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NYTNew York Times Company (The)Buy Wait5.9·$63.75-1.57%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The New York Times Company demonstrates a high-quality business with a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, strong earnings growth, and three recent beats, but the stock currently trades at or above its analyst price target with essentially no near-term upside, requiring patience for a pullback to create a meaningful entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Peg Growth UndervaluationImproving
  • Quality Fundamentals PiotroskiStable
  • Earnings Beat Growth ProfileStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

New York Times Company (The) (NYT) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5QualityModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Publishing

Wait for pullback to $60.51. At $63.75 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $60.51 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 9.4%; Negative momentum.

The New York Times Company publishes its flagship digital and print news product alongside The Athletic, Cooking, Games, Wirecutter, and Audio across 234 countries and territories. The company had approximately 12.78 million total subscribers at December 31, 2025 and generates... Read more

$63.75+9.4% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#3 of 6 Publishing
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.49%
IncomeYield1.42%(5y avg 0.92%)Payout32.08%sustainable
Entry $60.51(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $54.09Target $69.50(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$79.89+25.3%9 analysts
$69.50our TP
$63.75price
$79.89mean
$95

Wait for pullback to $60.51. At $63.75 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $60.51 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 9.4%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 29, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202688d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.80)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.4%
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.9
P/E (Fwd)20.3
Mkt Cap$10.2B
EV/EBITDA17.2
Profit Mgn13.3%
ROE19.7%
Rev Growth11.3%
Beta0.93
Dividend1.42%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.62bullish
IV42%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierDomtar Corporation
    10-K Item 1: 'A significant portion of our newsprint is purchased from Domtar Corporation'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
7.1
Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Moderate
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $63.05Resistance $78.03

Price Targets

$54
$61
$70
A.Upside+9.4%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NYT stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $60.51. At $63.75 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $60.51 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 9.4%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 29, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $69.50 (+9.0%), stop $54.09 (−17.9%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NYT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $69.50 (+9.4% upside). Target $69.50 (+9.0%), stop $54.09 (−17.9%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $54.09.

What are the risks of investing in NYT?

Thin upside margin: 9.4%; Negative momentum.

Is NYT overvalued or undervalued?

New York Times Company (The) trades at a P/E of 26.9 (forward 20.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about NYT?

16 analysts cover NYT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $80.

What does New York Times Company (The) do?The New York Times Company publishes its flagship digital and print news product alongside The Athletic, Cooking,...

The New York Times Company publishes its flagship digital and print news product alongside The Athletic, Cooking, Games, Wirecutter, and Audio across 234 countries and territories. The company had approximately 12.78 million total subscribers at December 31, 2025 and generates revenue principally from subscriptions and advertising, with digital advertising at 73% of ad revenues in 2025.

Related stocks: WLY (John Wiley & Sons, Inc.) · WLYB (John Wiley & Sons, Inc.) · TDAY (USA TODAY Co., Inc.) · PSO (Pearson, Plc)
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