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NYTNew York Times Company (The)Sell5.8·$69.81
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The New York Times Company demonstrates a high-quality business with a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, strong earnings growth, and three recent beats, but the stock currently trades at or above its analyst price target with essentially no near-term upside, requiring patience for a pullback to create a meaningful entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Peg Growth Undervaluation→Stable
  • Quality Fundamentals Piotroski→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Growth Profile→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

New York Times Company (The) (NYT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellQualityModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Publishing

Earnings in 7 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $69.81 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

The New York Times Company publishes its flagship digital and print news product alongside The Athletic, Cooking, Games, Wirecutter, and Audio across 234 countries and territories. The company had approximately 12.78 million total subscribers at December 31, 2025 and generates... Read more

$69.81-4.2% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#2 of 6 Publishing
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.08%
IncomeYield1.30%(5y avg 0.94%)Payout32.08%sustainable
Stop $66.55Analyst target $66.89(reached)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst consensus$76.89+10.1%9 analysts
$69.81price
$76.89mean
$63
$85

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $69.81 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-28
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.1 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.1
P/E (Fwd)22.3
Mkt Cap$11.3B
EV/EBITDA19.0
Profit Mgn13.3%
ROE19.7%
Rev Growth11.3%
Beta0.92
Dividend1.30%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.49bullish
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$50-28.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierDomtar Corporation
    10-K Item 1: 'A significant portion of our newsprint is purchased from Domtar Corporation'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.3
Bollinger
2.1
52w Position
6.1
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
72 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $58.74Resistance $71.51

Price Targets

A.Upside-4.2%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NYT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $69.81 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Prior stop was $66.55. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NYT stock price target?

Analyst target $66.89 reached (−4.2% from $69.81); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $66.55. Stop-loss: $66.55.

What are the risks of investing in NYT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Is NYT overvalued or undervalued?

New York Times Company (The) trades at a P/E of 29.1 (forward 22.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NYT?

16 analysts cover NYT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $77.

What does New York Times Company (The) do?The New York Times Company publishes its flagship digital and print news product alongside The Athletic, Cooking,...

The New York Times Company publishes its flagship digital and print news product alongside The Athletic, Cooking, Games, Wirecutter, and Audio across 234 countries and territories. The company had approximately 12.78 million total subscribers at December 31, 2025 and generates revenue principally from subscriptions and advertising, with digital advertising at 73% of ad revenues in 2025.

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