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PHVSPharvaris N.V.Sell5.1·$33.22-1.89%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pharvaris is a cash-burning clinical-stage biotech with a quality score of only 1.5 out of 10, but strong analyst conviction with 48% upside to targets and a momentum breakout pattern — the risk profile is speculative with 3 of the last 4 earnings misses.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Floor Breach Cash BurnStable
  • Earnings Miss PatternStable
  • Analyst Conviction UpsideStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pharvaris N.V. (PHVS) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.22: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Pharvaris N.V., a late-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapies for rare diseases with unmet needs covering angioedema and other bradykinin-mediated diseases. The company develops deucrictibant, a small molecule bradykinin... Read more

$33.22+21.6% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#123 of 253 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-3.71%
Stop $30.89Target $40.38(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$46.41+39.7%13 analysts
$40.38our TP
$33.22price
$46.41mean
$72

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.22: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-12.8
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA-11.5
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-73.0%
Rev Growth
Beta-2.34
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.13bullish
IV93%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
4.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)INSIDER 0.31%=MODERATEMomentum 5.4>=4.5A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $30.27Resistance $35.91

Price Targets

$31
$40
A.Upside+21.6%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PHVS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.22: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $30.89. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PHVS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.38 (+21.6% upside). Prior stop was $30.89. Stop-loss: $30.89.

What are the risks of investing in PHVS?

Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is PHVS overvalued or undervalued?

Pharvaris N.V. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PHVS?

20 analysts cover PHVS with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $46.

What does Pharvaris N.V. do?Pharvaris N.V., a late-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapies...

Pharvaris N.V., a late-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapies for rare diseases with unmet needs covering angioedema and other bradykinin-mediated diseases. The company develops deucrictibant, a small molecule bradykinin B2-receptor antagonist to treat attacks due to bradykinin-mediated angioedema, including hereditary angioedema (HAE) and acquired angioedema due to C1-inhibitor deficiency (AAE-C1INH), which is in phase 3, as well as in phase 3 trials for treatment and prophylaxis of HAE attacks; and extended-release tablet and immediate-release capsule formulation of deucrictibant. Pharvaris N.V. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Zug, Switzerland.

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