StubHub Holdings generates a 45% free cash flow margin and passes the Rule of 40 at a score of 57 despite GAAP losses, with a PEG ratio of 0.13 suggesting the market undervalues growth, but two consecutive earnings misses and a stock price already at the analyst target limit near-term upside.
Thesis pillars
- Strong Free Cash Flow Generation→Stable
- Overbought Momentum At Target↓Deteriorating
- Low Peg Growth Discount→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 5, 2026
StubHub Holdings, Inc. (STUB) Stock Analysis
Communication Services · Internet Content & Information
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $5.55 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.
StubHub Holdings operates a global secondary ticketing marketplace through two brands, StubHub and viagogo, connecting buyers and sellers for live sports, concert, and theater events. The company earns transaction fees on its marketplace, employing approximately 900 full-time... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $5.55 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
About StubHub Holdings, Inc.
About StubHub Holdings, Inc.
StubHub Holdings runs a two-brand global secondary ticketing marketplace — StubHub in the U.S., Canada, and roughly 25 additional territories per a 2025 CMA-approved amendment, and viagogo operating elsewhere under an exclusive intellectual property license — employing approximately 900 full-time staff as of December 31, 2025. The platform serves individual fans, professional sellers, and content rights holders across sports, concerts, and theater, with key employee hubs in New York, Los Angeles, Atlanta, Ireland, and Switzerland.
StubHub earns transaction fees from buyers and sellers on its marketplace, with revenue tied to the frequency, scale, and popularity of live events. The company relies heavily on internet search engines, including Google, to generate buyer traffic; in 2019, Google temporarily suspended viagogo from its paid search results for alleged advertising policy violations, causing a significant decline in viagogo's GMS. Third-party mobile distribution platforms — principally the Apple App Store and Google Play Store — are the primary channels for application downloads, and any change in their terms may limit distribution or impose commissions. Competition spans secondary ticketing peers and original issuance providers that have entered secondary markets, with certain competitors holding exclusive booking rights with specific venues or events. The company faces incremental pressure from original issuance providers offering demand-based dynamic pricing, which reduces the incentive for professional brokers to use secondary markets.
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StubHub's regulatory exposure spans multiple jurisdictions, including anti-scalping statutes restricting resale in certain markets and the FTC's all-in pricing rule implemented in the United States in May 2025. The company previously settled with certain U.S. state attorneys general over COVID-19 refund practices. The U.K. CMA accepted the company's trademark license amendment in June 2025, allowing StubHub-branded operations in approximately 25 additional markets; non-compliance with evolving ticketing laws in any jurisdiction could subject the company to further enforcement actions or operational restrictions.
See also: Communication Services · Internet Content & Information
From StubHub Holdings, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-28Recent Developments — StubHub Holdings, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS StubHub principal accounting officer sells $12,213 in stock - Investing.com UK — Investing.com UK negative
- NEWS StubHub principal accounting officer sells $12,213 in stock - Investing.com — Investing.com negative
- NEWS StubHub shares rally on Q1 profit, revenue beat (STUB:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- NEWS Earnings Flash (STUB) StubHub Holdings, Inc. Reports Q1 Revenue $446.0M, vs. FactSet Est of $425.0M - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com positive
- NEWS StubHub Stock Hit Hard As Profit Misses Bite - TipRanks — TipRanks negative
Generated 2026-10-28T11:33:56Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $5.55 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $5.16. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $9.17 (+65.2% upside). Prior stop was $5.16. Stop-loss: $5.16.
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
StubHub Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 9.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
21 analysts cover STUB with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $11.
What does StubHub Holdings, Inc. do?StubHub Holdings operates a global secondary ticketing marketplace through two brands, StubHub and viagogo, connecting...
StubHub Holdings operates a global secondary ticketing marketplace through two brands, StubHub and viagogo, connecting buyers and sellers for live sports, concert, and theater events. The company earns transaction fees on its marketplace, employing approximately 900 full-time staff as of December 31, 2025, with a business model dependent on the frequency and scale of live events and seller supply.