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VTRSViatris Inc.Sell5.2·$16.13-1.16%
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Viatris Inc. (VTRS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.13: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Viatris is a global pharma company supplying generics, branded, and innovative medicines to ~1 billion patients annually across 165+ countries through four segments (Developed Markets, Emerging Markets, JANZ, Greater China), with 2025 total revenues of $14.30 billion. Following... Read more

QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield11.78%
IncomeYield2.94%(5y avg 4.08%)Payout960.00%at-risk
Stop $15.24Target $16.42(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$17.81+10.4%8 analysts
$16.42our TP
$16.13price
$17.81mean
$12
$23

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.13: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and 8k serious 2.05 and news soft fda negative. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Viatris Inc.

About Viatris Inc.

Viatris reported 2025 total revenues of $14.30 billion across four segments — Developed Markets, Emerging Markets, JANZ, and Greater China — serving patients in more than 165 countries through retail and pharmacy establishments, wholesalers, governments, and institutions. The company employs more than 30,000 people and operates 27 manufacturing, packaging, and distribution sites globally, with centers in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania; Shanghai, China; and Hyderabad, India. In February 2026, the company announced restructuring activities from its enterprise-wide strategic review targeting a global workforce reduction of up to 10% and $600-700 million in savings once fully implemented, with total pre-tax charges estimated at $700-850 million.

Viatris generates revenue from three portfolio pillars: generics (including Wixela Inhub, Breyna, and Venofer generics), established brands, and an expanding innovative pipeline. Products are distributed through retail and pharmacy channels, wholesalers, governments, institutions, and physicians. API manufacturing for certain products depends on a limited number of third-party suppliers, including through a manufacturing and supply agreement with the buyer of the divested India API business. Key pipeline assets in Phase 3 include selatogrel (cardiovascular), cenerimod (autoimmune), fast-absorbing meloxicam for acute pain, and phentolamine ophthalmic for presbyopia — the supplemental NDA for the latter was accepted by the FDA in February 2026 with action anticipated in the second half of 2026. The company faces persistent pricing pressure from China's centralized Volume-Based Procurement policy, where some molecules have seen price reductions as high as 96%, and from U.S. Most Favored Nation drug pricing programs whose scope may expand.

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The Indore, India oral finished dose manufacturing facility remains under active FDA remediation, with the company reporting substantial progress on remediation activities as of 2025 and maintaining regular communication with the FDA. This facility risk coincides with the planned network rationalization under the enterprise-wide strategic review, which includes anticipated facility closures. If remediation is incomplete or restructuring costs exceed the $700-850 million estimate, the company's cash flow and ability to service its significant indebtedness could weigh on results materially. In May 2026, Viatris disclosed via Form 8-K that CFO Theodora Mistras resigned effective May 8, 2026 with Paul Campbell appointed interim CFO, adding a leadership transition to the ongoing strategic repositioning.

See also: Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

From Viatris Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-3.4% upside)
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 2.8%), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)6.1
Mkt Cap$19.0B
EV/EBITDA7.6
Profit Mgn-2.0%
ROE-2.0%
Rev Growth8.1%
Beta0.90
Dividend2.94%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.45bullish
IV52%elevated
Max Pain$6-62.8% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-04Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Theodora Mistras resigned effective May 8, 2026 to pursue another opportunity. Paul Campbell (current CAO/Controller) appointed interim CFO effective May 8, 2026 while Board searches for permanent CFO. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-26Item 2.05MEDIUM
    Viatris announced EWSR restructuring: global workforce reduction of up to ~10%, total pre-tax charges of $700M-$850M expected over ~3 years, targeting $600-700M in savings. Includes headcount cuts, facility closures, and supply chain optimization.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.0%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.5
Operating Margin
2.7
Gross Margin
4.0
Moat
4.4
Current Ratio
5.8
Piotroski F
8.9
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVE8K SERIOUS 2.05NEWS SOFT FDA NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.50Resistance $16.76

Price Targets

$15
$16
A.Upside+1.8%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 2.8%), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VTRS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.13: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $15.24. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VTRS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.42 (+2.4% upside). Prior stop was $15.24. Stop-loss: $15.24.

What are the risks of investing in VTRS?

Target reached (-3.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 2.8%), Negative free cash flow.

Is VTRS overvalued or undervalued?

Viatris Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VTRS?

18 analysts cover VTRS with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Viatris Inc. do?Viatris is a global pharma company supplying generics, branded, and innovative medicines to ~1 billion patients...

Viatris is a global pharma company supplying generics, branded, and innovative medicines to ~1 billion patients annually across 165+ countries through four segments (Developed Markets, Emerging Markets, JANZ, Greater China), with 2025 total revenues of $14.30 billion. Following its 2025 enterprise-wide strategic review, it is executing a restructuring targeting $600-700M in savings and a ~10% global headcount reduction.

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