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PLGOPelagos Insurance Capital LimitHold6.3·$24.28
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

PLGO carries a strong earnings-beat streak and an attractive valuation into a bullish breakout, but the engine has already downgraded it after price reached its analyst target, and weak growth still weighs on the score.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak Rising Estimates→Stable
  • Attractive Valuation→Stable
  • Analyst Target Reached Limited Upside→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pelagos Insurance Capital Limit (PLGO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited provides insurance and reinsurance solutions in Bermuda, the Republic of Ireland, and the United Kingdom. It operates in two segments: Insurance and Reinsurance. The Insurance segment offers property, marine, asset backed finance and portfolio... Read more

$24.28-9.8% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#4 of 12 Insurance - Diversified
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield22.92%
IncomeYield2.45%Payout14.74%sustainable
Stop $23.32Target $25.09(resistance)A.R:R -2.0:1
Analyst target$25.17+3.7%9 analysts
$25.09our TP
$24.28price
$25.17mean
$22
$29

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.0
P/E (Fwd)6.2
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn15.9%
ROE17.6%
Rev Growth10.3%
Beta0.29
Dividend2.45%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -2.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.44Resistance $25.60

Price Targets

$23
$25
A.Upside-9.8%
A.R:R-2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PLGO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $25.09 (+3.3%), stop $23.32 (−4.1%), A.R:R -2.0:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PLGO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.09 (-9.8% upside). Target $25.09 (+3.3%), stop $23.32 (−4.1%), A.R:R -2.0:1. Stop-loss: $23.32.

What are the risks of investing in PLGO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Is PLGO overvalued or undervalued?

Pelagos Insurance Capital Limit trades at a P/E of 6.0 (forward 6.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PLGO?

16 analysts cover PLGO with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $25.

What does Pelagos Insurance Capital Limit do?Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited provides insurance and reinsurance solutions in Bermuda, the Republic of Ireland, and...

Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited provides insurance and reinsurance solutions in Bermuda, the Republic of Ireland, and the United Kingdom. It operates in two segments: Insurance and Reinsurance. The Insurance segment offers property, marine, asset backed finance and portfolio credit, aviation and aerospace, political risk, violence and terror, energy, cyber, and other insurance risks products. The Reinsurance segment provides property, retrocession, and whole account reinsurance solutions. The company was formerly known as Fidelis Insurance Holdings Limited and changed its name to Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited in May 2026. Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda.

Related stocks: IGIC (International General Insurance) · XZO (Exzeo Group, Inc.) · AEG (Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Sh) · BNT (Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd)
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