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SBGISinclair, Inc.Sell5.5·$12.97
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Sinclair's golden-cross breakout and perfect earnings beat streak are offset by a high leverage penalty and already-exhausted calculated upside, consistent with a call to consider reducing the position despite short-squeeze potential.

Thesis pillars

  • Golden Cross Breakout Momentum→Stable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
  • High Leverage Penalty↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sinclair, Inc. (SBGI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5QualityHigh Confidence

Communication Services · Broadcasting

Earnings in 1 day (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $12.97: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Sinclair, Inc., a media company, provides content on local television stations and digital platforms in the United States. It operates through two segments, Local Media and Tennis. The Local Media segment operates broadcast television stations, original networks, and content;... Read more

$12.97+17.9% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#2 of 5 Broadcasting
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield25.36%
IncomeYield7.71%(5y avg 5.76%)Payout129.87%at-risk
Stop $12.06Analyst target $15.29(−13% haircut)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst consensus$17.57+35.5%7 analysts with price targets
$15.29Analyst target
$12.97price
$17.57mean
$30

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $12.97: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — Sinclair, Inc.

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-03T11:54:06Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20261d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 13.8): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.8
P/E (Fwd)-6.6
Mkt Cap$938M
EV/EBITDA9.3
Profit Mgn1.6%
ROE20.4%
Rev Growth7.1%
Beta1.21
Dividend7.71%
Analysts with ratings11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.04bullish
IV61%elevated
Max Pain$18+34.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
6.3
Quality Rank
7.0

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
2.6
Bollinger
2.8
52w Position
5.5
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.2>=5.5A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.83Resistance $13.38

Price Targets

$12
$15
A.Upside+17.9%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:1d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SBGI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $12.97: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Prior stop was $12.06. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

What is the SBGI stock price target?

Analyst target: $15.29 (+17.9% upside). Prior stop was $12.06. Stop-loss: $12.06.

What are the risks of investing in SBGI?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 13.8): -1.5.

Is SBGI overvalued or undervalued?

Sinclair, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.8 (forward -6.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SBGI?

11 analysts rate SBGI, with a consensus score of 2.6/5. 7 analysts publish price targets averaging $18.

What does Sinclair, Inc. do?Sinclair, Inc., a media company, provides content on local television stations and digital platforms in the United...

Sinclair, Inc., a media company, provides content on local television stations and digital platforms in the United States. It operates through two segments, Local Media and Tennis. The Local Media segment operates broadcast television stations, original networks, and content; provides free over-the-air programming and live local sporting events on its stations; distributes its content to multi-channel video programming distributors in exchange for contractual fees; and produces local and original news programs. This segment operates The Nest, a free over-the-air national broadcast TV network; Comet, a science fiction network; CHARGE!, an adventure and action-based network; The National News Desk, a news program; and Full Measure with Sharyl Attkisson, an investigative and political analysis program, as well as podcasts related to soccer and sports programming. Its Tennis segment offers Tennis Channel, a cable network that includes coverage of tennis' top tournaments and original professional sports, and tennis lifestyle shows; Tennis Channel International and Tennis Channel streaming services; Tennischannel 2, a 24-hours a day free ad-supported streaming television channel; Tennis.com; and FAST Channel Pickleballtv. The company also provides non-broadcast digital and internet solutions; and technical sales and services, including the design and manufacture of broadcast systems. In addition, it owns various investments in non-media related companies. The company distributes its content through its broadcast platform and third-party platforms that consist of programming provided by third-party networks and syndicators, local news, sports, and other original programming. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Hunt Valley, Maryland.

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