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PKPark Hotels & Resorts Inc.Sell4.4·$14.30-0.83%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Park Hotels & Resorts has a quality score of 2.1 out of 10, 27% short interest, and the stock is priced 16.2% above the analyst consensus target with negative asymmetry — concentrated geographic and brand exposure to Hilton amplifies the already-weak fundamental profile.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below FloorStable
  • High Short Interest Negative AsymmetryStable
  • Geographic Brand ConcentrationStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.30: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Park Hotels & Resorts owns 34 premium hotels and resorts with approximately 23,000 rooms entirely in U.S. markets, operating as one of the largest publicly-traded lodging REITs. Revenue flows through TRS lessees that engage third-party managers; the 21-hotel Core portfolio... Read more

$14.30+0.7% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#7 of 12 REIT - Hotel & Motel
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield35.83%
IncomeYield6.93%Payout538.46%
Stop $13.50Target $14.40(resistance)A.R:R -1.9:1
Analyst target$14.16-1.0%16 analysts
$14.40our TP
$14.30price
$14.16mean
$11
$20

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.30: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.

About Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.

Park Hotels & Resorts held 34 hotels and resorts with 22,561 rooms as of February 20, 2026, concentrated in six markets — Florida, Hawaii, Chicago, New York City, New Orleans, and Boston — that together represented over 69% of the company's room count. Florida and Hawaii alone generated over 39% of total revenue in 2025. All rooms are in the U.S. and its territories; over 96% of Core portfolio rooms are luxury or upper upscale.

Park Hotels & Resorts operates as a pure-play lodging REIT: the company leases substantially all hotels to taxable REIT subsidiary lessees, which engage third-party managers under agreements carrying base management fees of approximately 1% to 4% of gross hotel revenues plus performance-based incentive fees. A majority of properties carry Hilton-family brands and participate in the Hilton Honors loyalty program, a brand dependency the company does not directly control. Five properties operate under franchise agreements requiring royalty fees of 5% to 6% of gross rooms revenue. Since the January 2017 spin-off from Hilton, the company has divested 51 hotels for $3 billion in proceeds. Active capital projects include over $250 million in guestroom renovations at Hawaii and New Orleans properties spanning 2024-2026, and a $100 million full renovation at Royal Palm South Beach Miami expected to reopen in June 2026. In September 2025, the company amended its credit agreement to add an $800 million senior unsecured delayed draw term loan facility.

Show full overview

Park Hotels faces a material 2026 debt maturity: two mortgage loans totaling approximately $1.4 billion are due in 2026, which the company intends to retire using draws on the $800 million delayed draw term loan — available through September 17, 2026 — and Non-Core hotel sale proceeds. Geographic concentration in coastal markets subjects the portfolio to climate-related risk: the 10-K identifies hurricane damage, rising sea levels, and increasing storm intensity as factors that could raise insurance costs, limit property insurability, and require capital spending at coastal hotels in Florida and Hawaii.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel

From Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida, Hawaii, Chicago, New York City, New Orleans, Boston
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Hilton brands
Target reached (-10.9% upside)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)26.2
Mkt Cap$2.9B
EV/EBITDA11.8
Profit Mgn-8.5%
ROE-6.4%
Rev Growth-1.1%
Beta1.33
Dividend6.93%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.10bullish
IV45%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicFlorida and Hawaii39%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our hotels in Florida and Hawaii alone representing approximately 36% of our room count and over 39% of our total revenue in 2025'
  • HIGHGeographicFlorida, Hawaii, Chicago, New York City, New Orleans, Boston
    10-K Item 1A: 'hotels in Florida, Hawaii, Chicago, New York City, ... New Orleans and Boston represented over 69% of our room count'
  • HIGHcounterpartyHilton brands
    10-K Item 1A: 'A majority of our properties currently utilize brands owned by Hilton and participate in the Hilton Honors guest loyalty and rewards program'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -8.5%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Current Ratio
1.0
Roa
1.5
Gross Margin
2.1
Moat
2.5
Operating Margin
4.4
Piotroski F
5.6
No competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Dividend Safety
4.2
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.1
Macd
1.9
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.8
Growth Rank
1.7
Value Rank
7.5
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.62Resistance $14.69

Price Targets

$14
$14
A.Upside+0.7%
A.R:R-1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.30: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $13.50. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.40 (+0.7% upside). Prior stop was $13.50. Stop-loss: $13.50.

What are the risks of investing in PK?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida, Hawaii, Chicago, New York City, New Orleans, Boston; Concentration risk — Counterparty: Hilton brands; Target reached (-10.9% upside).

Is PK overvalued or undervalued?

Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 26.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PK?

26 analysts cover PK with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. do?Park Hotels & Resorts owns 34 premium hotels and resorts with approximately 23,000 rooms entirely in U.S. markets,...

Park Hotels & Resorts owns 34 premium hotels and resorts with approximately 23,000 rooms entirely in U.S. markets, operating as one of the largest publicly-traded lodging REITs. Revenue flows through TRS lessees that engage third-party managers; the 21-hotel Core portfolio contributes roughly 90% of Hotel Adjusted EBITDA. Florida and Hawaii together generated over 39% of 2025 total revenue, with most properties under Hilton-family brand flags.

Related stocks: HST (Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.) · SHO (Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. ) · DRH (Diamondrock Hospitality Company) · RHP (Ryman Hospitality Properties, I) · XHR (Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc.)
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