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NYTNew York Times Company (The)Sell5.9·$70.65-0.32%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The New York Times Company demonstrates a high-quality business with a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, strong earnings growth, and three recent beats, but the stock currently trades at or above its analyst price target with essentially no near-term upside, requiring patience for a pullback to create a meaningful entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Peg Growth UndervaluationStable
  • Quality Fundamentals PiotroskiStable
  • Earnings Beat Growth ProfileStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

New York Times Company (The) (NYT) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Publishing

Sell if holding. At $70.65, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 3.6%.

The New York Times Company publishes its flagship digital and print news product alongside The Athletic, Cooking, Games, Wirecutter, and Audio across 234 countries and territories. The company had approximately 12.78 million total subscribers at December 31, 2025 and generates... Read more

$70.65+3.6% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#3 of 4 Publishing
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.41%
IncomeYield1.30%(5y avg 0.92%)Payout40.77%sustainable
Stop $66.89Target $73.18(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$84.11+19.1%9 analysts
$73.18our TP
$70.65price
$84.11mean
$66
$95

Sell if holding. At $70.65, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 3.6%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.6%
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.4
P/E (Fwd)22.2
Mkt Cap$11.5B
EV/EBITDA20.3
Profit Mgn13.3%
ROE19.7%
Rev Growth12.1%
Beta0.94
Dividend1.30%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.51bullish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$95+34.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierDomtar Corporation
    10-K Item 1: 'A significant portion of our newsprint is purchased from Domtar Corporation'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.1
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
7.7
Uptrend pullback (RSI 38) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $68.52Resistance $77.03

Price Targets

$67
$73
A.Upside+3.6%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NYT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $70.65, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 3.6%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $66.89. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NYT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $73.18 (+3.6% upside). Prior stop was $66.89. Stop-loss: $66.89.

What are the risks of investing in NYT?

Thin upside margin: 3.6%; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is NYT overvalued or undervalued?

New York Times Company (The) trades at a P/E of 30.4 (forward 22.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NYT?

16 analysts cover NYT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $84.

What does New York Times Company (The) do?The New York Times Company publishes its flagship digital and print news product alongside The Athletic, Cooking,...

The New York Times Company publishes its flagship digital and print news product alongside The Athletic, Cooking, Games, Wirecutter, and Audio across 234 countries and territories. The company had approximately 12.78 million total subscribers at December 31, 2025 and generates revenue principally from subscriptions and advertising, with digital advertising at 73% of ad revenues in 2025.

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