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TRNSTranscat, Inc.Buy Wait5.7·$86.31
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Transcat shows strong 22% revenue growth and excellent cash conversion, but thin 8.3% upside to the analyst target, a 37.8x forward P/E and a mixed earnings record leave a reward-to-risk of only about 1.05.

Thesis pillars

  • Rich Valuation Low Margins→Stable
  • Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Excellent Cash Conversion→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed May 27, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Transcat, Inc. (TRNS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Earnings in 1 day (2026-11-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $81.99. At $86.31 the A.R:R is 0.7:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $81.99 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 5.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6).

Transcat provides accredited calibration, reliability, maintenance optimization, quality and compliance, and CMMS services, and separately operates as a value-added distributor and rental source of test and measurement instruments from roughly 400 brands. The company serves... Read more

$86.31+5.4% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#14 of 30 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.46%
Entry $81.99(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $76.92Target $90.95(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst consensus$107.00+24.0%4 analysts
$90.95our TP
$86.31price
$107.00mean
$115

Wait for pullback to $81.99. At $86.31 the A.R:R is 0.7:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $81.99 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 5.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 50, MACD bullish. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Transcat, Inc.

About Transcat, Inc.

Transcat operates 33 calibration service centers across the United States, Canada, and Ireland as of fiscal year 2026, performing more than 1,200,000 calibrations annually for approximately 27,000 customers across its Service and Distribution segments. The company's Service segment customer base concentrates in the life science, pharmaceutical, medical device, aerospace, defense, and energy and utilities industries, while its Distribution segment sells and rents more than 75,000 test and measurement products from roughly 400 brands. In April 2026, Transcat expanded its footprint further by acquiring SCM Metrology and Laboratories, a calibration provider based in Costa Rica.

Transcat earns higher-margin, recurring revenue in its Service segment from periodic calibrations occurring on three-month to twenty-four-month cycles, subcontracting approximately 13% to 15% of Service segment work to third-party vendors with specialized capabilities it does not offer in-house. The lower-margin Distribution segment resells and rents instruments from roughly 400 manufacturer brands, competing against vendors that increasingly sell direct to end customers and against web-based distributors. Growth has been driven substantially by acquisitions: the company completed its two largest deals in company history in fiscal 2026 and 2025, including Essco Calibration Laboratory in the Boston area, its largest-ever acquisition, and Martin Calibration in Minneapolis, both aimed at expanding geographic reach and calibration capacity in life-science- and aerospace-heavy regions.

Show full overview

Transcat's own 10-K flags a concentration of customers in the life science and other FDA-regulated businesses, alongside industrial, aerospace, defense, and energy and utilities customers, warning that a significant portion of its customers would be similarly affected by changes in economic, political, regulatory, and other industry conditions. That means federal or state budget pressure on life-science grant funding, or a deregulatory shift that dampens oil-and-gas capital spending, could simultaneously soften demand across a large share of Transcat's Service segment rather than being offset by a genuinely uncorrelated customer base.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Business Services

From Transcat, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-11-02
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 20261d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.4%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)239.7
P/E (Fwd)39.7
Mkt Cap$808M
EV/EBITDA22.0
Profit Mgn1.0%
ROE1.2%
Rev Growth21.6%
Beta0.66
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.09bearish
IV64%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerlife science and other FDA-regulated businesses
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our Service segment has a concentration of customers in the life science and other FDA-regulated businesses'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-19Item 5.02LOW
    Transcat's Compensation Committee approved a compensation increase for COO Michael W. West for fiscal 2027, effective March 29, 2026: $425,000 base salary, a 40%-of-base cash incentive target, and a 65%-of-base long-term equity incentive target. Routine compensatory arrangement; no departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $79.30Resistance $91.54

Price Targets

$77
$82
$91
A.Upside+5.4%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:1d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TRNS stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $81.99. At $86.31 the A.R:R is 0.7:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $81.99 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 5.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 50, MACD bullish. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Target $90.95 (+5.4%), stop $76.92 (−12.2%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TRNS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $90.95 (+5.4% upside). Target $90.95 (+5.4%), stop $76.92 (−12.2%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $76.92.

What are the risks of investing in TRNS?

Thin upside margin: 5.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is TRNS overvalued or undervalued?

Transcat, Inc. trades at a P/E of 239.7 (forward 39.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TRNS?

11 analysts cover TRNS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $107.

What does Transcat, Inc. do?Transcat provides accredited calibration, reliability, maintenance optimization, quality and compliance, and CMMS...

Transcat provides accredited calibration, reliability, maintenance optimization, quality and compliance, and CMMS services, and separately operates as a value-added distributor and rental source of test and measurement instruments from roughly 400 brands. The company serves approximately 27,000 customers through its Service and Distribution segments, operating 33 calibration service centers across the U.S., Canada, and Ireland as of fiscal year 2026, with no single customer accounting for 3% or more of total revenue in fiscal 2026 or 2025.

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