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Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel

Earnings in 0 days (2026-04-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.48: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Below-average business quality.

Park Hotels & Resorts is a lodging REIT with 34 premium-branded hotels (~23,000 rooms) concentrated in Florida, Hawaii, Chicago, New York, New Orleans, and Boston. Revenue is derived from hotel operations with the Core portfolio of 21 hotels generating approximately 90% of Hotel... Read more

$11.48+0.6% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#5 of 9 REIT - Hotel & Motel
Stop $10.81Target $11.54(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$12.31+7.3%16 analysts
$11.54our TP
$11.48price
$12.31mean
$9
$20

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.48: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Tenant: Hilton
Target reached (-3.4% upside)
Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)20.8
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA10.7
Profit Mgn-11.1%
ROE-8.3%
Rev Growth0.6%
Beta1.39
Dividend8.82%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.81neutral
IV48%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicFlorida and Hawaii39%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our hotels in Florida and Hawaii alone representing approximately 36% of our room count and over 39% of our total revenue in 2025'
  • HIGHTenantHilton
    10-K Item 1A: 'A majority of our properties currently utilize brands owned by Hilton and participate in the Hilton Honors guest loyalty and rewards program.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Unprofitable operations — net margin -11.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Current Ratio
1.1
Roa
1.4
Gross Margin
2.0
Operating Margin
4.8
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.14Resistance $11.78

Price Targets

$11
$12
A.Upside+0.5%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.48: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $10.81. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.54 (+0.6% upside). Prior stop was $10.81. Stop-loss: $10.81.

What are the risks of investing in PK?

Concentration risk — Tenant: Hilton; Target reached (-3.4% upside); Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).

Is PK overvalued or undervalued?

Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 20.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PK?

26 analysts cover PK with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. do?Park Hotels & Resorts is a lodging REIT with 34 premium-branded hotels (~23,000 rooms) concentrated in Florida, Hawaii,...

Park Hotels & Resorts is a lodging REIT with 34 premium-branded hotels (~23,000 rooms) concentrated in Florida, Hawaii, Chicago, New York, New Orleans, and Boston. Revenue is derived from hotel operations with the Core portfolio of 21 hotels generating approximately 90% of Hotel Adjusted EBITDA; over 96% of Core rooms are luxury or upper upscale. The majority of properties are affiliated with the Hilton family of brands and participate in Hilton Honors.

Related stocks: RHP (Ryman Hospitality Properties, I) · HST (Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.) · SHO (Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. ) · DRH (Diamondrock Hospitality Company) · RLJ (RLJ Lodging Trust)