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PBFSPioneer Bancorp, Inc.Hold5.0·$18.45
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pioneer Bancorp is a small regional bank with healthy margins and breakout momentum, but real-estate loan and regional concentration, no moat and weak peer ranking on quality and valuation limit the case.

Thesis pillars

  • Real Estate Loan Concentration↓Deteriorating
  • Strong Margins No Moat↑Improving
  • Golden Cross Breakout↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 12, 2026

Full reasoning →

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Pioneer Bancorp, Inc. (PBFS) Stock Analysis

HoldValueGrowthQualityShortModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.45, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: loans secured by real estate (91.4%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Capital Region of New York.

Pioneer Bancorp is the Maryland-incorporated holding company for Pioneer Bank, National Association, operating 21 retail banking offices plus a wealth management office in New York's Capital Region (Albany, Greene, Rensselaer, Saratoga, Schenectady, and Warren counties). The... Read more

$18.45+15.0% Upside to targetScore 5.0/10#206 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $17.75Default target $21.22A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.45, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: loans secured by real estate (91.4%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Capital Region of New York. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Pioneer Bancorp, Inc.

About Pioneer Bancorp, Inc.

Pioneer Bancorp held $2.15 billion in consolidated total assets, $1.74 billion in total deposits, and $323.9 million in shareholders' equity as of December 31, 2025, operating through its subsidiary Pioneer Bank, National Association, which runs 21 retail banking offices and a wealth management office across New York's Capital Region. The bank's total loan portfolio grew to $1.67 billion, of which 91.4% was secured by real estate, and Pioneer Bank converted from a New York state-chartered savings bank to a national bank under Office of the Comptroller of the Currency supervision effective April 1, 2024.

Pioneer Bank earns net interest income primarily from commercial real estate lending (27.9% of the loan portfolio), residential mortgages purchased through a partnership with Homestead Funding Corp. (47.5%), commercial and industrial loans (7.5%), and commercial construction loans (10.2%), funded by deposits gathered from the general public and municipalities in its six-county primary market plus Federal Home Loan Bank of New York advances. The bank also generates fee income through Pioneer Insurance Agency, Pioneer Financial Services (wealth management), and Pioneer Consulting Solutions (HR consulting), competing against large regional banks including KeyBank, Citizens Bank, M&T Bank, and TD Bank as well as New York City money-center banks. Pioneer Bancorp, MHC, a mutual holding company, owns a majority of the Company's outstanding shares, limiting the influence of public shareholders on most matters put to a vote.

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Unlike larger, more geographically diversified financial institutions, Pioneer Bancorp's profitability depends primarily on economic conditions in the Capital Region of New York, where large employers such as GE Vernova, Regeneron, GlobalFoundries, and the State of New York anchor the local economy. Within that footprint, the bank's own risk factors flag its commercial real estate concentration, $466.5 million or 27.9% of the loan portfolio, as carrying greater credit risk than one- to four-family residential lending because repayment depends on the operating income of the underlying properties and businesses rather than individual borrower wages.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From Pioneer Bancorp, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 1, 2026

Recent Developments — Pioneer Bancorp, Inc.

Latest item Nov 1, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-03T12:04:11Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: loans secured by real estate (91.4%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: Capital Region of New York
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.5
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$446M
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn12.2%
ROE—
Rev Growth19.7%
Beta0.43
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings—

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfolioloans secured by real estate91%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately $1.5 billion, or 91.4%, of our total loan portfolio was secured by real estate'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliocommercial real estate loans28%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our commercial real estate loans totaled $466.5 million, or 27.9%, of our total loan portfolio'
  • HIGHGeographicCapital Region of New York
    10-K Item 1A: 'our profitability depends primarily on the general economic conditions in our primary market area, the Capital Region of New York and surrounding markets'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.2
Bollinger
0.6
52w Position
8.5

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.6
Value Rank
1.3
Growth Rank
7.1

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
7.4
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
71 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.16Resistance $18.48

Price Targets

$18
$21
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts with ratings—
Consensus—
Avg Target—

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for PBFS.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PBFS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.45, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: loans secured by real estate (91.4%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Capital Region of New York. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Default target $21.22 (+15.0%), stop $17.75 (−3.9%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PBFS stock price target?

Default target: $21.22 (+15.0% upside). Default target $21.22 (+15.0%), stop $17.75 (−3.9%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $17.75.

What are the risks of investing in PBFS?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: loans secured by real estate (91.4%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Capital Region of New York; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8).

Is PBFS overvalued or undervalued?

Pioneer Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 35.5 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What does Pioneer Bancorp, Inc. do?Pioneer Bancorp is the Maryland-incorporated holding company for Pioneer Bank, National Association, operating 21...

Pioneer Bancorp is the Maryland-incorporated holding company for Pioneer Bank, National Association, operating 21 retail banking offices plus a wealth management office in New York's Capital Region (Albany, Greene, Rensselaer, Saratoga, Schenectady, and Warren counties). The bank had $2.15 billion in total assets, $1.74 billion in deposits, and $323.9 million in shareholders' equity as of December 31, 2025, with 91.4% of its loan portfolio secured by real estate, including $466.5 million (27.9%) in commercial real estate loans. Pioneer Bancorp, MHC, a mutual holding company, owns a majority of

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