Skip to main content
TKNOAlpha Teknova, Inc.Sell5.2·$8.22
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Alpha Teknova is a cash-burning, below-floor-quality small cap whose shares are already above the engine's target, leaving little upside despite narrowing losses and revenue growth.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Floor—
  • Target Already Exceeded—
  • Narrowing Quarterly Losses—
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Alpha Teknova, Inc. (TKNO) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.22: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.57; Below-average business quality.

Alpha Teknova makes reagents, media and custom-formulated products for life-science research, diagnostics and cell and gene therapy customers, almost all in the U.S. Lab Essentials contributed 76.6% of 2025 revenue and Clinical Solutions 18.9%. Customers buying more than $10,000... Read more

QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-0.17%
Stop $7.64Target $8.41(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$9.67+17.6%6 analysts
$8.41our TP
$8.22price
$9.67mean
$12

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.22: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.57; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 21d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-14

Recent Developments — Alpha Teknova, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-10-14T11:47:17Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202621d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Lab Essentials business (76.6%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: customers in the U.S. (94.4%)
Target reached (2.3% upside)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-43.3
Mkt Cap$441M
EV/EBITDA-50.3
Profit Mgn-38.4%
ROE-24.2%
Rev Growth18.5%
Beta0.86
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C3.57bearish
IV269%elevated
Max Pain$5-39.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductLab Essentials business77%
    10-K Item 1: 'our Lab Essentials business contributed 76.6% of our total revenue'
  • HIGHGeographiccustomers in the U.S.94%
    10-K Item 1: 'In 2025, revenue from sales to customers in the U.S. represented 94.4% of our total revenue.'
  • MEDIUMSuppliertwo suppliers of inventory purchases
    10-K Item 1A: 'individually each made up 10% or more of our total inventory purchases, and these suppliers comprised 56% of our total inventory purchases in the aggregate.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -38.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
2.9
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
8.5
Cash-burning: FCF -2% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.5
Volume
1.5
Ma Position
6.0
Rsi
7.9
Uptrend pullback (RSI 36) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.5
Quality Rank
1.4
Growth Rank
5.9
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 21d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $6.82Resistance $9.48

Price Targets

$8
$8
A.Upside+2.3%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.3% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (21d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TKNO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.22: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.57; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $7.64. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TKNO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.41 (+2.3% upside). Prior stop was $7.64. Stop-loss: $7.64.

What are the risks of investing in TKNO?

Concentration risk — Product: Lab Essentials business (76.6%); Concentration risk — Geographic: customers in the U.S. (94.4%); Target reached (2.3% upside).

Is TKNO overvalued or undervalued?

Alpha Teknova, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -43.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TKNO?

13 analysts cover TKNO with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Alpha Teknova, Inc. do?Alpha Teknova makes reagents, media and custom-formulated products for life-science research, diagnostics and cell and...

Alpha Teknova makes reagents, media and custom-formulated products for life-science research, diagnostics and cell and gene therapy customers, almost all in the U.S. Lab Essentials contributed 76.6% of 2025 revenue and Clinical Solutions 18.9%. Customers buying more than $10,000 annually were about 85% of 2025 revenue.

Related stocks: IRWD (Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · BCRX (BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · ANIP (ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · LQDA (Liquidia Corporation) · EOLS (Evolus, Inc. Common Stock)
Home › Stocks › TKNO

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga19h agoAnalyst