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EchoStar Corporation (SATS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellHigh Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $122.34: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 31%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

EchoStar is a holding company operating DISH Pay-TV and a transitional Hybrid MNO wireless business, forced by FCC action to sell $22.65B in spectrum to AT&T. The wireless business depends on T-Mobile and AT&T to provide network services under the MNSA and NSA agreements.

$122.34+10.0% A.UpsideScore 3.4/10#40 of 40 Telecom Services
Stop $113.92Target $134.69(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$129.60+5.9%5 analysts
$134.69our TP
$122.34price
$129.60mean
$147

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $122.34: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 31%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 3.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: T-Mobile and AT&T
Target reached (-8.0% upside)
Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-1050.7
Mkt Cap$34.6B
EV/EBITDA41.9
Profit Mgn-96.6%
ROE-111.3%
Rev Growth-4.3%
Beta1.00
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F0/9

Options Flow

P/C0.70neutral
IV71%elevated
Max Pain$65-46.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierT-Mobile and AT&T
    10-K Item 1A: 'Through the MNSA and the NSA, we depend on T-Mobile and AT&T to provide network services to our Wireless subscribers.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-19Item 1.02MEDIUM
    On March 16, 2026, EchoStar entered amended NSA with AT&T modifying material network services agreement in connection with the pending AT&T spectrum sale transactions.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.5
Value Rank
1.9

Unprofitable operations — net margin -96.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
0.0
Gross Margin
1.2
Current Ratio
1.7
Operating Margin
3.9
Moat
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -5% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9Quality concerns

Revenue shrinking — -4.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.4
Declining revenue: -4%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Obv
6.5
Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $116.32Resistance $137.44

Price Targets

$114
$135
A.Upside+10.1%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SATS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $122.34: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 31%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $113.92. Score 3.4/10, high confidence.

What is the SATS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $134.69 (+10.0% upside). Prior stop was $113.92. Stop-loss: $113.92.

What are the risks of investing in SATS?

Concentration risk — Supplier: T-Mobile and AT&T; Target reached (-8.0% upside); Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0).

Is SATS overvalued or undervalued?

EchoStar Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -1050.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SATS?

11 analysts cover SATS with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $130.

What does EchoStar Corporation do?EchoStar is a holding company operating DISH Pay-TV and a transitional Hybrid MNO wireless business, forced by FCC...

EchoStar is a holding company operating DISH Pay-TV and a transitional Hybrid MNO wireless business, forced by FCC action to sell $22.65B in spectrum to AT&T. The wireless business depends on T-Mobile and AT&T to provide network services under the MNSA and NSA agreements.

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