Skip to main content

SBA Communications Corporation (SBAC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Sell if holding. At $199.64, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.0%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

SBA Communications owns 46,328 wireless communication towers across the U.S. and 12 international markets in South America, Central America, and Africa, leasing space primarily to wireless carriers under long-term contracts. Site leasing generated 97.9% of total segment... Read more

$199.64+6.0% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#12 of 14 REIT - Specialty
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-1.43%
IncomeYield2.50%(5y avg 1.41%)Payout48.21%
Stop $190.88Target $211.59(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$235.10+17.8%20 analysts
$211.59our TP
$199.64price
$235.10mean
$280

Sell if holding. At $199.64, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.0%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — SBA Communications Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.0%
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.0
P/E (Fwd)24.6
Mkt Cap$21.2B
EV/EBITDA19.9
Profit Mgn35.7%
ROE
Rev Growth5.9%
Beta1.02
Dividend2.50%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.0

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
8.6
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 21)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.5
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 250.0%
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
21 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $196.78Resistance $222.58

Price Targets

$191
$212
A.Upside+6.0%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SBAC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $199.64, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.0%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $190.88. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

What is the SBAC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $211.59 (+6.0% upside). Prior stop was $190.88. Stop-loss: $190.88.

What are the risks of investing in SBAC?

Thin upside margin: 6.0%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is SBAC overvalued or undervalued?

SBA Communications Corporation trades at a P/E of 21.0 (forward 24.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SBAC?

27 analysts cover SBAC with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $235.

What does SBA Communications Corporation do?SBA Communications owns 46,328 wireless communication towers across the U.S. and 12 international markets in South...

SBA Communications owns 46,328 wireless communication towers across the U.S. and 12 international markets in South America, Central America, and Africa, leasing space primarily to wireless carriers under long-term contracts. Site leasing generated 97.9% of total segment operating profit in 2025; T-Mobile, AT&T Wireless, and Verizon Wireless are the three primary domestic tenants.

Related stocks: DLR (Digital Realty Trust, Inc.) · GLPI (Gaming and Leisure Properties, ) · AMT (American Tower Corporation (REI) · UNIT (Uniti Group Inc.) · FRMI (Fermi Inc.)