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Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Computer Hardware

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.64: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 5.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Quantum Computing Inc. develops photonic quantum computers and optical chips using thin-film lithium niobate (TFLN) technology, with a fabrication facility at Arizona State University Research Park in Tempe, Arizona. The company is pre-revenue at scale and relies on capital... Read more

$8.64+78.9% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#11 of 14 Computer Hardware
Stop $8.06Target $15.51(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.3:1
Analyst target$17.83+106.4%6 analysts
$15.51our TP
$8.64price
$17.83mean
$27

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.64: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 5.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-28.6
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA-15.9
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-2.2%
Rev Growth219.4%
Beta3.67
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.58bullish
IV104%elevated
Max Pain$2-76.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierChina components
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our ability to scale is dependent also upon components that we must source from multiple countries, including China.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierAmazon Web Services
    10-K Item 1A: 'These public cloud services are predominantly on Amazon Web Services at the present time.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -5205% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
3.9
Bollinger
4.3

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.5
Rsi
3.6
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 5.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $6.34Resistance $10.17

Price Targets

$8
$16
A.Upside+79.5%
A.R:R5.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-11 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is QUBT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.64: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 5.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $8.06. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the QUBT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.51 (+78.9% upside). Prior stop was $8.06. Stop-loss: $8.06.

What are the risks of investing in QUBT?

Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is QUBT overvalued or undervalued?

Quantum Computing Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -28.6). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about QUBT?

10 analysts cover QUBT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Quantum Computing Inc. do?Quantum Computing Inc. develops photonic quantum computers and optical chips using thin-film lithium niobate (TFLN)...

Quantum Computing Inc. develops photonic quantum computers and optical chips using thin-film lithium niobate (TFLN) technology, with a fabrication facility at Arizona State University Research Park in Tempe, Arizona. The company is pre-revenue at scale and relies on capital raises to fund R&D; it acquired Luminar Semiconductor in February 2026 to expand its photonics portfolio.

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