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VVRInvesco Senior Income Trust (DSell4.5·$3.00+0.33%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Invesco Senior Income Trust screens with a weak 4.5/10 overall score dragged down by a zero growth reading and a confirmed price downtrend, but strong cash conversion and Piotroski metrics plus an improving MACD keep the setup classified as a technical recovery.

Thesis pillars

  • Elevated Risk Dimension ScoringStable
  • Weak Overall Score Below AverageStable
  • Zero Growth Score Declining RevenueStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Invesco Senior Income Trust (D (VVR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $3.00: Weak overall score: 4.5/10; Weak growth.

Invesco Senior Income Trust is a closed ended fixed income mutual fund launched by Invesco Ltd. It is co-managed by Invesco Advisers, Inc., Invesco Asset Management Deutschland GmbH, Invesco Asset Management Limited, Invesco Asset Management (Japan) Limited, Invesco Australia... Read more

$3.00-1.3% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#217 of 240 Asset Management
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.06%
IncomeYield11.64%(5y avg 10.42%)Payout506.67%at-risk
Stop $2.96Target $2.96(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $3.00: Weak overall score: 4.5/10; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Weak overall score: 4.5/10
Weak growth
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.2
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$460M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn17.0%
ROE2.4%
Rev Growth-18.8%
Beta0.18
Dividend11.64%
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -18.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -19%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.9
Quality Rank
2.3
Value Rank
4.1
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.96Resistance $3.02

Price Targets

$3
$3
A.Upside-1.3%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts5
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for VVR.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VVR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $3.00: Weak overall score: 4.5/10; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Prior stop was $2.96. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VVR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $2.96 (-1.3% upside). Prior stop was $2.96. Stop-loss: $2.96.

What are the risks of investing in VVR?

Weak overall score: 4.5/10; Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is VVR overvalued or undervalued?

Invesco Senior Income Trust (D trades at a P/E of 33.2 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VVR?

5 analysts cover VVR with a consensus score of 4.2/5.

What does Invesco Senior Income Trust (D do?Invesco Senior Income Trust is a closed ended fixed income mutual fund launched by Invesco Ltd. It is co-managed by...

Invesco Senior Income Trust is a closed ended fixed income mutual fund launched by Invesco Ltd. It is co-managed by Invesco Advisers, Inc., Invesco Asset Management Deutschland GmbH, Invesco Asset Management Limited, Invesco Asset Management (Japan) Limited, Invesco Australia Limited, Invesco Hong Kong Limited, Invesco Senior Secured Management, Inc., and Invesco Canada Ltd. The fund invests in the fixed income markets of the United States. It primarily invests in a portfolio of interests in floating or variable rate senior loans to corporations, partnerships, and other entities which operate in a variety of industries and geographical regions. The fund typically employs fundamental analysis with a bottom up stock picking approach to create its portfolio. It benchmarks the performance of its portfolio against the Credit Suisse Leveraged Loan Index. The fund was formerly known as Invesco Van Kampen Senior Income Trust and Van Kampen Senior Income Trust. Invesco Senior Income Trust was formed on June 23, 1998 and is domiciled in the United States.

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