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OPCHOption Care Health, Inc.Sell4.9·$21.62+1.84%
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Option Care Health, Inc. (OPCH) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $21.62: Concentration risk — Customer: MCOs and non-governmental payers (88.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: four vendors.

Option Care Health operates 196 home and alternate-site infusion pharmacies in 43 states—87 full-service pharmacies plus 109 stand-alone ambulatory infusion suites—delivering anti-infective, immunoglobulin, and biologic therapies under physician direction. Revenue comes from... Read more

$21.62+15.0% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#21 of 27 Medical Care Facilities
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.06%
Stop $20.20Target $24.87(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$28.58+32.2%12 analysts
$24.87our TP
$21.62price
$28.58mean
$39

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $21.62: Concentration risk — Customer: MCOs and non-governmental payers (88.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: four vendors. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: MCOs and non-governmental payers (88.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: four vendors
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.6
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$3.3B
EV/EBITDA11.0
Profit Mgn3.6%
ROE15.3%
Rev Growth1.3%
Beta0.65
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.11bullish
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$40+85.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerMCOs and non-governmental payers88%
    10-K Item 1A: '88% of our revenue came from MCOs and other non-governmental payers'
  • LOWCustomerlargest payer14%
    10-K Item 1: 'The Company's largest payer represented approximately 14% of its revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025.'
  • LOWregulatoryMedicare and Medicaid12%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 12% of the Company's revenue was reimbursable through direct government healthcare programs, such as Medicare and Medicaid.'
  • HIGHSupplierfour vendors
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 68% of our pharmaceutical and medical supply purchases were from four vendors'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-05Item 5.02LOW
    Chief Growth Officer Christopher L. Grashoff to depart effective May 8, 2026. Entitled to separation benefits under the Amended and Restated Executive Severance Plan conditioned on release of claims. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.8
Support Resistance
2.2
Bollinger
2.3

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.7
Revenue Growth
2.8

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.7
Quality Rank
4.4
Value Rank
7.1
GatesMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.1>=4.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $19.43Resistance $22.25

Price Targets

$20
$25
A.Upside+15.0%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts18
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target$29

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OPCH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $21.62: Concentration risk — Customer: MCOs and non-governmental payers (88.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: four vendors. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Prior stop was $20.20. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OPCH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.87 (+15.0% upside). Prior stop was $20.20. Stop-loss: $20.20.

What are the risks of investing in OPCH?

Concentration risk — Customer: MCOs and non-governmental payers (88.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: four vendors; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is OPCH overvalued or undervalued?

Option Care Health, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.6 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OPCH?

18 analysts cover OPCH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $29.

What does Option Care Health, Inc. do?Option Care Health operates 196 home and alternate-site infusion pharmacies in 43 states—87 full-service pharmacies...

Option Care Health operates 196 home and alternate-site infusion pharmacies in 43 states—87 full-service pharmacies plus 109 stand-alone ambulatory infusion suites—delivering anti-infective, immunoglobulin, and biologic therapies under physician direction. Revenue comes from reimbursements by MCOs, Medicare, Medicaid, and commercial payers for pharmaceuticals dispensed and nursing services, with 6,528 full-time and 1,738 part-time employees at year-end 2025.

Related stocks: AVAH (Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc) · THC (Tenet Healthcare Corporation) · UHS (Universal Health Services, Inc.) · ARDT (Ardent Health, Inc.) · EHC (Encompass Health Corporation)
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