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PLDT Inc. Sponsored (PHI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $20.09 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

PLDT Inc. provides telecommunications and digital services in the Philippines. The company operates through three segments: Wireless, Fixed Line, and Others. It offers cellular mobile, internet broadband distribution, operations support, software development, and satellite... Read more

$20.09+36.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#13 of 40 Telecom Services
Stop $19.17Target $27.20(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 7.2:1
Analyst target$32.00+59.3%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $20.09 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 39%
Analyst upside: 36%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.1
P/E (Fwd)7.3
Mkt Cap$4.3B
EV/EBITDA4.0
Profit Mgn13.7%
ROE24.7%
Rev Growth-1.4%
Beta0.51
Dividend7.72%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
2.7
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Revenue shrinking — -1.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.1
Earnings Growth
5.3
Declining revenue: -1%
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 7.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.75Resistance $21.29

Price Targets

$19
$27
A.Upside+35.4%
A.R:R7.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-14 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PHI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $20.09 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $19.17. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the PHI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.20 (+36.2% upside). Prior stop was $19.17. Stop-loss: $19.17.

What are the risks of investing in PHI?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth.

Is PHI overvalued or undervalued?

PLDT Inc. Sponsored trades at a P/E of 9.1 (forward 7.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PHI?

16 analysts cover PHI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $32.

What does PLDT Inc. Sponsored do?PLDT Inc. provides telecommunications and digital services in the Philippines. The company operates through three...

PLDT Inc. provides telecommunications and digital services in the Philippines. The company operates through three segments: Wireless, Fixed Line, and Others. It offers cellular mobile, internet broadband distribution, operations support, software development, and satellite information and messaging services; and sells Wi-Fi access equipment. It also provides fixed line telecommunications services; secure data center, multi-cloud, cybersecurity, data and artificial intelligence solutions; business infrastructure and solutions; intelligent data processing and implementation, and data analytics insight generation services; and information and communications infrastructure for Internet-based services, e-commerce, customer relationship management, and information technology (IT) related services. In addition, it offers managed IT outsourcing, Internet-based purchasing, IT consulting and professional, and bill printing and other related value-added services; provides full-service customer rewards and loyalty programs; and distributes Filipino channels and content services. Further, the company engages in the sale of mobile handsets, broadband data routers, tablets, and accessories; and cross-border digital platforms, and other allied services. Additionally, it provides gaming support services; internet services; mobile internet, broadband, and data services; content provider, and mobile applications; IT solutions; data and multimedia services; domestic leased lines; alternative messaging solutions, such as over-the-top services, social media, SMS, and chat applications; mobile prepaid and postpaid services; and fixed wireless broadband services. It serves residential, individuals, micro, small and medium enterprises, large corporations, and the public sector. The company was formerly known as Philippine Long Distance Telephone Company and changed its name to PLDT Inc. in July 2016. PLDT Inc. was incorporated in 1928 and is headquartered in Makati City, the Philippines.

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