30.80 (+0.6% upside). Analyst target $30.80 (+0.6%), stop $22.29 (−37.3%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $22.29.

What are the risks of investing in ALMR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Expensive valuation.

Is ALMR overvalued or undervalued?

Alamar Biosciences, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -67.7). TrendMatrix value score: 3.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ALMR?

11 analysts cover ALMR with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $35.

What does Alamar Biosciences, Inc. do?Alamar Biosciences, Inc., a proteomics company, develops a proteomic liquid biopsy platform and sells instruments,...

Alamar Biosciences, Inc., a proteomics company, develops a proteomic liquid biopsy platform and sells instruments, consumables, and services to early detection of diseases. The company develops NULISA technology, a proteomics platform that detects and quantifies protein biomarkers. It offers ARGO high throughput (HT) System, a fully automated precision proteomics platform, performs ultra-high sensitivity and multiplexed analysis to support biomarker analysis across the continuum of discovery, translational research and ultimately, and diagnostics. The company's offering is utilized in research areas including immunology, neurology, and oncology. It serves global research and academic institutions, biopharmaceutical companies, contract research organizations, and service labs. The company operates in the United States, rest of Europe, Middle East and Africa, Germany, Asia Pacific, and internationally. It has a strategic partnership with Alzheimer's Disease Data Initiative, and Gates Ventures to advance translational research in alzheimer's disease. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Fremont, California.

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