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Viatris Inc. (VTRS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.54: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Viatris is a global pharma company supplying generics, branded, and innovative medicines to ~1 billion patients annually across 165+ countries through four segments (Developed Markets, Emerging Markets, JANZ, Greater China), with 2025 total revenues of $14.30 billion. Following... Read more

QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield11.66%
IncomeYield2.91%(5y avg 4.05%)Payout960.00%at-risk
Stop $15.38Target $17.18(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$17.50+5.8%9 analysts
$17.18our TP
$16.54price
$17.50mean
$12
$23

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.54: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Viatris Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • May 4, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: CFO Theodora Mistras resigned effective May 8, 2026 to pursue another opportunity. Paul Campbell (current CAO/Controller) appointed interim CFO effective May 8, 2026 while Board searches for permanent CFO. No disagreement cited.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-8.0% upside)
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 2.8%), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)6.2
Mkt Cap$19.2B
EV/EBITDA7.6
Profit Mgn-2.0%
ROE-2.0%
Rev Growth8.1%
Beta0.87
Dividend2.91%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-04Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Theodora Mistras resigned effective May 8, 2026 to pursue another opportunity. Paul Campbell (current CAO/Controller) appointed interim CFO effective May 8, 2026 while Board searches for permanent CFO. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-26Item 2.05MEDIUM
    Viatris announced EWSR restructuring: global workforce reduction of up to ~10%, total pre-tax charges of $700M-$850M expected over ~3 years, targeting $600-700M in savings. Includes headcount cuts, facility closures, and supply chain optimization.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.0%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.5
Operating Margin
2.7
Gross Margin
4.0
Moat
4.4
Current Ratio
5.8
Piotroski F
8.9
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.5
Growth Rank
5.9
Value Rank
7.1
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $14.36Resistance $17.53

Price Targets

$15
$17
A.Upside+3.9%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 2.8%), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VTRS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.54: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $15.38. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VTRS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.18 (+3.9% upside). Prior stop was $15.38. Stop-loss: $15.38.

What are the risks of investing in VTRS?

Target reached (-8.0% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 2.8%), Negative free cash flow.

Is VTRS overvalued or undervalued?

Viatris Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VTRS?

18 analysts cover VTRS with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Viatris Inc. do?Viatris is a global pharma company supplying generics, branded, and innovative medicines to ~1 billion patients...

Viatris is a global pharma company supplying generics, branded, and innovative medicines to ~1 billion patients annually across 165+ countries through four segments (Developed Markets, Emerging Markets, JANZ, Greater China), with 2025 total revenues of $14.30 billion. Following its 2025 enterprise-wide strategic review, it is executing a restructuring targeting $600-700M in savings and a ~10% global headcount reduction.

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