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StubHub Holdings, Inc. (STUB) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $7.21: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

StubHub Holdings operates a global secondary ticketing marketplace under the StubHub (Americas) and viagogo (international) brands, connecting buyers and sellers of live event tickets for sports, concerts, theater, and other events. Revenue is generated through transaction fees... Read more

$7.21+49.1% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#19 of 27 Internet Content & Information
Stop $6.71Target $10.76(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$12.37+71.5%13 analysts
$10.76our TP
$7.21price
$12.37mean
$24

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $7.21: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 49%
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Earnings estimates trending DOWN
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)5.7
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA-2.9
Profit Mgn-109.2%
ROE-115.6%
Rev Growth-15.8%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.99neutral
IV97%elevated
Max Pain$1-86.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.4
Value Rank
5.6

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
2.2
Bollinger
2.8

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
2.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/2MEarnings in 14 days
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)Momentum 5.5>=5.5A.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $5.74Resistance $7.64

Price Targets

$7
$11
A.Upside+49.2%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts20
Consensus3.7/5
Avg Target$12

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-14 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STUB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $7.21: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $6.71. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the STUB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.76 (+49.1% upside). Prior stop was $6.71. Stop-loss: $6.71.

What are the risks of investing in STUB?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Elevated risk factors.

Is STUB overvalued or undervalued?

StubHub Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 5.7). TrendMatrix value score: 9.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about STUB?

20 analysts cover STUB with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $12.

What does StubHub Holdings, Inc. do?StubHub Holdings operates a global secondary ticketing marketplace under the StubHub (Americas) and viagogo...

StubHub Holdings operates a global secondary ticketing marketplace under the StubHub (Americas) and viagogo (international) brands, connecting buyers and sellers of live event tickets for sports, concerts, theater, and other events. Revenue is generated through transaction fees on ticket sales.

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