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Soleno Therapeutics, Inc. (SLNO) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $52.82 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: VYKAT XR.

Soleno Therapeutics is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company with its first approved product, VYKAT XR (diazoxide choline extended-release), FDA-approved March 2025 to treat hyperphagia in Prader-Willi syndrome patients age 4+. Revenue generation began Q2 2025 with net... Read more

$52.82-1.9% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#124 of 158 Biotechnology
Stop $52.58Target $51.82(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$53.00+0.3%8 analysts
Range unavailable (8 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $52.82 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: VYKAT XR. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: VYKAT XR
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)135.3
P/E (Fwd)-23.3
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA145.7
Profit Mgn11.0%
ROE6.0%
Rev Growth
Beta-2.81
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV43%normal
Max Pain$18-66.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductVYKAT XR
    10-K Item 1A: 'we have just begun to generate product revenue and are dependent upon the success of VYKAT XR'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-26Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO James Mackaness announced retirement by end of March 2026; Jennifer Fulk appointed as successor CFO effective March 2, 2026. Mackaness departure not due to disagreement with company.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Pe
0.0
Ps
0.5
Analyst Target
3.0
Expensive valuation

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.0
52w Position
1.7
Bollinger
4.3

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.0
Growth Rank
5.0
Quality Rank
7.2
Superior ROE vs peers
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $36.00Resistance $52.88

Price Targets

$53
$52
A.Upside-1.9%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.7% upside)
! Momentum score 4.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SLNO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $52.82 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: VYKAT XR. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $52.58. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SLNO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $51.82 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $52.58. Stop-loss: $52.58.

What are the risks of investing in SLNO?

Concentration risk — Product: VYKAT XR; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is SLNO overvalued or undervalued?

Soleno Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of 135.3 (forward -23.3). TrendMatrix value score: 1.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SLNO?

19 analysts cover SLNO with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $53.

What does Soleno Therapeutics, Inc. do?Soleno Therapeutics is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company with its first approved product, VYKAT XR...

Soleno Therapeutics is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company with its first approved product, VYKAT XR (diazoxide choline extended-release), FDA-approved March 2025 to treat hyperphagia in Prader-Willi syndrome patients age 4+. Revenue generation began Q2 2025 with net income of $20.9M for full year 2025.

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