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Plains All American Pipeline, L (PAA) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.61: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.51; Below-average business quality.

Plains All American Pipeline, L.P., through its subsidiaries, engages in the pipeline transportation, terminalling, storage, and gathering of crude oil and natural gas liquids (NGL) in the United States and Canada. The company operates through two segments, Crude Oil and NGL.... Read more

$23.61-1.9% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#25 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield6.65%
IncomeYield6.75%(5y avg 7.23%)Payout140.32%at-risk
Stop $22.48Target $23.17(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$22.89-3.1%18 analysts
$23.17our TP
$23.61price
$22.89mean
$18
$26

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.61: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.51; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Plains All American Pipeline, L

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-12.8% upside)
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.3%), Material insider selling (11 sells, 0.30% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.3
P/E (Fwd)12.5
Mkt Cap$16.7B
EV/EBITDA14.1
Profit Mgn2.5%
ROE10.4%
Rev Growth8.7%
Beta0.48
Dividend6.75%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.51bearish
IV42%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
1.0
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
1.1
Net Margin
1.3
Roa
2.0
Roe
3.5
Current Ratio
3.8
Moat
4.2
Piotroski F
6.7
Fcf Quality
6.8
No competitive moat

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.1
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $20.67Resistance $23.64

Price Targets

$22
$23
A.Upside-1.9%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.8% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.3%), Material insider selling (11 sells, 0.30% of cap)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-07 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.61: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.51; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $22.48. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.17 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $22.48. Stop-loss: $22.48.

What are the risks of investing in PAA?

Target reached (-12.8% upside); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.3%), Material insider selling (11 sells, 0.30% of cap).

Is PAA overvalued or undervalued?

Plains All American Pipeline, L trades at a P/E of 21.3 (forward 12.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PAA?

24 analysts cover PAA with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Plains All American Pipeline, L do?Plains All American Pipeline, L.P., through its subsidiaries, engages in the pipeline transportation, terminalling,...

Plains All American Pipeline, L.P., through its subsidiaries, engages in the pipeline transportation, terminalling, storage, and gathering of crude oil and natural gas liquids (NGL) in the United States and Canada. The company operates through two segments, Crude Oil and NGL. The Crude Oil segment offers gathering and transporting crude oil through pipelines, trucks, and on barges or railcars. This segment provides terminalling, storage, and other related services, as well as merchant activities. The NGL segment is involved in natural gas processing and NGL fractionation, storage, transportation, and terminaling. This segment also includes ethane, propane, normal butane, iso-butane, and natural gasoline derived from natural gas production and processing activities, as well as crude oil refining processes. Its NGL components are used for various applications, such as heating, engine, and industrial fuels. The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. operates as a subsidiary of Plains GP Holdings, L.P.

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