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Gray Media, Inc. (GTN-A) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Broadcasting

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Market cap $0.85B below $1B minimum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-12.2% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -9.5%).

Gray Media, Inc., a multimedia company, owns and/or operates local television stations and digital assets in the United States. The company operates through Broadcasting, Production Companies, and Other segments. It also owns Gray Digital Media, a digital agency that provides... Read more

$9.49+26.4% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#2 of 2 Communication Services (sector)
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield13.49%
IncomeYield3.87%(5y avg 2.99%)Payout74.42%
Stop $8.83Target $12.00(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Market cap $0.85B below $1B minimum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-12.2% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -9.5%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Market cap $0.85B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Market cap $0.85B below $1B minimum
Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-12.2% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -9.5%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-12.9
Mkt Cap$850M
EV/EBITDA10.9
Profit Mgn-3.1%
ROE-3.4%
Rev Growth-1.8%
Beta1.07
Dividend3.87%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -1.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.0
Declining revenue: -2%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -3.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.9
Roa
1.6
Moat
2.5
Piotroski F
3.3
Operating Margin
4.2
Current Ratio
4.6
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.3
Quality Rank
1.9
Value Rank
9.0
GatesMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.50Resistance $12.24

Price Targets

$9
$12
A.Upside+26.4%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Market cap $0.85B below $1B minimum
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-12.2% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -9.5%)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for GTN-A.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GTN-A stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Market cap $0.85B below $1B minimum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-12.2% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -9.5%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Market cap $0.85B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $12.00 (+26.4%), stop $8.83 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GTN-A stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.00 (+26.4% upside). Target $12.00 (+26.4%), stop $8.83 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $8.83.

What are the risks of investing in GTN-A?

Market cap $0.85B below $1B minimum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-12.2% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -9.5%).

Is GTN-A overvalued or undervalued?

Gray Media, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -12.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GTN-A?

9 analysts cover GTN-A with a consensus score of 3.9/5.

What does Gray Media, Inc. do?Gray Media, Inc., a multimedia company, owns and/or operates local television stations and digital assets in the United...

Gray Media, Inc., a multimedia company, owns and/or operates local television stations and digital assets in the United States. The company operates through Broadcasting, Production Companies, and Other segments. It also owns Gray Digital Media, a digital agency that provides clients with digital marketing strategies; and operates video production companies and studio production facilities. The company was formerly known as Gray Television, Inc. and changed its name to Gray Media, Inc. in July 2002. Gray Media, Inc. was founded in 1891 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

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