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SRPTSarepta Therapeutics, Inc.Sell4.5·$15.75+2.87%
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Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. (SRPT) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $15.75 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: Catalent (ELEVIDYS commercial CMO); Concentration risk — Supplier: Aldevron (plasmid supplier for ELEVIDYS).

Sarepta Therapeutics is a commercial-stage biopharma with four FDA-approved Duchenne muscular dystrophy products (EXONDYS 51, VYONDYS 53, AMONDYS 45, ELEVIDYS), generating $1,864.3M in net revenues in 2025. All products rely on third-party CMOs for manufacturing as Sarepta has... Read more

$15.75+25.9% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#136 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield12.67%
Stop $14.63Target $19.80(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$22.00+39.7%23 analysts
$19.80our TP
$15.75price
$22.00mean
$5
$38

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $15.75 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: Catalent (ELEVIDYS commercial CMO); Concentration risk — Supplier: Aldevron (plasmid supplier for ELEVIDYS). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc.

About Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc.

Sarepta Therapeutics generated $1,864.3 million in net product revenues in 2025 from four FDA-approved Duchenne muscular dystrophy treatments: EXONDYS 51 (exon 51 skipping, launched 2016), VYONDYS 53 (exon 53 skipping, launched 2019), AMONDYS 45 (exon 45 skipping, launched 2021), and ELEVIDYS, an AAV gene therapy that received traditional FDA approval for ambulatory patients in June 2024 and accelerated approval for non-ambulatory patients the same month.

Sarepta distributes PMO products through a limited home-infusion specialty pharmacy network and a specialty distributor serving hospitals and outpatient clinics; ELEVIDYS flows through third-party logistics providers and a limited specialty pharmacy network for in-hospital infusion. The company currently lacks internal GMP manufacturing capability and relies on Catalent for commercial supply of ELEVIDYS and the SRP-9003 LGMD program, while Aldevron supplies plasmid material for ELEVIDYS and SRP-9003. Reimbursement coverage for ELEVIDYS has been restricted by certain payors following the 2025 safety events, and the ESSENCE confirmatory trial reported topline failure to meet its primary endpoint on November 3, 2025, creating regulatory uncertainty for AMONDYS 45 and VYONDYS 53 under the FDA's accelerated approval pathway. Pipeline programs include SRP-1001 (FSHD) and SRP-1003 (DM1) in Phase 1/2a through the Arrowhead Collaboration Agreement signed in November 2024.

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Two simultaneous regulatory pressures compound uncertainty around the product portfolio. The ESSENCE trial for AMONDYS 45 and VYONDYS 53 failed to achieve statistical significance on its primary endpoint, which the 10-K notes could lead to label changes, revocation of accelerated approvals, or directives to remove those products from the market. Concurrently, ELEVIDYS carries a boxed warning for acute liver injury and acute liver failure added in November 2025, with the non-ambulatory indication removed from the Prescribing Information, making resumption of dosing in that population subject to an additional FDA review process dependent on sirolimus immunosuppressant trial data.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-17T09:12:26Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 26%
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Catalent (ELEVIDYS commercial CMO)
Concentration risk — Supplier: Aldevron (plasmid supplier for ELEVIDYS)
Weak overall score: 4.5/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)43.7
P/E (Fwd)5.6
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA43.5
Profit Mgn3.0%
ROE4.9%
Rev Growth-1.9%
Beta0.20
DividendNone
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.61bearish
IV72%elevated
Max Pain$5-68.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierCatalent (ELEVIDYS commercial CMO)
    10-K Item 1: 'Catalent supports our clinical and commercial manufacturing demand for ELEVIDYS and our SRP-9003 LGMD program'
  • HIGHSupplierAldevron (plasmid supplier for ELEVIDYS)
    10-K Item 1: 'Aldevron provides plasmids for ELEVIDYS and SRP-9003 and is expected to provide plasmid source material for any future gene therapy programs.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-25Item 5.02HIGH
    CEO Douglas Ingram notified the Company of his decision to retire as CEO by end of 2026 or upon appointment of his replacement. Search for internal and external candidates commenced. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -1.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.0
Declining revenue: -2%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
4.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.9
Value Rank
6.0
Quality Rank
6.3
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.68Resistance $18.21

Price Targets

$15
$20
A.Upside+25.7%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SRPT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $15.75 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: Catalent (ELEVIDYS commercial CMO); Concentration risk — Supplier: Aldevron (plasmid supplier for ELEVIDYS). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $14.63. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SRPT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.80 (+25.9% upside). Prior stop was $14.63. Stop-loss: $14.63.

What are the risks of investing in SRPT?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Catalent (ELEVIDYS commercial CMO); Concentration risk — Supplier: Aldevron (plasmid supplier for ELEVIDYS); Weak overall score: 4.5/10.

Is SRPT overvalued or undervalued?

Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of 43.7 (forward 5.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SRPT?

33 analysts cover SRPT with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. do?Sarepta Therapeutics is a commercial-stage biopharma with four FDA-approved Duchenne muscular dystrophy products...

Sarepta Therapeutics is a commercial-stage biopharma with four FDA-approved Duchenne muscular dystrophy products (EXONDYS 51, VYONDYS 53, AMONDYS 45, ELEVIDYS), generating $1,864.3M in net revenues in 2025. All products rely on third-party CMOs for manufacturing as Sarepta has no internal GMP production capability.

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