Tencent Music Entertainment Gro (TME) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the TME stock price target?

Take-profit $15.80 (+76.2% upside). Prior stop was $8.52.

Q: Is TME overvalued or undervalued?

Tencent Music Entertainment Gro trades at a P/E of 8.7 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about TME?

35 analysts cover TME with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $18.

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $8.98 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.6): -1.5; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

$8.98+76.2% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#5 of 27 Internet Content & Information

Stop $8.52Target $15.80(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 11.9:1

Analyst target$17.56+95.5%29 analysts

$15.80our TP

$8.98price

$17.56mean

$29

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)

Attractive valuation

Margin of safety: 42%

Risks

Leverage penalty (D/E 4.6): -1.5

Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.7

P/E (Fwd)8.4

Mkt Cap$14.2B

EV/EBITDA1.0

Profit Mgn33.6%

ROE14.9%

Rev Growth15.9%

Beta0.79

Dividend2.66%

Rating analysts35

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.38bullish

IV65%elevated

Max Pain$5-44.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value9.215%1.38

Quality5.515%0.82

Growth5.715%0.85

Momentum2.810%0.28

Sentiment7.210%0.72

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank6.410%0.64

Technical Setup5.65%0.28

Risk Profile5.95%0.30

Catalyst6.75%0.34

Overall (Σ contributions)6.11

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

1.0

Rsi

4.5

Macd

7.4

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend

GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 11.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate

RSI

41 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.78Resistance $10.25

Price Targets

$16

A.Upside+75.9%

A.R:R11.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

4/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-12 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is TME stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $8.98 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.6): -1.5; Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 41. Prior stop was $8.52. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TME stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.80 (+76.2% upside). Prior stop was $8.52. Stop-loss: $8.52.

What are the risks of investing in TME?

Leverage penalty (D/E 4.6): -1.5; Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Negative momentum.

Is TME overvalued or undervalued?

Tencent Music Entertainment Gro trades at a P/E of 8.7 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TME?

35 analysts cover TME with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Tencent Music Entertainment Gro do?Tencent Music Entertainment Group operates online music entertainment platforms that provides music streaming, online...

Tencent Music Entertainment Group operates online music entertainment platforms that provides music streaming, online karaoke, and live streaming services in the People's Republic of China. It provides QQ Music, Kugou Music, and Kuwo Music that enable users to discover, enjoy, and share music in personalized ways; long-form audio content, including audiobooks, podcasts and talk shows, as well as music-oriented video content comprising music videos, live performances, and short videos; and WeSing, which enables users to sing along from its library of karaoke songs and share their performances in audio or video formats with friends. The company also delivers music-centric live streaming services primarily through the Live Streaming tab on QQ Music, Kugou Music, Kuwo Music, WeSing, Kugou Live, and Kuwo Live that provides an interactive online stage for performers and users to showcase their talent and engage with audience base; and Lazy Audio, an audio platform. In addition, it sells artist-related merchandise, such as branded apparel, posters and art prints, and accessories; other music services, such as content licensing, sales of digital albums, sales of customized artist-related merchandises, live performances and concerts, and artist management services; and music subscriptions, as well as offers advertising services across its social entertainment platforms. The company is headquartered in Shenzhen, China. Tencent Music Entertainment Group operates as a subsidiary of Tencent Holdings Limited.