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Telus Corporation (TU) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $12.36 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

TELUS Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a telecommunications company in Canada and internationally. It operates through TELUS Technology Solutions, TELUS Health, and TELUS Digital Experience segments. The company offer technology solutions comprising... Read more

$12.36+19.5% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#36 of 40 Telecom Services
Stop $11.93Target $14.73(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.8:1
Analyst target$17.33+40.2%3 analysts
$14.73our TP
$12.36price
$17.33mean
$22

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $12.36 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Score 4.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Weak overall score: 4.3/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.0
P/E (Fwd)16.9
Mkt Cap$19.1B
EV/EBITDA8.6
Profit Mgn5.5%
ROE4.7%
Rev Growth-1.9%
Beta0.77
Dividend9.86%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.12bullish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$3-79.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -1.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.0
Declining revenue: -2%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.1
Value Rank
3.0
Quality Rank
3.9

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.7
Rsi
3.4
Ma Position
4.0
Macd
6.7
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 8d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 3.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.69Resistance $12.96

Price Targets

$12
$15
A.Upside+19.2%
A.R:R3.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-08 (8d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $12.36 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Prior stop was $11.93. Score 4.3/10, high confidence.

What is the TU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.73 (+19.5% upside). Prior stop was $11.93. Stop-loss: $11.93.

What are the risks of investing in TU?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 4.3/10.

Is TU overvalued or undervalued?

Telus Corporation trades at a P/E of 23.0 (forward 16.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TU?

24 analysts cover TU with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Telus Corporation do?TELUS Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a telecommunications company in Canada and...

TELUS Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a telecommunications company in Canada and internationally. It operates through TELUS Technology Solutions, TELUS Health, and TELUS Digital Experience segments. The company offer technology solutions comprising mobile and fixed voice and data telecommunications services and products; and agriculture and consumer goods services, such as software, data management and data analytics-driven smart-food chain, and consumer goods technologies, as well as sells mobile technologies equipment. It also provides data services consisting of internet protocol; television; hosting; managed information technology and cloud-based services; and home and business security and automation. In addition, the company offers integrated health and well-being products, solutions, and services, such as healthcare services; and software and technology solutions, including employee and family assistance programs and benefits administration. Further, it provides digitally enabled customer experience solutions, including digital customer experience management and the digital transformation of IT and customer experience systems; digital trust, safety, and security; AI data services; and generative AI solutions in customer experience. The company was formerly known as TELUS Communications Inc. and changed its name to TELUS Corporation in February 2005. TELUS Corporation was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

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