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Synchrony Financial (SYF) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Credit Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $69.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Amazon, Lowe's, PayPal, Sam's Club, TJX (54.0%); Negative momentum.

Synchrony Financial is a consumer financial services company providing private label, dual, co-brand, and general purpose credit cards plus installment loans through retail partner program agreements across five sales platforms. With $103.8 billion in loan receivables, 70.7... Read more

$69.39+16.2% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#20 of 28 Credit Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.68%(5y avg 2.18%)Payout12.42%sustainable
Stop $67.03Target $80.63(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$89.59+29.1%22 analysts
$80.63our TP
$69.39price
$89.59mean
$103

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $69.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Amazon, Lowe's, PayPal, Sam's Club, TJX (54.0%); Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 31, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Synchrony Financial

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Amazon, Lowe's, PayPal, Sam's Club, TJX (54.0%)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.4
P/E (Fwd)6.8
Mkt Cap$23.9B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn36.4%
ROE21.8%
Rev Growth6.1%
Beta1.36
Dividend1.68%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.70bullish
IV42%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerAmazon, Lowe's, PayPal, Sam's Club, TJX54%
    10-K Item 1: 'Amazon, Lowe’s, PayPal, Sam’s Club and TJX Companies, Inc. ... accounted in aggregate for 54% of our total interest and fees on loans for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume
3.9
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $69.10Resistance $78.92

Price Targets

$67
$81
A.Upside+16.2%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SYF stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $69.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Amazon, Lowe's, PayPal, Sam's Club, TJX (54.0%); Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 31, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $80.63 (+16.2%), stop $67.03 (−3.5%), A.R:R 3.2:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SYF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $80.63 (+16.2% upside). Target $80.63 (+16.2%), stop $67.03 (−3.5%), A.R:R 3.2:1. Stop-loss: $67.03.

What are the risks of investing in SYF?

Concentration risk — Customer: Amazon, Lowe's, PayPal, Sam's Club, TJX (54.0%); Negative momentum.

Is SYF overvalued or undervalued?

Synchrony Financial trades at a P/E of 7.4 (forward 6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SYF?

27 analysts cover SYF with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $90.

What does Synchrony Financial do?Synchrony Financial is a consumer financial services company providing private label, dual, co-brand, and general...

Synchrony Financial is a consumer financial services company providing private label, dual, co-brand, and general purpose credit cards plus installment loans through retail partner program agreements across five sales platforms. With $103.8 billion in loan receivables, 70.7 million active accounts, and $21.7 billion in interest and fees on loans in 2025, revenue depends heavily on a small number of large retail partners.

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