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ALMRAlamar Biosciences, Inc.Buy Wait5.7·$33.47+1.06%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Alamar Biosciences is growing revenue 99% YoY as an industry leader, but the stock has already reached its prior analyst target with a failed asymmetry gate, a momentum score sitting exactly at the pass-fail line, and an expensive, leverage-penalized valuation, leaving little room for further re-rating.

Thesis pillars

  • Elite Revenue Growth Industry LeaderStable
  • Target Already ReachedImproving
  • Failed Asymmetry At Momentum FloorImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Alamar Biosciences, Inc. (ALMR) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Wait for pullback to $31.20. BUY gates pass at $33.47, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and expensive valuation argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $31.20 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Alamar Biosciences, Inc., a proteomics company, develops a proteomic liquid biopsy platform and sells instruments, consumables, and services to early detection of diseases. The company develops NULISA technology, a proteomics platform that detects and quantifies protein... Read more

$33.47-11.7% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#24 of 59 Medical Devices
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
Entry $31.20(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $25.72Target $37.77(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$33.40-0.2%5 analysts
$37.77our TP
$33.47price
$33.40mean
$31
$38

Wait for pullback to $31.20. BUY gates pass at $33.47, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and expensive valuation argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $31.20 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202682d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.60)
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-60.7
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA-55.6
Profit Mgn-49.5%
ROE
Rev Growth82.1%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWide

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Expensive valuation
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.8
Support Resistance
3.7
52w Position
7.1
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $23.32Resistance $38.54

Price Targets

$26
$31
$38
A.Upside-11.7%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.7% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALMR stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $31.20. BUY gates pass at $33.47, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and expensive valuation argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $31.20 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $37.77 (+12.8%), stop $25.72 (−30.1%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALMR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $37.77 (-11.7% upside). Target $37.77 (+12.8%), stop $25.72 (−30.1%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $25.72.

What are the risks of investing in ALMR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation.

Is ALMR overvalued or undervalued?

Alamar Biosciences, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -60.7). TrendMatrix value score: 1.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ALMR?

11 analysts cover ALMR with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $33.

What does Alamar Biosciences, Inc. do?Alamar Biosciences, Inc., a proteomics company, develops a proteomic liquid biopsy platform and sells instruments,...

Alamar Biosciences, Inc., a proteomics company, develops a proteomic liquid biopsy platform and sells instruments, consumables, and services to early detection of diseases. The company develops NULISA technology, a proteomics platform that detects and quantifies protein biomarkers. It offers ARGO high throughput (HT) System, a fully automated precision proteomics platform, performs ultra-high sensitivity and multiplexed analysis to support biomarker analysis across the continuum of discovery, translational research and ultimately, and diagnostics. The company's offering is utilized in research areas including immunology, neurology, and oncology. It serves global research and academic institutions, biopharmaceutical companies, contract research organizations, and service labs. The company operates in the United States, rest of Europe, Middle East and Africa, Germany, Asia Pacific, and internationally. It has a strategic partnership with Alzheimer's Disease Data Initiative, and Gates Ventures to advance translational research in alzheimer's disease. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Fremont, California.

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