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Rumble Inc. (RUM) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellHigh Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.31: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 26%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Rumble operates a video sharing platform founded in 2013 with 52M MAUs as of Q4 2025, positioning as an alternative platform for independent creators and publishers. Revenue is primarily from advertising; the company also operates Rumble Cloud services and received a $775M... Read more

$7.31-0.8% A.UpsideScore 3.0/10#27 of 27 Internet Content & Information
Stop $6.79Target $7.24(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$22.00+201.0%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.31: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 26%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Score 3.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: advertising revenue
DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $22.00 vs price $7.30 — ratio 3.0×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-21.5
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA-20.6
Profit Mgn-81.3%
ROE-77.3%
Rev Growth-10.5%
Beta0.71
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.32bullish
IV113%elevated
Max Pain$1-86.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductadvertising revenue
    10-K Item 1A: 'we derive the majority of our revenue from advertising. The failure to attract new advertisers, the loss of existing advertisers...may adversely affect our business and operating results'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-27Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Mike Masci appointed as Rumble CFO effective March 31, 2026, succeeding Brandon Alexandroff who transitions to strategic advisor to the CEO. Masci previously VP Product Management at Intel.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

6 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -10.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -10%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.5
Expensive valuation
Low model confidence on this dimension (20%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.3
Bollinger
1.2
52w Position
3.3

Unprofitable operations — net margin -81.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
7.2
Cash-burning: FCF -214% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
0.4
Growth Rank
0.8

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MEarnings in 7 days
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)INSIDER 0.29%=MODERATEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.3>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $4.78Resistance $7.39

Price Targets

$7
$7
A.Upside-1.0%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $22.00 vs price $7.30 — ratio 3.0×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
! Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RUM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.31: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 26%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Prior stop was $6.79. Score 3.0/10, high confidence.

What is the RUM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.24 (-0.8% upside). Prior stop was $6.79. Stop-loss: $6.79.

What are the risks of investing in RUM?

Concentration risk — Product: advertising revenue; DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $22.00 vs price $7.30 — ratio 3.0×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0).

Is RUM overvalued or undervalued?

Rumble Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -21.5). TrendMatrix value score: 0.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RUM?

7 analysts cover RUM with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Rumble Inc. do?Rumble operates a video sharing platform founded in 2013 with 52M MAUs as of Q4 2025, positioning as an alternative...

Rumble operates a video sharing platform founded in 2013 with 52M MAUs as of Q4 2025, positioning as an alternative platform for independent creators and publishers. Revenue is primarily from advertising; the company also operates Rumble Cloud services and received a $775M strategic investment from Tether in February 2025.

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