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OGNOrganon & Co.Sell5.8·$13.40-0.30%
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Organon & Co. (OGN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General

Sell if holding. At $13.40, A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States (74.0%); Concentration risk — Product: Established Brands (59.0%).

Organon & Co. sells a portfolio of over 70 prescription products across women's health, biosimilars, and established brands in over 140 countries. The company recorded $6.2 billion in revenues in 2025, with 74% generated outside the United States, through wholesalers, hospitals,... Read more

$13.40-1.5% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#7 of 16 Drug Manufacturers - General
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield14.99%
IncomeYield0.60%Payout8.60%sustainable
Stop $13.32Target $13.22(resistance)A.R:R -1.9:1
Analyst target$11.25-16.0%4 analysts
$13.22our TP
$13.40price
$11.25mean
$8

Sell if holding. At $13.40, A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States (74.0%); Concentration risk — Product: Established Brands (59.0%). Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Organon & Co.

About Organon & Co.

Organon & Co. generated $6.2 billion in revenues in 2025, with approximately 74% ($4.6 billion) from markets outside the United States across more than 140 countries. Established brands — a portfolio of off-patent cardiovascular, respiratory, dermatology, and pain-management products — contributed roughly $3.7 billion (59% of total revenues). Women's health products, including Nexplanon and NuvaRing, added $1.8 billion (28%), while biosimilars accounted for $691 million (11%). In April 2026, the company entered a merger agreement with Sun Pharmaceutical Holdings USA at $14.00 per share.

Organon earns revenue through a portfolio of prescription products sold via drug wholesalers, retailers, hospitals, government agencies, and managed healthcare providers. The established brands segment, while mature, generates 91% of its revenues outside the United States, providing geographic breadth despite generic competition across most brands. Women's health centers on Nexplanon, a long-acting reversible contraceptive implant granted a five-year duration label by the FDA in January 2026, and on Follistim AQ in fertility. Biosimilars are commercialized through agreements with Samsung Bioepis and Henlius, on which Organon depends for ongoing development and supply. Six manufacturing facilities across Belgium, Brazil, Indonesia, Mexico, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom support production. In 2025, the Audit Committee oversaw an independent internal investigation into Nexplanon sales practices to wholesalers in the United States, identifying material weaknesses in internal controls; in October 2025, the company made a voluntary self-disclosure to the SEC, which subsequently opened an investigation.

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Organon faces a regulatory transition with Nexplanon's five-year label extension approved by the FDA in January 2026, which could provide up to three additional years of clinical investigation exclusivity in the United States, though similar applications in the EU and UK remain pending as of 2025. The pending merger with Sun Pharmaceutical Holdings USA, announced April 26, 2026 via Form 8-K at $14.00 per share, represents the most material near-term event for Organon's stakeholders; the company's ongoing SEC investigation and material internal control weaknesses could weigh on integration timelines and regulatory clearance.

See also: Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General

From Organon & Co.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States (74.0%)
Concentration risk — Product: Established Brands (59.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.5
P/E (Fwd)3.7
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA6.9
Profit Mgn4.0%
ROE34.0%
Rev Growth-3.5%
Beta1.54
Dividend0.60%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.96neutral
IV80%elevated
Max Pain$20+49.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicoutside United States74%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 74% of our 2025 revenues, or $4.6 billion, generated outside the United States'
  • HIGHProductEstablished Brands59%
    10-K Item 1: 'Established Brands... this portfolio contributed approximately $3.7 billion, or approximately 59% of our total revenues'
  • LOWSupplierSamsung Bioepis and Henlius
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on our commercialization agreements with Samsung Bioepis, Henlius and Biothera for the successful development and manufacture of our biosimilars products'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-27Item 1.01HIGH
    On April 26, 2026, Organon entered an Agreement and Plan of Merger with Sun Pharmaceutical Holdings USA. Each outstanding share converts to $14.00 cash. Company will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Parent at closing.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.6
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MDividend: 60.0%
GatesA.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.34Resistance $13.49

Price Targets

$13
$13
A.Upside-1.3%
A.R:R-1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-28.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OGN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $13.40, A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States (74.0%); Concentration risk — Product: Established Brands (59.0%). Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $13.32. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OGN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.22 (-1.5% upside). Prior stop was $13.32. Stop-loss: $13.32.

What are the risks of investing in OGN?

Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States (74.0%); Concentration risk — Product: Established Brands (59.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is OGN overvalued or undervalued?

Organon & Co. trades at a P/E of 14.5 (forward 3.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OGN?

13 analysts cover OGN with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Organon & Co. do?Organon & Co. sells a portfolio of over 70 prescription products across women's health, biosimilars, and established...

Organon & Co. sells a portfolio of over 70 prescription products across women's health, biosimilars, and established brands in over 140 countries. The company recorded $6.2 billion in revenues in 2025, with 74% generated outside the United States, through wholesalers, hospitals, and managed healthcare providers operating six manufacturing facilities.

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