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STUBStubHub Holdings, Inc.Sell5.4·$12.91+4.15%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

StubHub Holdings generates a 45% free cash flow margin and passes the Rule of 40 at a score of 57 despite GAAP losses, with a PEG ratio of 0.13 suggesting the market undervalues growth, but two consecutive earnings misses and a stock price already at the analyst target limit near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Free Cash Flow GenerationStable
  • Overbought Momentum At TargetStable
  • Low Peg Growth DiscountStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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StubHub Holdings, Inc. (STUB) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $12.91 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

StubHub Holdings operates a global secondary ticketing marketplace through two brands, StubHub and viagogo, connecting buyers and sellers for live sports, concert, and theater events. The company earns transaction fees on its marketplace, employing approximately 900 full-time... Read more

$12.91-1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#14 of 27 Internet Content & Information
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield17.40%
Stop $12.01Target $12.75(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$13.38+3.6%12 analysts
$12.75our TP
$12.91price
$13.38mean
$9
$24

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $12.91 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About StubHub Holdings, Inc.

About StubHub Holdings, Inc.

StubHub Holdings runs a two-brand global secondary ticketing marketplace — StubHub in the U.S., Canada, and roughly 25 additional territories per a 2025 CMA-approved amendment, and viagogo operating elsewhere under an exclusive intellectual property license — employing approximately 900 full-time staff as of December 31, 2025. The platform serves individual fans, professional sellers, and content rights holders across sports, concerts, and theater, with key employee hubs in New York, Los Angeles, Atlanta, Ireland, and Switzerland.

StubHub earns transaction fees from buyers and sellers on its marketplace, with revenue tied to the frequency, scale, and popularity of live events. The company relies heavily on internet search engines, including Google, to generate buyer traffic; in 2019, Google temporarily suspended viagogo from its paid search results for alleged advertising policy violations, causing a significant decline in viagogo's GMS. Third-party mobile distribution platforms — principally the Apple App Store and Google Play Store — are the primary channels for application downloads, and any change in their terms may limit distribution or impose commissions. Competition spans secondary ticketing peers and original issuance providers that have entered secondary markets, with certain competitors holding exclusive booking rights with specific venues or events. The company faces incremental pressure from original issuance providers offering demand-based dynamic pricing, which reduces the incentive for professional brokers to use secondary markets.

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StubHub's regulatory exposure spans multiple jurisdictions, including anti-scalping statutes restricting resale in certain markets and the FTC's all-in pricing rule implemented in the United States in May 2025. The company previously settled with certain U.S. state attorneys general over COVID-19 refund practices. The U.K. CMA accepted the company's trademark license amendment in June 2025, allowing StubHub-branded operations in approximately 25 additional markets; non-compliance with evolving ticketing laws in any jurisdiction could subject the company to further enforcement actions or operational restrictions.

See also: Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

From StubHub Holdings, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Overbought (RSI 78)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)16.4
Mkt Cap$4.7B
EV/EBITDA-3.9
Profit Mgn-102.3%
ROE-109.4%
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.71neutral
IV71%elevated
Max Pain$2-84.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
0.2
Support Resistance
0.2

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
4.2
Growth Rank
5.8
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
78 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $9.15Resistance $13.01

Price Targets

$12
$13
A.Upside-1.2%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STUB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $12.91 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $12.01. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the STUB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.75 (-1.3% upside). Prior stop was $12.01. Stop-loss: $12.01.

What are the risks of investing in STUB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Overbought (RSI 78).

Is STUB overvalued or undervalued?

StubHub Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 16.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about STUB?

21 analysts cover STUB with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $13.

What does StubHub Holdings, Inc. do?StubHub Holdings operates a global secondary ticketing marketplace through two brands, StubHub and viagogo, connecting...

StubHub Holdings operates a global secondary ticketing marketplace through two brands, StubHub and viagogo, connecting buyers and sellers for live sports, concert, and theater events. The company earns transaction fees on its marketplace, employing approximately 900 full-time staff as of December 31, 2025, with a business model dependent on the frequency and scale of live events and seller supply.

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