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UTHRUnited Therapeutics CorporationSell5.4·$608.49
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

United Therapeutics generates 41% net margins and ranks best-in-class on margins among specialty pharmaceutical peers, but severe product concentration where Tyvaso DPI and Nebulized Tyvaso together account for 59% of revenue, combined with 3 earnings misses in 4 quarters, makes the current risk profile unfavorable for new positions.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Pharma Margins→Stable
  • Product Concentration Tyvaso↑Improving
  • Earnings Miss Trajectory→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

United Therapeutics Corporation (UTHR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5QualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Sell if holding. At $608.49, A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Tyvaso DPI and Nebulized Tyvaso (59.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Accredo and CVS Specialty.

United Therapeutics markets five therapies for pulmonary arterial hypertension and rare diseases — Tyvaso DPI, Nebulized Tyvaso, Remodulin, Orenitram, and Unituxin — generating approximately $3.16 billion in total revenues in 2025. Tyvaso DPI and Nebulized Tyvaso together... Read more

QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.13%
Stop $573.85Analyst target $583.71(reached)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst consensus$670.93+10.3%14 analysts with price targets
$608.49price
$670.93mean
$368
$850

Sell if holding. At $608.49, A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Tyvaso DPI and Nebulized Tyvaso (59.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Accredo and CVS Specialty. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026

Recent Developments — United Therapeutics Corporation

Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:54:13Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.2 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Tyvaso DPI and Nebulized Tyvaso (59.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: Accredo and CVS Specialty
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.0
P/E (Fwd)18.0
Mkt Cap$26.1B
EV/EBITDA15.5
Profit Mgn41.6%
ROE19.3%
Rev Growth-1.9%
Beta0.48
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.23bullish
IV40%normal
Max Pain$900+47.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductTyvaso DPI and Nebulized Tyvaso59%
    10-K Item 1: 'combined Tyvaso DPI and Nebulized Tyvaso net product sales, representing 59 percent...of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025'
  • HIGHCustomerAccredo and CVS Specialty
    10-K Item 1A: 'we derive substantially all our treprostinil-based revenues from sales to two distributors, Accredo and CVS Specialty'
  • HIGHSupplierMannKind Corporation
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely entirely on MannKind to manufacture Tyvaso DPI finished drug product and inhalers for us, with no plans to develop an alternate or backup supply arrangement'
  • HIGHSupplierDEKA
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely entirely on DEKA and its affiliates to manufacture the Remunity and RemunityPRO Pumps'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -1.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.0
Earnings Growth
4.7
Declining revenue: -2%
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEINSIDER 1.22%=HEAVYMomentum 7.9>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
83 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $523.95Resistance $614.23

Price Targets

A.Upside-4.1%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.1% upside)
! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UTHR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $608.49, A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Tyvaso DPI and Nebulized Tyvaso (59.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Accredo and CVS Specialty. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $573.85. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UTHR stock price target?

Analyst target $583.71 reached (−4.1% from $608.49); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $573.85. Stop-loss: $573.85.

What are the risks of investing in UTHR?

Concentration risk — Product: Tyvaso DPI and Nebulized Tyvaso (59.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Accredo and CVS Specialty; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is UTHR overvalued or undervalued?

United Therapeutics Corporation trades at a P/E of 23.0 (forward 18.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UTHR?

22 analysts rate UTHR, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 14 analysts publish price targets averaging $671.

What does United Therapeutics Corporation do?United Therapeutics markets five therapies for pulmonary arterial hypertension and rare diseases — Tyvaso DPI,...

United Therapeutics markets five therapies for pulmonary arterial hypertension and rare diseases — Tyvaso DPI, Nebulized Tyvaso, Remodulin, Orenitram, and Unituxin — generating approximately $3.16 billion in total revenues in 2025. Tyvaso DPI and Nebulized Tyvaso together accounted for 59% of revenues; substantially all treprostinil revenues flow through two distributors, Accredo and CVS Specialty, with no FDA-approved backup manufacturing site for Orenitram or Unituxin.

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