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OSISOSI Systems, Inc.Sell4.9·$204.15-1.20%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

OSI Systems has a strong earnings beat streak and 35% analyst upside, but weak growth, very low free cash flow conversion at 24% of net income, high short interest of 17%, and an overall score of 4.8 place it in a cautious hold position with limited upside conviction.

Thesis pillars

  • Weak Free Cash Flow QualityStable
  • Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Analyst Upside 35pctDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

OSI Systems, Inc. (OSIS) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellValueShortHigh Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $204.15 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

We sell our products and provide related services in diversified markets, including homeland security, healthcare, defense and aerospace. Our company is incorporated in the State of Delaware and our principal office is located at 12525 Chadron Avenue, Hawthorne, California 90250.

$204.15+18.6% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#27 of 28 Electronic Components
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.35%
Stop $189.86Target $242.11(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$278.29+36.3%7 analysts
$242.11our TP
$204.15price
$278.29mean
$300

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $204.15 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 23, MACD bearish. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202655d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5
Weak overall score: 4.9/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.1
P/E (Fwd)16.0
Mkt Cap$3.3B
EV/EBITDA14.9
Profit Mgn8.7%
ROE17.3%
Rev Growth-4.1%
Beta1.21
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.57bullish
IV49%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 23, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Revenue shrinking — -4.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.5
Earnings Growth
3.6
Declining revenue: -4%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.4
Quality Rank
6.6
Value Rank
7.5
Attractive P/E vs peers
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 55d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
23 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $186.50Resistance $239.07

Price Targets

$190
$242
A.Upside+18.6%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (55d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OSIS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $204.15 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 23, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $189.86. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the OSIS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $242.11 (+18.6% upside). Prior stop was $189.86. Stop-loss: $189.86.

What are the risks of investing in OSIS?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Is OSIS overvalued or undervalued?

OSI Systems, Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.1 (forward 16.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OSIS?

14 analysts cover OSIS with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $278.

What does OSI Systems, Inc. do?We sell our products and provide related services in diversified markets, including homeland security, healthcare,...

We sell our products and provide related services in diversified markets, including homeland security, healthcare, defense and aerospace. Our company is incorporated in the State of Delaware and our principal office is located at 12525 Chadron Avenue, Hawthorne, California 90250.

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