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PAAPlains All American Pipeline, LSell6.1·$23.92
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Plains All American Pipeline trades at an attractive PEG of 0.14 and shows a deeply oversold technical setup with RSI at 28 and near-Bollinger lower band, but below-average business quality, two consecutive earnings misses, and no competitive moat limit the investment case for new buyers.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Low Peg→Stable
  • Oversold Technical Bounce Setup↑Improving
  • Consecutive Earnings Miss Pattern↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Plains All American Pipeline, L (PAA) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.92: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Plains All American Pipeline, L.P., through its subsidiaries, engages in the pipeline transportation, terminalling, storage, and gathering of crude oil and natural gas liquids (NGL) in the United States and Canada. The company operates through two segments, Crude Oil and NGL.... Read more

$23.92+0.7% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#24 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.31%
IncomeYield6.98%(5y avg 7.10%)Payout137.50%at-risk
Stop $22.95Analyst target $24.09(−10% haircut)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst consensus$26.76+11.9%17 analysts with price targets
$24.09Analyst target
$23.92price
$26.76mean
$20
$31

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.92: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 6, 2026

Recent Developments — Plains All American Pipeline, L

Latest item Nov 6, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-07T11:37:31Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Nov 6, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (0.7% upside)
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)39.9
P/E (Fwd)12.3
Mkt Cap$16.9B
EV/EBITDA11.5
Profit Mgn5.3%
ROE10.2%
Rev Growth66.3%
Beta0.54
Dividend6.98%
Analysts with ratings24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.13bullish
IV39%normal
Max Pain$14-41.5% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-02Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Russ Montgomery promoted to VP Accounting and Chief Accounting Officer effective Sept 1, 2026. Chris Herbold, SVP Finance and Chief Accounting Officer, retiring Aug 31, 2026. Clean handoff; no disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-13Item 5.02LOW
    Cynthia B. Taylor appointed independent board member (Class III) effective May 11, 2026. Also added to Compensation Committee and Health, Safety, Environmental and Sustainability Committee. No departures.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-12Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Term loan terminated concurrent with May 12, 2026 sale of Canadian NGL Business to Keyera Corp. Net proceeds ~$3.3B used to repay commercial paper, term loan, and PAA's 4.50% senior notes due December 2026.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-12Item 2.01MEDIUM
    PAA completed sale of Plains Midstream Canada ULC (Canadian NGL Business) to Keyera Corp for ~CAD $5.13B (~USD $3.76B) on May 12, 2026. Net proceeds ~$3.3B to be applied to leverage reduction.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
3.0
Erm
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
1.1
Roa
2.4
Net Margin
2.6
Roe
3.4
Fcf Quality
4.0
Current Ratio
4.3
Moat
5.6
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality warning: 51% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume
7.8
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
41 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.66Resistance $26.75

Price Targets

$23
$24
A.Upside+0.7%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-06 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.92: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $22.95. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAA stock price target?

Analyst target: $24.09 (+0.7% upside). Prior stop was $22.95. Stop-loss: $22.95.

What are the risks of investing in PAA?

Target reached (0.7% upside); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is PAA overvalued or undervalued?

Plains All American Pipeline, L trades at a P/E of 39.9 (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PAA?

24 analysts rate PAA, with a consensus score of 3.6/5. 17 analysts publish price targets averaging $27.

What does Plains All American Pipeline, L do?Plains All American Pipeline, L.P., through its subsidiaries, engages in the pipeline transportation, terminalling,...

Plains All American Pipeline, L.P., through its subsidiaries, engages in the pipeline transportation, terminalling, storage, and gathering of crude oil and natural gas liquids (NGL) in the United States and Canada. The company operates through two segments, Crude Oil and NGL. The Crude Oil segment offers gathering and transporting crude oil through pipelines, trucks, and on barges or railcars. This segment provides terminalling, storage, and other related services, as well as merchant activities. The NGL segment is involved in natural gas processing and NGL fractionation, storage, transportation, and terminaling. This segment also includes ethane, propane, normal butane, iso-butane, and natural gasoline derived from natural gas production and processing activities, as well as crude oil refining processes. Its NGL components are used for various applications, such as heating, engine, and industrial fuels. The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. operates as a subsidiary of Plains GP Holdings, L.P.

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