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SATSEchoStar CorporationSell3.6·$103.30-2.91%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

EchoStar's recent improvement in earnings beats — with two large positive surprises reducing losses faster than expected — is an early signal of operational stabilization, but a quality score of 1.2 out of 10, declining revenue, and 36% short interest reflect deep fundamental skepticism that will require sustained progress to overcome.

Thesis pillars

  • Technical Mixed Minimal UpsideStable
  • Loss Reduction Beat PatternStable
  • Revenue Decline And Quality FloorStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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EchoStar Corporation (SATS) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $103.30: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 36%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.44; Below-average business quality.

EchoStar Corporation operates four segments — Pay-TV (DISH and SLING brands, 6.998M subscribers), Wireless (Boost Mobile and Gen Mobile, 7.511M subscribers), Broadband and Satellite Services (739K subscribers), and Other — across the United States. Revenue comes from subscriber... Read more

$103.30+15.2% A.UpsideScore 3.6/10#39 of 40 Telecom Services
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-1.52%
Stop $97.31Target $119.71(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$137.60+33.2%5 analysts
$119.71our TP
$103.30price
$137.60mean
$161

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $103.30: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 36%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.44; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 3.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About EchoStar Corporation

About EchoStar Corporation

EchoStar Corporation recorded $17.632 billion in non-cash asset impairments during 2025, triggered by the abandonment of its 5G Network deployment following FCC pressure and the resulting AT&T Transactions ($22.65 billion for 3.45 GHz and 600 MHz spectrum licenses) and SpaceX Transactions (approximately $20 billion for AWS-4, H-Block, and AWS-3 licenses). At year-end December 31, 2025, the company reported 6.998 million Pay-TV subscribers, 7.511 million Wireless subscribers, and 739,000 Broadband subscribers across its U.S. operations.

EchoStar earns revenue across four segments: Pay-TV (DISH satellite and SLING streaming services), Wireless (Boost Mobile and Gen Mobile brands, transitioned to a Hybrid MNO model using AT&T network infrastructure under the Sixth Amendment to the Network Services Agreement through December 31, 2031), Broadband and Satellite Services (HughesNet consumer broadband and enterprise/government satellite solutions via the EchoStar XXIV satellite), and Other (legacy 5G Network assets being decommissioned). The company depends on T-Mobile under the MNSA and AT&T under the NSA to provide wireless network services to Wireless subscribers, with minimum purchase commitments under both agreements. The wireless services industry is dominated by incumbents Verizon, AT&T, and T-Mobile, each with substantially greater financial resources. DISH TV faces cord-cutting pressure and a maturing pay-TV market.

Show full overview

EchoStar's near-term financial trajectory hinges on regulatory approvals from the FCC and DOJ for both the AT&T Transactions (targeted to close in the first half of 2026) and the SpaceX Transactions (Spectrum Transfer Closing expected first half 2026; Spectrum Acquisition Closing expected on or about November 30, 2027). In June 2026, the company disclosed via Form 8-K that it elected not to make approximately $183 million in cash interest payments on DISH DBS subsidiary notes due June 1, 2026, triggering a default under the applicable indentures, though a 30-day grace period applies. The market value of SATS shares may also be materially influenced by investor expectations around an anticipated minority equity stake in SpaceX valued at $212 per share.

See also: Communication Services · Telecom Services

From EchoStar Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-29

Recent Developments — EchoStar Corporation

Generated 2026-06-29T23:58:56Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-911.5
Mkt Cap$30.1B
EV/EBITDA35.7
Profit Mgn-97.6%
ROE-112.3%
Rev Growth-5.2%
Beta0.96
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C1.44bearish
IV92%elevated
Max Pain$185+79.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.3
Value Rank
1.9

Unprofitable operations — net margin -97.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.3
Current Ratio
1.2
Gross Margin
1.4
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
2.5
Operating Margin
3.6
Cash-burning: FCF -3% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Revenue shrinking — -5.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.2
Declining revenue: -5%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Volatile — 9.4% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Short Interest
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Days To Cover
3.7
Put Call
3.7
Max Pain Risk
7.0
Beta
7.2
High short interest justified: 36%High IV: 92%

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.6
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.0
Uptrend pullback (RSI 35) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
35 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $100.32Resistance $131.77

Price Targets

$97
$120
A.Upside+15.9%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SATS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $103.30: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 36%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.44; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $97.31. Score 3.6/10, high confidence.

What is the SATS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $119.71 (+15.2% upside). Prior stop was $97.31. Stop-loss: $97.31.

What are the risks of investing in SATS?

Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0).

Is SATS overvalued or undervalued?

EchoStar Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -911.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SATS?

10 analysts cover SATS with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $138.

What does EchoStar Corporation do?EchoStar Corporation operates four segments — Pay-TV (DISH and SLING brands, 6.998M subscribers), Wireless (Boost...

EchoStar Corporation operates four segments — Pay-TV (DISH and SLING brands, 6.998M subscribers), Wireless (Boost Mobile and Gen Mobile, 7.511M subscribers), Broadband and Satellite Services (739K subscribers), and Other — across the United States. Revenue comes from subscriber fees and spectrum licensing, though the company sold major spectrum licenses to AT&T ($22.65B) and SpaceX (~$20B) in 2025 after FCC pressure, transitioning Wireless to a Hybrid MNO model.

Related stocks: KYIV (Kyivstar Group Ltd.) · TEO (Telecom Argentina SA) · RCI (Rogers Communication, Inc.) · AD (Array Digital Infrastructure, I) · VEON (VEON Ltd.)
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