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SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Yelp is a high-quality local advertising platform with a 9-out-of-9 Piotroski F-Score, 203% free cash flow conversion, and one of the lowest forward P/E ratios in its peer group at 5.3x, but 95% revenue concentration in advertising, 25% short interest, and a confirmed death-cross downtrend keep the risk-reward unfavorable for new entry at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Advertising Concentration Platform Risk↑Improving
  • 25pct Short Interest Quality Squeeze Setup↑Improving
  • Death Cross Negative Momentum↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Yelp Inc. (YELP) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $20.41 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: advertising revenue (95.0%).

Yelp operates a U.S.-focused consumer review platform connecting users with local businesses across more than 300 million ratings and reviews. Advertising represented 95% of total revenue in 2025, sourced from CPC ads, business page upgrades, and multi-location campaigns. The... Read more

$20.41+2.3% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#12 of 29 Internet Content & Information
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield25.62%
Stop $18.98Target $20.88(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$24.00+17.6%8 analysts
$20.88our TP
$20.41price
$24.00mean
$17
$30

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $20.41 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: advertising revenue (95.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Yelp Inc.

About Yelp Inc.

Yelp's local advertising platform produced record annual revenue in 2025, with advertising contributing 95% of total revenue through CPC-priced auctions and direct multi-location campaigns. The company's review archive surpasses 300 million ratings across local business categories, accumulated since Yelp's founding more than 20 years ago. The platform is primarily U.S.-focused, serving consumers searching for local businesses across a broad range of categories.

Yelp earns through three primary sales channels: a Local sales team responsible for businesses with fewer than 10 locations (historically the largest advertising revenue share, now nearly half), a Self-serve platform where businesses buy CPC ads and page upgrades directly, and a Multi-location channel targeting businesses with 10 or more locations. Advertising is priced through an automated auction that weighs advertiser budgets against predicted consumer traffic and relevance signals. Subscription and data-licensing products — including Yelp Guest Manager for restaurants and data licensing to partners such as Sprinklr and Chatmeter — generate the remaining 5% of revenue. Transaction revenue flows primarily through the DoorDash partnership, the largest by both transaction volume and revenue per the 10-K. Google is identified as the most significant source of traffic to the platform, and Meta is separately named as a competitor with the financial resources to gain local advertising share.

Show full overview

Yelp's dependence on Google as its most significant traffic source represents an asymmetric structural risk: algorithm changes and Google's promotion of its own local products have already reduced Yelp link prominence, and AI-generated search responses placed above organic results may further weigh on traffic in 2026. Advertising revenue from the Restaurants, Retail & Other category declined 6% year over year in 2025, and paying advertising locations in RR&O fell 3%, driven by the challenging macro environment those businesses face. With 95% of total revenue tied to advertiser activity, platform-level traffic erosion and category-specific spending weakness compound each other.

See also: Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

From Yelp Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202620d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 41%
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: advertising revenue (95.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.8
P/E (Fwd)5.3
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA5.5
Profit Mgn8.6%
ROE18.2%
Rev Growth1.4%
Beta0.45
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.01bullish
IV71%elevated
Max Pain$16-21.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductadvertising revenue95%
    10-K Item 1: 'advertising accounted for the vast majority of our revenue during the year ended December 31, 2025, contributing 95% of our revenue'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-29Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Sam Eaton stepped down as CTO effective June 30, 2026, after more than 13 years with Yelp. Alex Levy, SVP Engineering, appointed as successor CTO. Clean handoff.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.3
52w Position
1.8
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 20d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
69 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $17.27Resistance $20.52

Price Targets

$19
$21
A.Upside+2.3%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.3% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (20d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is YELP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $20.41 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: advertising revenue (95.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Prior stop was $18.98. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the YELP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.88 (+2.3% upside). Prior stop was $18.98. Stop-loss: $18.98.

What are the risks of investing in YELP?

Concentration risk — Product: advertising revenue (95.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Is YELP overvalued or undervalued?

Yelp Inc. trades at a P/E of 9.8 (forward 5.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about YELP?

16 analysts cover YELP with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Yelp Inc. do?Yelp operates a U.S.-focused consumer review platform connecting users with local businesses across more than 300...

Yelp operates a U.S.-focused consumer review platform connecting users with local businesses across more than 300 million ratings and reviews. Advertising represented 95% of total revenue in 2025, sourced from CPC ads, business page upgrades, and multi-location campaigns. The company's proprietary content is increasingly licensed to AI platforms and enterprise partners.

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