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NYTNew York Times Company (The)Sell6.1·$74.02-3.72%
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New York Times Company (The) (NYT) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Communication Services · Publishing

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $74.02 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

The New York Times Company is a global media organization operating digital and print news, sports (The Athletic), cooking, games, and audio products. It generates revenue primarily from 12.78 million subscribers as of December 31, 2025, supplemented by digital advertising (73%... Read more

$74.02+5.8% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#1 of 4 Publishing
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.19%
IncomeYield1.20%(5y avg 0.92%)Payout40.77%sustainable
Stop $70.78Target $78.35(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$84.89+14.7%9 analysts
$78.35our TP
$74.02price
$84.89mean
$66
$95

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $74.02 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.0
P/E (Fwd)24.0
Mkt Cap$12.4B
EV/EBITDA21.8
Profit Mgn13.3%
ROE19.7%
Rev Growth12.1%
Beta0.94
Dividend1.20%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.13bearish
IV46%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierDomtar Corporation
    10-K Item 1: 'A significant portion of our newsprint is purchased from Domtar Corporation, a large global manufacturer and distributor of paper, market pulp and wood products.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $72.97Resistance $79.95

Price Targets

$71
$78
A.Upside+5.8%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NYT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $74.02 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $70.78. Score 6.1/10, high confidence.

What is the NYT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $78.35 (+5.8% upside). Prior stop was $70.78. Stop-loss: $70.78.

What are the risks of investing in NYT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5.

Is NYT overvalued or undervalued?

New York Times Company (The) trades at a P/E of 33.0 (forward 24.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NYT?

16 analysts cover NYT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $85.

What does New York Times Company (The) do?The New York Times Company is a global media organization operating digital and print news, sports (The Athletic),...

The New York Times Company is a global media organization operating digital and print news, sports (The Athletic), cooking, games, and audio products. It generates revenue primarily from 12.78 million subscribers as of December 31, 2025, supplemented by digital advertising (73% of ad revenue), licensing, and affiliate referrals.

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