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Organon & Co. (OGN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldHigh Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General

Earnings in 0 days (2026-04-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside United States) (74.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Organon & Co. is a global healthcare company with 70+ products in women's health (including Nexplanon contraceptive and Follistim fertility) and general medicines (biosimilars and established brands) across 140+ countries. The company generated approximately $4.6 billion of... Read more

$13.31+23.1% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#15 of 16 Drug Manufacturers - General
Entry $10.66(R/R-minimum solve)Stop $9.91Target $13.12(resistance)A.R:R -1.9:1Setup A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$11.25-15.5%4 analysts
$13.12our TP
$13.31price
$11.25mean
$8
$14

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside United States) (74.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 78. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $13.31 has reached target $13.12. No upside to wait for. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside United States) (74.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.5% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.5
P/E (Fwd)3.6
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA7.1
Profit Mgn3.0%
ROE30.6%
Rev Growth-5.3%
Beta0.64
Dividend0.60%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.89neutral
IV48%normal
Max Pain$1-92.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicinternational (outside United States)74%
    10-K Item 1A: 'in 2025, we generated $4.6 billion in revenues outside the United States, representing approximately 74% of our total revenues'
  • MEDIUMSupplierSamsung Bioepis, Henlius and Biothera biosimilar suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on our commercialization agreements with Samsung Bioepis, Henlius and Biothera for the successful development and manufacture of our biosimilars products'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -5.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.2
Declining revenue: -5%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.1
Bollinger
0.9
52w Position
8.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.6
Quality Rank
2.0
Value Rank
7.8
GatesA.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
78 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.82Resistance $13.39

Price Targets

$10
$11
$13
A.Upside-1.4%
A.R:R-1.9:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-28.2% upside)
! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OGN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside United States) (74.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 78. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $13.31 has reached target $13.12. No upside to wait for. Target $13.12 (-1.4%), stop $9.91 (−34.3%), A.R:R -1.9:1. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the OGN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.12 (+23.1% upside). Target $13.12 (-1.4%), stop $9.91 (−34.3%), A.R:R -1.9:1. Stop-loss: $9.91.

What are the risks of investing in OGN?

Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside United States) (74.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.5% away).

Is OGN overvalued or undervalued?

Organon & Co. trades at a P/E of 18.5 (forward 3.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about OGN?

16 analysts cover OGN with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Organon & Co. do?Organon & Co. is a global healthcare company with 70+ products in women's health (including Nexplanon contraceptive and...

Organon & Co. is a global healthcare company with 70+ products in women's health (including Nexplanon contraceptive and Follistim fertility) and general medicines (biosimilars and established brands) across 140+ countries. The company generated approximately $4.6 billion of revenues outside the United States in 2025, representing 74% of total revenues, sold through wholesalers, hospitals, and managed care providers.

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