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QUREuniQure N.V.Sell5.4·$41.47-0.81%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

uniQure is a gene therapy biotechnology company with reported revenue growth of 127% year-over-year and analyst consensus implying 40% upside to $34.01, but a cash burn rate of -573% of revenue, a quality score of 1.8 out of 10, and operating margin compression signal that the growth is not yet converting into sustainable financial performance.

Thesis pillars

  • Margin Compression Value Trap SignalStable
  • Exceptional Revenue Growth RateStable
  • Substantial Cash Burn Quality ConcernStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

uniQure N.V. (QURE) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $41.47: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

uniQure is a clinical-stage gene therapy company whose lead candidate, AMT-130, is being developed as a one-time treatment for Huntington's disease using the company's proprietary miQURE gene-silencing platform. Following positive Phase I/II topline data in September 2025, the... Read more

$41.47+36.3% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#60 of 253 Biotechnology
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-3.61%
Stop $38.46Target $56.39(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$64.82+56.3%11 analysts
$56.39our TP
$41.47price
$64.82mean
$93

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $41.47: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, news events none recent, earnings proximity 24d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About uniQure N.V.

About uniQure N.V.

uniQure's lead gene-therapy candidate, AMT-130 for Huntington's disease, showed a statistically significant 75% slowing of disease progression on the cUHDRS scale at 36 months in high-dose patients from its Phase I/II trial, reported in September 2025. Despite that data and Breakthrough Therapy designation granted in April 2025, the FDA told the company in December 2025 and again in March 2026 that the Phase I/II results are insufficient to support a marketing application.

uniQure has no approved products and is developing four gene-therapy candidates built on its proprietary miQURE gene-silencing platform: AMT-130 for Huntington's disease, AMT-260 for refractory mesial temporal lobe epilepsy (which uses an AAV9 vector exclusively licensed from Regenxbio), AMT-191 for Fabry disease, and AMT-162 for SOD1-ALS, the last of which had enrollment voluntarily paused in September 2025 after a dose-limiting toxicity event. The company funds this pipeline through equity offerings — $70.1 million in January 2025 and $323.7 million in September 2025 — and a $175.0 million senior secured term loan facility with Hercules Capital carrying a floating rate of 9.45% as of December 31, 2025, with an additional $100.0 million tranche available only if AMT-130 wins BLA approval before June 2027.

Show full overview

uniQure's near-term future rests almost entirely on AMT-130: the 10-K states the company is dependent on the success of its lead clinical candidate, and that dependency became more acute in early 2026, after the FDA's Type A meeting minutes said Phase I/II data compared to an external control cannot serve as primary evidence of effectiveness and recommended a prospective, randomized, double-blind, sham surgery-controlled study instead. Because a second Hercules loan tranche of $100.0 million is contingent on BLA approval of AMT-130 before June 2027, the same regulatory setback that delays commercialization also narrows uniQure's access to already-committed financing.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From uniQure N.V.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — uniQure N.V.

Generated 2026-07-07T11:31:44Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202624d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Pipeline: AMT-130
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-11.6% YoY), Margin compression (op margin 1.5%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-14.5
Mkt Cap$2.9B
EV/EBITDA-14.8
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-228.2%
Rev Growth127.3%
Beta0.90
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.23bullish
IV111%elevated
Max Pain$19-54.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHpipelineAMT-130
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are dependent on the success of our lead clinical product candidate, AMT-130, for the treatment of Huntington's disease.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-15Item 5.02LOW
    At the June 10, 2026 Annual General Meeting, shareholders approved an amendment to the 2014 Share Incentive Plan increasing shares reserved for issuance, as previously approved by the Board on April 14, 2026. Routine equity-plan matter, not an executive departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -573% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.6
Support Resistance
3.7
Bollinger
4.3

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
8.8
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5INSIDER 0.51%=HEAVYExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 24d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.65Resistance $50.47

Price Targets

$38
$56
A.Upside+36.0%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-11.6% YoY), Margin compression (op margin 1.5%)
! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (24d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is QURE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $41.47: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $38.46. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the QURE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $56.39 (+36.3% upside). Prior stop was $38.46. Stop-loss: $38.46.

What are the risks of investing in QURE?

Concentration risk — Pipeline: AMT-130; Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-11.6% YoY), Margin compression (op margin 1.5%).

Is QURE overvalued or undervalued?

uniQure N.V. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -14.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about QURE?

21 analysts cover QURE with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $65.

What does uniQure N.V. do?uniQure is a clinical-stage gene therapy company whose lead candidate, AMT-130, is being developed as a one-time...

uniQure is a clinical-stage gene therapy company whose lead candidate, AMT-130, is being developed as a one-time treatment for Huntington's disease using the company's proprietary miQURE gene-silencing platform. Following positive Phase I/II topline data in September 2025, the FDA told uniQure in December 2025 and again in March 2026 that the data are insufficient to support a marketing application, recommending a randomized, controlled Phase III study instead.

Related stocks: CRMD (CorMedix Inc.) · ZVRA (Zevra Therapeutics, Inc.) · AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · INCY (Incyte Corporation) · HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I)
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