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SYFSynchrony FinancialHold6.0·$75.29+0.91%
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Synchrony Financial (SYF) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Credit Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $75.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: five largest programs (54.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States.

Synchrony Financial provides consumer financing through private label, dual, co-branded, and general purpose credit cards plus installment loans across five sales platforms—Home & Auto, Digital, Diversified & Value, Health & Wellness, and Lifestyle. The company reported $103.8... Read more

$75.29+6.7% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#17 of 29 Credit Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.61%(5y avg 2.17%)Payout12.42%sustainable
Stop $70.83Target $80.30(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$89.22+18.5%23 analysts
$80.30our TP
$75.29price
$89.22mean
$103

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $75.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: five largest programs (54.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Synchrony Financial

About Synchrony Financial

Synchrony Financial reported $21.7 billion in interest and fees on loan receivables in 2025, holding $103.8 billion of loan receivables and 70.7 million active accounts at December 31, 2025, with $182.3 billion in purchase volume financed during the year. All five of the company's sales platforms—Home & Auto, Digital, Diversified & Value, Health & Wellness, and Lifestyle—operate within the United States, and $81.1 billion in deposits represented 84% of total funding sources at year-end.

Synchrony earns revenue primarily through interest and fees on loan receivables, with Digital accounting for 30% of platform interest and fees, Home & Auto 26%, Diversified & Value 22%, Health & Wellness 17%, and Lifestyle 5% in 2025. The five largest partner programs—Amazon, Lowe's, PayPal, Sam's Club, and TJX Companies—generated 54% of total interest and fees; Lowe's, PayPal, and Sam's Club each individually exceeded 10% of total interest and fees. Partner agreements for the five largest programs run through 2030 to 2035, including a relationship with Lowe's spanning 46 years and PayPal spanning 21 years. Most large-partner agreements include retailer share arrangements that compensate partners when program economics exceed contractual thresholds. The Health & Wellness platform served over 290,000 provider and retail locations, with dental accounts comprising 49% of that platform's interest and fees in 2025. Primary competitors for partner relationships include American Express, Capital One, JPMorgan Chase, Citibank, and Bread Financial.

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Synchrony's net charge-off rate stood at 5.65% for the full year 2025, compared to 11.26% during the 2009 financial crisis, while the over-30-day delinquency rate was 4.49% at December 31, 2025 versus 8.25% at that cycle's trough. The CFPB's March 2024 rule reducing the credit card late fee safe harbor from $30 to $8 was vacated on April 15, 2025 after an industry court challenge; Synchrony had already implemented pricing and policy changes in anticipation, and those changes remain subject to partner negotiations and ongoing regulatory scrutiny. The company also tightened credit access during 2022–2024 in response to consumer payment-rate moderation driven by declining savings levels.

See also: Financial Services · Credit Services

From Synchrony Financial's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 21, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: five largest programs (54.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States
Thin upside margin: 6.6%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.7
P/E (Fwd)7.1
Mkt Cap$25.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn36.4%
ROE21.8%
Rev Growth6.1%
Beta1.32
Dividend1.61%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.40bullish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$120+59.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerfive largest programs54%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our five largest programs...accounted in aggregate for 54% of our total interest and fees on loans for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • LOWCustomerLowe's
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our programs with Lowe's, PayPal...and Sam's Club, each accounted for more than 10% of our total interest and fees on loans'
  • LOWCustomerPayPal
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our programs with Lowe's, PayPal...and Sam's Club, each accounted for more than 10% of our total interest and fees on loans'
  • LOWCustomerSam's Club
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our programs with Lowe's, PayPal...and Sam's Club, each accounted for more than 10% of our total interest and fees on loans'
  • HIGHGeographicUnited States
    10-K Item 1: 'Substantially all of our revenue generating activities are within the United States'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.2
52w Position
7.1
GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $68.32Resistance $76.24

Price Targets

$71
$80
A.Upside+6.7%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SYF stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $75.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: five largest programs (54.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $80.30 (+6.7%), stop $70.83 (−6.3%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SYF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $80.30 (+6.7% upside). Target $80.30 (+6.7%), stop $70.83 (−6.3%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $70.83.

What are the risks of investing in SYF?

Concentration risk — Customer: five largest programs (54.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States; Thin upside margin: 6.6%.

Is SYF overvalued or undervalued?

Synchrony Financial trades at a P/E of 7.7 (forward 7.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SYF?

27 analysts cover SYF with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $89.

What does Synchrony Financial do?Synchrony Financial provides consumer financing through private label, dual, co-branded, and general purpose credit...

Synchrony Financial provides consumer financing through private label, dual, co-branded, and general purpose credit cards plus installment loans across five sales platforms—Home & Auto, Digital, Diversified & Value, Health & Wellness, and Lifestyle. The company reported $103.8 billion in loan receivables, 70.7 million active accounts, and $182.3 billion in purchase volume for 2025, funded primarily by $81.1 billion in deposits. Revenue is primarily interest and fees on loans, with substantially all operations in the United States.

Related stocks: ENVA (Enova International, Inc.) · SEZL (Sezzle Inc.) · ALLY (Ally Financial Inc.) · BFH (Bread Financial Holdings, Inc.) · OMF (OneMain Holdings, Inc.)
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