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SSMRSunshine Silver Mining & RefiniSell5.8·$14.39+0.21%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sunshine Silver Mining shows notable insider selling and a below-floor quality score with two value-trap signals, while a failed asymmetry gate signals the current risk/reward is unfavorable despite modest analyst-implied upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Notable Insider SellingImproving
  • Quality Floor Breach Value TrapStable
  • Failed Asymmetry Risk RewardStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sunshine Silver Mining & Refini (SSMR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5QualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.39: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company operates as a silver mining company in the United States. The company is the owner and developer of the Sunshine Mine and the Sunshine Silver/Copper Refinery, as well as the associated facilities including the Sunshine Tailings Storage... Read more

$14.39+13.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#11 of 35 Other Industrial Metals & Mining
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield
Stop $13.38Target $16.27(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$18.70+30.0%5 analysts
$16.27our TP
$14.39price
$18.70mean
$23

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.39: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-25

Recent Developments — Sunshine Silver Mining & Refini

Generated 2026-07-25T09:22:36Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-54.2
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA-39.9
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE
Rev Growth
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.5
Current Ratio
9.1

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.0
Support Resistance
3.0
52w Position
6.8
GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 0.32%=MODERATEMomentum 7.7>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $12.51Resistance $15.20

Price Targets

$13
$16
A.Upside+13.1%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for SSMR.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SSMR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.39: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $13.38. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SSMR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.27 (+13.1% upside). Prior stop was $13.38. Stop-loss: $13.38.

What are the risks of investing in SSMR?

Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is SSMR overvalued or undervalued?

Sunshine Silver Mining & Refini trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -54.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

0
What does Sunshine Silver Mining & Refini do?Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company operates as a silver mining company in the United States. The company is the...

Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company operates as a silver mining company in the United States. The company is the owner and developer of the Sunshine Mine and the Sunshine Silver/Copper Refinery, as well as the associated facilities including the Sunshine Tailings Storage Facility and historical antimony refinery grounds. Its Sunshine Mine is a historic, permitted, large-scale past-producing silver mine with an average diluted silver grade of 1,022 grams per tonne of Indicated Mineral Resources and 776 grams per tonne of Inferred Mineral Resources. Its principal asset is the Sunshine Complex located in the Silver Valley in Idaho. Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Kellogg, Idaho.

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