Valaris Limited (VAL) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the VAL stock price target?

Take-profit $102.53 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $94.97.

Q: What are the risks of investing in VAL?

Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.0x (earnings normalizing); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.1% away); Target reached (-39.8% upside); Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside.

Q: Is VAL overvalued or undervalued?

Valaris Limited trades at a P/E of 7.5 (forward 14.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about VAL?

18 analysts cover VAL with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $71.

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $101.75 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.0x (earnings normalizing).

Valaris Limited is a global offshore contract drilling company operating 46 rigs (13 drillships, 2 semisubmersibles, 31 jackup rigs) across six continents. It earns revenue on day rate contracts from international and government-owned oil and gas companies. A pending merger with... Read more

$101.75+0.4% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#24 of 32 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Stop $94.97Target $102.53(resistance)A.R:R -2.7:1

Analyst target$70.67-30.5%8 analysts

$102.53our TP

$101.75price

$70.67mean

$47

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)

Attractive valuation

Margin of safety: 50%

Risks

Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.0x (earnings normalizing)

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Near 52-week high (3.1% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.5

P/E (Fwd)14.8

Mkt Cap$7.2B

EV/EBITDA12.1

Profit Mgn41.5%

ROE36.2%

Rev Growth-8.0%

Beta1.04

DividendNone

Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.19bullish

IV71%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

MEDIUMCustomertop-5 customers49%
10-K Item 1A: 'our five largest customers accounted for 49% of consolidated revenues ... with our largest customer representing 13% of our consolidated revenues'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.215%1.08

Quality5.715%0.85

Growth0.515%0.07

Momentum6.910%0.69

Sentiment3.810%0.38

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank4.310%0.43

Technical Setup4.65%0.23

Risk Profile5.05%0.25

Catalyst6.35%0.32

Overall (Σ contributions)4.81

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Revenue shrinking — -8.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth

0.5

Declining revenue: -8%

Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static

Price Target

1.4

Analyst Rating

5.0

Erm Sentiment

5.0

Below analyst target

GatesA.R:R -2.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate

RSI

56 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $86.88Resistance $104.62

Price Targets

$95

$103

A.Upside+0.8%

A.R:R-2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-39.8% upside)

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-04 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is VAL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $101.75 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.0x (earnings normalizing). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $94.97. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VAL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $102.53 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $94.97. Stop-loss: $94.97.

What are the risks of investing in VAL?

Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.0x (earnings normalizing); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.1% away).

Is VAL overvalued or undervalued?

Valaris Limited trades at a P/E of 7.5 (forward 14.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VAL?

18 analysts cover VAL with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $71.

What does Valaris Limited do?Valaris Limited is a global offshore contract drilling company operating 46 rigs (13 drillships, 2 semisubmersibles, 31...