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ALMAlmonty Industries Inc.Sell5.5·$15.17+9.53%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The company carries an attractively low forward multiple and 32% analyst upside, with positive news sentiment and rising volume accumulation — but it is burning cash at a rate of 119% of revenue, falls well below the minimum quality threshold, and has no reliable earnings history to anchor forward estimates, making the investment case highly speculative until financial sustainability is demonstrated.

Thesis pillars

  • Severe Cash Burn Undermines ViabilityImproving
  • Attractive Valuation With Analyst UpsideDeteriorating
  • Quality Below Minimum FloorStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $15.17: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5; Elevated risk factors.

Almonty Industries Inc. engages in mining, processing, and shipping of tungsten concentrates. The company explores for tin and tungsten deposits. It holds 100% interests in the Canada, Korea, Portugal, Spain, and the United States projects and mines. The company is headquartered... Read more

$15.17+45.5% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#11 of 33 Other Industrial Metals & Mining
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-1.27%
Stop $14.03Target $21.95(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst target$25.23+66.3%7 analysts
$21.95our TP
$15.17price
$25.23mean
$33

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $15.17: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15

Recent Developments — Almonty Industries Inc.

Generated 2026-08-15T07:48:11Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Nov 6, 202684d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive momentum
Analyst upside: 45%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)66.0
P/E (Fwd)12.5
Mkt Cap$3.9B
EV/EBITDA697.4
Profit Mgn125.2%
ROE38.2%
Rev Growth497.7%
Beta1.32
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.25bearish
IV111%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.8
Bollinger
1.2
52w Position
2.4
Gap
5.0
GatesMomentum 7.1>=5.5A.R:R 3.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.74Resistance $15.47

Price Targets

$14
$22
A.Upside+45.5%
A.R:R3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts11
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target$25

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-06 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $15.17: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $14.03. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.95 (+45.5% upside). Prior stop was $14.03. Stop-loss: $14.03.

What are the risks of investing in ALM?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5; Elevated risk factors.

Is ALM overvalued or undervalued?

Almonty Industries Inc. trades at a P/E of 66.0 (forward 12.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ALM?

11 analysts cover ALM with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $25.

What does Almonty Industries Inc. do?Almonty Industries Inc. engages in mining, processing, and shipping of tungsten concentrates. The company explores for...

Almonty Industries Inc. engages in mining, processing, and shipping of tungsten concentrates. The company explores for tin and tungsten deposits. It holds 100% interests in the Canada, Korea, Portugal, Spain, and the United States projects and mines. The company is headquartered in Dillon, Montana.

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