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Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. (UCTT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $80.48: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Ultra Clean Holdings supplies critical semiconductor subsystems, components, and ultra-high-purity cleaning/coating services (Products and Services segments) primarily to semiconductor OEM and device manufacturer customers. Applied Materials and Lam Research each exceeded 10% of... Read more

$80.48+12.4% A.UpsideScore 4.1/10#22 of 25 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-0.95%
Stop $75.15Target $90.83(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$104.40+29.7%5 analysts
$90.83our TP
$80.48price
$104.40mean
$130

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $80.48: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)22.8
Mkt Cap$3.9B
EV/EBITDA37.0
Profit Mgn-9.4%
ROE-22.5%
Rev Growth2.9%
Beta1.94
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -9.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.9
Operating Margin
0.9
Moat
3.1
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
9.9
Cash-burning: FCF -2% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.0
Growth Rank
1.6
Value Rank
9.6

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.2
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
4.1
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $68.94Resistance $88.50

Price Targets

$75
$91
A.Upside+12.9%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.8:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UCTT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $80.48: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $75.15. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UCTT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $90.83 (+12.4% upside). Prior stop was $75.15. Stop-loss: $75.15.

What are the risks of investing in UCTT?

Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).

Is UCTT overvalued or undervalued?

Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 22.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UCTT?

10 analysts cover UCTT with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $104.

What does Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. do?Ultra Clean Holdings supplies critical semiconductor subsystems, components, and ultra-high-purity cleaning/coating...

Ultra Clean Holdings supplies critical semiconductor subsystems, components, and ultra-high-purity cleaning/coating services (Products and Services segments) primarily to semiconductor OEM and device manufacturer customers. Applied Materials and Lam Research each exceeded 10% of revenues and together accounted for 58.7% of fiscal 2025 revenues; approximately 75.9% of revenues were from international markets.

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